军用飞机无维修工作期参数分解方法研究

 针对目前军用飞机设计中无维修工作期(Maintenance-free Operating Periods, MFOP)指标无法分解和落实的问题,通过对基本可靠性、故障预测、系统重构和冗余设计等影响军用飞机MFOP实现的主要因素进行分析和数理建模,提出了一种军用飞机MFOP参数的分解流程和方法,为MFOP由使用参数(使用要求)向合同参数(设计要求)的分解提供初步的方法基础,能够为军用飞机的MFOP指标分析论证和基于MFOP的飞机可靠性设计工作提供一定的理论指导.     

基于Bayes理论的小子样维修性验证方法研究

针对现有经典维修性指标验证方法的不足,提出了一种小子样的维修性验证方法,即采用Bayes理论对维修性指标进行验证.给出了应用该方法的一般步骤,探讨了维修时间总体分布的确定方法,采用随机加权法对验前分布进行确定并利用ML - Ⅱ方法实现了多源信息的融合;进一步分析推导了基于Bayes理论的维修性验证方法的检验判据和样本量的大小.最后通过实例分析表明,该方法通过综合利用各种验前信息,可以有效地降低现场试验样本量,节省试验投入,缩短试验周期,且能保证较高的可信度.     

飞机座舱有机玻璃结构疲劳寿命估算的局部应力法

基于飞机座舱有机玻璃为脆性材料的特性，提出估算飞机座舱有机玻璃结构件疲劳寿命的局部应力法。它以缺口件韧带上距离缺口根部d处的局部应力为参数，对照光滑试验件的S-N曲线，利用线性累积损伤理论，可以较好地预测结构件的疲劳寿命。对飞机座舱有机玻璃YB3的三种结构件进行了疲劳试验和寿命分析，结果表明：寿命估算结果与试验结果吻合较好。     

精化杂交Mindlin板单元的几何非线性分析

基于放松单元间连续性要求约束的广义变分原理,建立了用于几何非线性分析的非协调四边形精化杂交Mindlin板元,其非线性单元刚度矩阵可按假定应变模式分解.本文列式与现有非线性杂交混合列式的主要区别在于,它吸收了现有线性杂交元列式的所有优点,引入了非协调模式和正交化.数值结果表明,正交化法可有效地改善单元的计算精度和效率,非协调模式可克服Mindlin板的自锁问题.     

（对数）正态未来观测的预测分布及其应用

本文用Bayes方法给出了正态、对数正态分布示来观测的预测分布。据此，给出了两分布未来观测值的预测子与预测区间及两分布可靠性的Bayes估计，而经典预测区间与无信息先验分布下的Bayes预测区间相间。     

随机材料板结构的传递函数分析方法

本文将二维随机材料场作Karhunen-Loeve正交展开，应用传统有限条理论和摄动随机分析思想建立起静态随机板结构－系列微分方程，然后用传递函数方法求解这些微分方程得到结构的随机响应，该方法是一种半解析数值计算方法。     

Fuel-optimal and Energy-optimal guidance schemes for lunar soft landing at a desired location

Two guidance schemes (i) fuel-optimal (ii) energy-optimal to realize soft landing at a desired location on the moon are developed using the optimal control laws. The optimal control laws are obtained by solving a two-point boundary value problem formulated based on Pontryagin’s principle. The guidance laws, adapted from the optimal control laws, are obtained as a function of unknown co-state variables. Differential Transformation (DT) technique is employed to determine the unknown co-states at each time instant of landing trajectory using the information on the current vehicle state, target landing site (loaded on-board apriori) and the time-to-go. The numerical integration of co-state dynamics is avoided due to the DT based approach. The time-to-go, a critical parameter for any guidance scheme, is computed and updated real time using a simple strategy which uses the current and end states. The simple strategy for time-to-go works well even when the shape of the trajectory is nonlinear. Extensive analysis is carried out to evaluate and compare the proposed guidance schemes. Further, the proposed schemes are compared with other popular guidance schemes. The DT based proposed schemes help quantify the landing masses for fuel-optimal and energy-optimal objectives. Other features of the proposed schemes are that they do not assume constant gravity field and independent of reference trajectory.     

Capacity building in regional space cooperation: Asia-pacific space cooperation organization

The increasing gap in the space capabilities of different countries has led to the need for capacity building in modern times. Space capacity building of countries without or with limited space capacity via international cooperation with advanced spacefaring nations is a good practice towards intragenerational equity among all spacefaring countries, and between spacefaring and non-spacefaring countries at the same period of time. A case study is used here to show the current situation of the Asia-Pacific Space Cooperation Organization (APSCO) and its member states that are associated with their space capacity building. The study finds that neither the satellite technology development model developed by Wood and Weigel (2011) nor the model developed by Ercan and Kale (2017) is a good fit for the development of space capability in all of the developing countries. Therefore, using the APSCO member states as a case study may offer guidelines towards the space capacity building of other developing countries. Moreover, an in-depth analysis of the merits and flaws of APSCO’s capacity building programs through comparing them with similar projects carried out by the European Space Agency (ESA), the Asia-Pacific Regional Space Agency Forum (APRSAF) and some other countries is conducive to providing some references for regional cooperation in the field of space capacity building. While international space law and the APSCO Convention can provide the general principles for capacity building activities under the framework of APSCO, they are only relevant to the development of scientific and technological capacities for space and human resources rather than organizational development and legal frameworks. Some international soft laws can likewise provide guidance for the capacity building activities of APSCO and its member states in the areas of international direct television broadcasting, remote sensing and cooperative way. To enhance its and its member states’ space capabilities, APSCO, in the context of space commercialization and maintaining the long-term sustainability of outer space activities (LTSOSA), should establish a comprehensive internal regime that addresses scientific and technological capacity building for space, human resources, organizational development and legal frameworks, a flexible regime for international cooperation with other developed spacefaring nations and international organizations with relevant technical capabilities and an internal research center for space law, and actively expand its membership by embracing other economically or technologically developed spacefaring nations in the Asia-Pacific region.     

Conceptual design,modeling and compliance characterization of a novel 2-DOF rotational pointing mechanism for fast steering mirror

In this paper, a novel 2-DOF rotational pointing mechanism (RPM) is designed inspired by the guidelines of the graphical approach. The mechanism integrates with a fast steering mirror (FSM) for compensating pointing errors of a laser beam. The design intends to achieve an angular travel of ±10 mrad and steers a 25 mm mirror aperture. A planar flexure with beam flexures accompanied in parallel with an axial flexure build-up mechanism configuration. Compliant mechanism-based RPM ensures high precision and compactness. Compliance characteristics are established based on the stiffness matrix method for four different planar flexure layouts. One layout with best in-plane rotational compliance is then assessed for performance sensitivity to mechanism dimension parameters and parasitic error, thus informing the design space. Rotational stiffness in both the in-plane rotational axes and stress is determined based on finite element analysis (FEA). The wire electrical discharge machining (EDM) is employed for developing the proof of concept for the RPM and is then assembled in FSM. Experiments are conducted to determine the rotational stiffness and angular travel about both in-plane rotational axes. Comparison among theoretical, numerical and experiments reveal excellent linearity of rotational stiffness along the rotational travel range. The maximum theoretical error is less than 5.5% compared with FEA while, the experimental error has a mean of 5% and 3% for both rotational axes thus satisfying the intended design requirement.     

基于贝叶斯方法的HPRF雷达跟踪解距离模糊方法(英文)

高脉冲重复频率(HPRF)雷达目标跟踪需要解决距离模糊问题。本文通过把脉冲间隔数和脉冲间隔变化量作为目标的离散状态,目标的距离和径向速度作为目标的连续状态,将HPRF雷达的跟踪和解距离模糊问题转换为贝叶斯框架下的混合估计问题并且利用粒子滤波方法实现。仿真结果表明本文方法在脉冲间隔数变化时仍可以正确地解距离模糊,并且跟踪精度比多假设方法高。