Eternity in six hours: Intergalactic spreading of intelligent life and sharpening the Fermi paradox

The Fermi paradox is the discrepancy between the strong likelihood of alien intelligent life emerging (under a wide variety of assumptions) and the absence of any visible evidence for such emergence. In this paper, we extend the Fermi paradox to not only life in this galaxy, but to other galaxies as well. We do this by demonstrating that travelling between galaxies – indeed even launching a colonisation project for the entire reachable universe – is a relatively simple task for a star-spanning civilisation, requiring modest amounts of energy and resources. We start by demonstrating that humanity itself could likely accomplish such a colonisation project in the foreseeable future, should we want to. Given certain technological assumptions, such as improved automation, the task of constructing Dyson spheres, designing replicating probes, and launching them at distant galaxies, become quite feasible. We extensively analyse the dynamics of such a project, including issues of deceleration and collision with particles in space. Using similar methods, there are millions of galaxies that could have reached us by now. This results in a considerable sharpening of the Fermi paradox.     

基于战场电子干扰信息的敌方作战意向判断专家系统

提出了根据战场电子干扰信息进行敌方作战意向判断的设想，阐述了实施该设想的系统构成以及进行意向判断的基本依据，建立了一个基于战场电子干扰信息的敌方作战意向判断专家系统。     

人机协作中人的动作终点预测

为实现安全高效的人机协作（HRC）,需要机器人及时对人的动作做出预测,从而积极主动地辅助人工作。为解决在HRC装配场景中机器人对人的动作终点预测问题,提出了一种基于长短时记忆（LSTM）网络的动作终点预测方法。在训练阶段,用人的动作序列与对应的动作终点组成的样本训练LSTM网络,构建动作序列与动作终点之间的映射。在应用阶段,根据人的动作的初始部分对动作终点提前做出预测。通过在装配场景中,对人抓取工具或零件的动作终点进行预测,验证了所提方法的有效性。在观测到50%的动作片段时,预测准确率达到80%以上。      

WHAT DRIVES BUSINESS AND LEISURE AIR PASSENGER TRANSPORT DEMAND

The back-propagation neural network ( BPN ) is used to explore what the most influential variables are to drive business and leisure air passenger travel from Japan to Taiwan.The variables are systematically identified , evaluated and analyzed in detail.The results reveal that some factors affect both leisure and business air passenger transport , and the others only affect one of them.Flights from Tokyo to Taipei and average hotel rate in Taiwan are the two most important factors for forecasting the demand of leisure air passenger transport , while variables related to business activities have more effect on the demand forecast of business air passenger transport.By using BPN , a forecasting model that considers actual market segments is established , and the results show that it is an accurate tool to forecast air transport demand.     

廊坊民俗文化涉外旅游新思路

文化旅游是现代涉外旅游的新时尚,作者讨论了廊坊如何开发现有的文化旅游资源,发展入境旅游事业的问题。提出了谋划廊坊民俗文化涉外旅游的新思路,构想出廊坊民俗文化涉外旅游体验节的互动体验模式。     

大行程纳米级分辨率超精密工作台的发展方向

讨论了大行程纳米级分辨率超精密工作台设计中的关键技术,介绍了目前国内外典型的大行程超精密工作台所采用的设计方案、材料、导轨、驱动方式、测量反馈及控制系统。分析比较后得出:利用石英陶瓷材料、气浮导轨、直线电机非接触驱动、纳米光栅尺测量反馈和开放式数控系统等技术来组建大行程纳米级分辨率超精密工作台是比较理想的方案。     

Flight safety implications of the extreme solar proton event of 23 February 1956

There is considerable speculation about the effects at aircraft altitudes resulting from extreme solar proton events. The ground level event (GLE) of 23 February 1956 (GLE 5), remains the largest solar proton event of the neutron monitor era in terms of its influence on count rates at monitors near sea level. During this GLE the count rate was increased by as much as 4760% (15-min average) at the Leeds monitor relative to the count rate from galactic cosmic radiation (GCR). Two modern models of the event cumulative solar proton spectrum for this event, a 6-parameter fit in energy and a 4-parameter Band fit in rigidity, are compared with 1-h of GCR at solar minimum. While effective doses calculated with CARI-7A for both models at low geomagnetic cutoff rigidities are indeed high when compared with GCR and can exceed recommended exposure limits, both GLE spectra exhibit a much stronger dependence on cutoff rigidity than GCR, and a larger fraction of the dose from neutrons. At locations with cutoff rigidities above 4.2 and 6.4?GV, respectively, the GLE effective doses are smaller than the GCR hourly dose. At locations with cutoff rigidities above about 4?GV, GCR was the dominant source of exposure in 10?h or less at all altitudes examined. This suggests that if a similar event occurs in the future, low- and mid-latitude flights at modern jet flight altitudes could be well-protected by Earth’s magnetic field.     

高职院校毕业生就业意向的调查与分析

对长沙地区与南京地区14所高职院校1400位毕业生的就业意向进行调查和分析,根据调查结论提出加强高职院校毕业生就业工作的对策和措施。     

刀具移距在诱导轮叶片加工中的作用

通过数学方法，推导出诱导轮铣加工叶片时刀具移距的计算公式，解决了诱导轮叶片加工过程中产生根切、顶切的问题。以某型号发动机涡轮泵诱导轮为例，给出了工艺流程和加工参数。加工出的产品经水力试验和地面热试车及飞行考验，完全满足设计要求，表明该工艺方法正确，工艺参数可行有效。该工艺技术还可推广用于航空、航天以及民用涡轮泵诱导轮的...     

基于深度神经网络的空中目标作战意图识别

传统基于空中目标特征状态推理作战意图的方法,需要大量的领域专家知识对特征状态的权重、先验概率等进行量化,明确特征状态与意图之间的对应关系,而神经网络可以在领域专家知识不足条件下,通过自身训练得到特征状态与意图之间的规则。针对反向传播（BP）算法在更新网络节点权值时收敛速度慢、容易陷入局部最优的问题,通过引入ReLU（Rectified Linear Unit）激活函数和自适应矩估计（Adam）优化算法,设计了基于深度神经网络的作战意图识别模型,提高了模型收敛速度,有效地防止陷入局部最优。仿真结果表明,所提方法能够有效识别空中目标作战意图,获得更高的识别率。