机场旅客吞吐量的人工神经网络预测方法

利用人工神经网络对非线性系统的函数所具有的以任意精度逼近的良好特性,突破传统上基于统计学原理进行机场旅客吞吐量预测的限制,设计了具有成都双流国际机场特点的、低成本的机场旅客吞吐量的人工神经网络预测模型,经过BP网络预测软件运行检验,并与该机场以前采用的定量预测方法的综合比较,证明在该机场应用BP网络预测方法不仅可行,而且有更好的预测精度.     

A step parameters prediction model based on transfer process neural network for exhaust gas temperature estimation after washing aero-engines

The prediction of Exhaust Gas Temperature Margin(EGTM) after washing aeroengines can provide a theoretical basis for airlines not only to evaluate the energy-saving effect and emission reduction, but also to formulate reasonable maintenance plans. However, the EGTM encounters step changes after washing aeroengines, while, in the traditional models, a persistence tendency exists between the prediction results and the previous data, resulting in low accuracy in prediction. In order to solve the pr...     

基于小样本数据增强的航天器表面损伤智能检测方法

在轨运行的航天器表面形成损伤有可能导致严重的后果,需要对航天器进行在轨实时损伤检测。针对航天器损伤检测图像样本难以获取的问题,本文采用智能化检测方法,提出了一种用于航天器表面损伤样本扩充的生成对抗网络,该网络能够学习单张输入图像的特征纹理表示,从而生成大量与输入图像特征相似的细粒度尺度样本,实现了少量图像数据样本的扩充。利用YOLO目标检测算法在扩充的图像样本中进行表面缺陷与损伤的检测识别,获取了较高的检测精度,为未来航天器健康状态监测与评估、通用化服务机器人应用及太空原位建设等提供了技术支撑。     

有向网络中无环最小饱和流问题及其算法

假设网络的初始流为零流,以最大堵塞截面为准堵塞截面,找出从源点到汇点的包含准堵塞截面弧最多的有条件最长增广路对网络进行增流,直至网络达到饱和,并对该算法进行了复杂性分析。利用该算法对多个网络进行论证,结果表明利用有条件最长增广路算法计算出的最小饱和流值与仿真计算以及与双向增流算法计算得到的结果基本相同,增流次数大大减少,且求解的结果避免了在封闭环路中的流量流动,进一步优化了最小饱和流值。     

逆向工程中一种新的特征识别算法

从某种角度上说,逆向工程是从已有实物的测量数据点中提取其实体特征再进行模型重建的过程。本文提出了一种新的特征识别算法,其首先采用基于面积和法矢准则的数据分割技术,对测量数据点进行数据分割。然后从特征所包含的分割面(简称特征分割面)中提取能够惟一标识该特征的4种特征编码,分别为:表述特征截面形状的截面编码、描述特征凹凸性的凹凸编码、显示特征二维俯视轮廓形状的轮廓编码以及反映特征二维俯视轮廓是否封闭的开闭编码。最后将这4种编码输入到基于人工神经(BP)网络的自动特征识别系统中,识别出特征类型并提取特征参数,从而实现特征重建。着重研究并实现了从特征分割面中提取特征编码的算法,并验证了算法的有效性。     

Measuring the resilience of an airport network

Resilience is the ability of a system to withstand and stay operational in the face of an unexpected disturbance or unpredicted changes. Recent studies on air transport system resilience focus on topology characteristics after the disturbance and measure the robustness of the network with respect to connectivity. The dynamic processes occurring at the node and link levels are often ignored. Here we analyze airport network resilience by considering both structural and dynamical aspects. We develop a simulation model to study the operational performance of the air transport system when airports operate at degraded capacity rather than completely shutting down. Our analyses show that the system deteriorates soon after disruptive events occur but returns to an acceptable level after a period of time. Static resilience of the airport network is captured by a phase transition in which a small change to airport capacity will result in a sharp change in system punctuality. After the phase transition point, decreasing airport capacity has little impact on system performance. Critical airports which have significant influence on the performance of whole system are identified, and we find that some of these cannot be detected based on the analysis of network structural indicators alone. Our work shows that air transport system’s resilience can be well understood by combining network science and operational dynamics.     

Heuristics of node selection criteria to assess robustness of world airport network

The world airport network (WAN) is one of the networked infrastructures that shape today's economic and social activity,so its resilience against incidents affecting the WAN is an important problem.In this paper,the robustness of air route networks is extended by defining and testing several heuristics to define selection criteria to detect the critical nodes of the WAN.In addition to heuristics based on genetic algorithms and simulated annealing,custom heuristics based on node damage and node betweenness are defined.The most effective heuristic is a multiattack heuristic combining both custom heuristics.Results obtained are of importance not only for advance in the understanding of the structure of complex networks,but also for critical node detection.     

有源集成背馈式接收天线设计

为了提高接收天线系统的增益以及灵敏度,对于天线与射频前端组成的接收系统采用了一种有源集成接收天线的设计方案,从而省略了传统设计中的有源电路与微带天线之间的匹配网络.依照此方案,设计并实现了一个背馈结构的矩形微带天线与前级低噪声放大器电路的有源集成.矩形微带天线的馈电点与低噪声放大器的输入端通过金属探针相连,当天线在2.48?GHz谐振时,通过选择合适的馈电点位置,天线产生放大器设计所需的输入阻抗.有源集成背馈式接收天线工作于S波段,最终的测试结果显示了其优良的特性.     

Forecasting space weather: Can new econometric methods improve accuracy?

Space weather forecasts are currently used in areas ranging from navigation and communication to electric power system operations. The relevant forecast horizons can range from as little as 24 h to several days. This paper analyzes the predictability of two major space weather measures using new time series methods, many of them derived from econometrics. The data sets are the A_p geomagnetic index and the solar radio flux at 10.7 cm. The methods tested include nonlinear regressions, neural networks, frequency domain algorithms, GARCH models (which utilize the residual variance), state transition models, and models that combine elements of several techniques. While combined models are complex, they can be programmed using modern statistical software. The data frequency is daily, and forecasting experiments are run over horizons ranging from 1 to 7 days. Two major conclusions stand out. First, the frequency domain method forecasts the A_p index more accurately than any time domain model, including both regressions and neural networks. This finding is very robust, and holds for all forecast horizons. Combining the frequency domain method with other techniques yields a further small improvement in accuracy. Second, the neural network forecasts the solar flux more accurately than any other method, although at short horizons (2 days or less) the regression and net yield similar results. The neural net does best when it includes measures of the long-term component in the data.     

Analyzing the multilevel structure of the European airport network

The multilayered structure of the European airport network (EAN), composed of con-nections and flights between European cities, is analyzed through the k-core decomposition of the connections network. This decomposition allows to identify the core, bridge and periphery lay-ers of the EAN. The core layer includes the best-connected cities, which include important business air traffic destinations. The periphery layer includes cities with lesser connections, which serve low populated areas where air travel is an economic alternative. The remaining cities form the bridge of the EAN, including important leisure travel origins and destinations. The multilayered structure of the EAN affects network robustness, as the EAN is more robust to isolation of nodes of the core, than to the isolation of a combination of core and bridge nodes.