基于树形马氏链模型的可靠性分析方法

复杂系统的极限状态函数非线性程度较高，在进行可靠性分析时，易导致失效概率的计算误差大、效率低，针对上述问题，提出了树形马氏链（TMC）算法和基于该算法的可靠性分析方法。树形马氏链是对原始马尔可夫链的改进，其状态转移过程更加灵活，具备局部多链并行和自适应探索失效域边界的特性。树形马氏链通过多候选状态点扩大对失效域信息的收集，生成能充分反映失效分布特征的样本，对该样本进行自适应核密度估计得到近似最优的重要抽样分布密度函数，从而提高计算结果的准确度。文末的数值算例和工程算例验证了算法性能，计算结果表明算法对设计点、抽样起点的位置不敏感，处理强非线性及复杂串联系统问题时，能在少样本量下得到相对高准确度的计算结果，且在样本量改变时，计算结果相对稳定可靠；工程算例给出了所提方法在实际问题下的效率，体现了所提方法的工程应用价值。     

上面级发射中高轨道卫星外热流分析

研究发射轨道的外热流是卫星热控制系统设计的基础。针对上面级发射轨道的特点和卫星姿态，推导出上面级滑行段和点火段瞬态及平均外热流计算公式。以北斗三号中轨导航卫星为例，给出了阳光和轨道面夹角随太阳黄经和升交点赤经的变化关系，以及最长阴影时间、滑行段旋转角速度约束条件的分析方法，在此基础上确定了上面级阶段卫星的极端外热流工况并给出了外热流计算结果。     

尾迹对涡轮动叶全表面气膜冷却效率的影响

采用压敏漆（PSP）测量技术研究了尾迹对涡轮动叶气膜冷却效率的影响，测试叶片带有11排圆柱形气膜孔。获得了不同质量流量比和尾迹斯特劳哈尔数（Sr=0，0.12，0.36）条件下全表面气膜冷却效率分布的试验数据，结果表明：随着尾迹Sr数的增加，叶片前缘区域径向平均气膜冷却效率最大降低幅度达36.5%，吸力面径向平均气膜冷却效率最大降低幅度达53.5%，压力面径向平均气膜冷却效率最大降低幅度达24.2%；尾迹对前缘和吸力面气膜冷却效率的影响大于压力面；随着质量流量比增加，尾迹的影响减小；在进行涡轮动叶表面气膜冷却结构设计时，不考虑尾迹效应会增加设计风险。     

光学镜面磁流变抛光误差的频谱特征与分布特性研究

通过分析磁流变抛光误差的频谱特征,发现严重影响成像质量的敏感频率成分误差,采用二维连续小波变换算法确定出敏感频率误差的具体分布区域,分析其演变特征及其与工艺参数之间的关系,为修正加工提供指导,以实现精确控制不同频率成分、不同分布区域光学加工误差和改善成像质量的目的.     

Non-linear methods in remotely sensed multispectral data classification

The aim of this research is to develop an effective approach being able to deal with the stochastic nature of remote sensing data. In order to achieve this objective it is necessary to structure the methodological knowledge in the area of data mining and reveal the most suitable methods for the prediction and decision support based on large amounts of multispectral data. The idea is to establish a framework by decomposing the task into functionality objectives and to allow the end-user to experiment with a set of classification methods and select the best methods for specific applications. As a first step, we compare our results from Bayesian classification based on non-parametric probability density estimates of the data to the results obtained from other classification methods. Tree scenarios are considered, making use of a small benchmark dataset, a larger dataset from Corine land cover project for Bulgaria and analyzing different features and feature selection methods. We show that the theoretically optimal Bayesian classification can also achieve optimal classification in practice and provides a realistic interpretation of the world where land cover classes intergrade gradually.     

The electron formations under the radiation belts at L-shells 1.2–1.9

We continue to analyze the distribution of electron fluxes with energy 30–500 keV under the radiation belts at low and middle latitudes (L = 1.2–1.9) using experimental data obtained onboard ACTIVE satellite. Special attention is given to altitudinal distribution of electron fluxes and detailed analysis of these electron formations. We observe three main regions of electron flux registration that seem to exist constantly under the radiation belts. These regions are: magneto-conjugated to SAA region (in the north hemisphere), local zone of low intense electron flux accumulation to the west of SAA, and extensive region in the north hemisphere to the east. The analysis of experimental data obtained from ACTIVE satellite (orbit height 500–2500 km) shows that electron fluxes are registered in the wide altitude range up to 1100 km. It is shown that these formations have complicated initial structure with two regions of flux maximums: at L = 1.3 and L = 1.6–1.8. We compare particle data with low frequency (LF) data (ARIEL-4 satellite) and high frequency (HF) data (CORONAS-I satellite). Also we discuss the possible mechanisms of the appearance of these formations under the radiation belts.     

谐振式燃油密度传感器振动筒的设计与分析

飞机燃油密度高精度的测量对精确控制燃油量有重要作用.本文通过理论分析及ANSYS有限元分析软件对谐振式燃油密度传感器振动筒进行了振动模态分析,并利用正交实验设计法优化了不同振动模态、不同振动频率下振动筒的设计.分析结果表明:采用基本振型m=1,n=4,几何尺寸为L=2.9 cm,R=0.8 cm,t=0.20 mm的振动筒时,在密度范围为700～900 kg/m3的航空煤油环境下,其谐振频率范围为7.5～8.5 kHz.符合设计目标频率在2～10 kHz的要求,可作为谐振式燃油密度测量系统振动筒的设计参考.     

氨质子化团簇红外振动光谱研究

运用Gaussian03W计算程序,在B3LYP／6—31G（d）方法水平上得到了氨质子化团簇（NH3）nH^＋（n=1～8）的最稳定构型,并对其相应红外振动光谱进行了研究。通过对红外振动光谱中谱峰位置与振动模式之间的关系的分析,发现光谱中的最强峰均来自于NH4^＋核中N—H键的反对称伸缩振动（n=2除外）。     

Solar flux effects on equatorial ionization anomaly and total electron content over Brazil: Observational results versus IRI representations

The F layer critical frequency (foF2) as measured by Digisondes in the equatorial and low latitude locations in Brazil is analyzed to investigate the seasonal and solar flux controls of the intensity of the equatorial ionization anomaly (EIA) in the equinoctial month of March. The analysis also included the total electron content (TEC) as measured by a GPS receiver operated at the EIA crest location. The foF2 data set covered a period of large solar flux variation from 1996 to 2003, while the GPS TEC data was for a period in 2002–2003 when the solar flux parameter F10.7 underwent large variations, permitting in both cases an examination of the solar flux effects on these parameters. The seasonal variation pattern in TEC shows a maximum in equinoctial months and a minimum in June solstice, with similar variations for foF2. The solar flux dependence of the TEC is a maximum during equinoxes, especially for post-sunset TEC values at times when the latitudinal distribution is controlled by the equatorial evening plasma fountain processes. Significant variations with local time are found in the degree of solar flux dependence for both the TEC and EIA. The EIA intensity shows large dependence on F10.7 during post-sunset to midnight hours. These results are discussed in comparison with their corresponding IRI representations.     

空间碎片的空间密度算法研究

由于空间碎片的影响, 空间环境日益恶劣,有必要建立空间碎片环境工程模型对空间碎片撞击航天器进行风险评估.本文研究了空间碎片环境模型中的重要环节, 即碎片的空间密度问题,在统计理论与椭圆轨道理论基础上,分析及推导了空间碎片在空间中的分布状况及空间密度,并得出了碎片空间密度的空间坐标函数解析表达式.同时对引入假设条件的合理性进行了讨论,并利用双行元数据对结论进行了验证, 利用本文方法得出的结果与双行元数据吻合.