Remaining useful life prediction based on variation coefficient consistency test of a Wiener process

High-cost equipment is often reused after maintenance, and whether the information before the maintenance can be used for the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction after the maintenance is directly determined by the consistency of the degradation pattern before and after the maintenance. Aiming at this problem, an RUL prediction method based on the consistency test of a Wiener process is proposed. Firstly, the parameters of the Wiener process estimated by Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) are proved to be biased, and a modified unbiased estimation method is proposed and verified by derivation and simulations. Then, the h statistic is constructed according to the reciprocal of the variation coefficient of the Wiener process, and the sampling distribution is derived. Meanwhile, a universal method for the consistency test is proposed based on the sampling distribution theorem, which is verified by simulation data and classical crack degradation data. Finally, based on the consistency test of the degradation model, a weighted fusion RUL prediction method is presented for the fuel pump of an airplane, and the validity of the presented method is verified by accurate computation results of real data, which provides a theoretical and practical guidance for engineers to predict the RUL of equipment after maintenance.     

航天用纤维增强金属层合板

迄今铝合金仍是航空航天产品的主要结构材料,但它目前正受到纤维增强聚合物和新近崛起的纤维增强金属层合板(FRML)的强有力的挑战。这些新颖材料具有强度高、质量轻、模量高、膨胀系数低和耐疲劳性能好等优点。因而自它们一出世,就受到航空航天界的重视,文中对纤维增强金属层合板的制作方法和它的力学性能作了简要介绍。     

制造技术纵横谈

简述了先进制造技术的基本含义及其与国民经济的关系，重点介绍了机械制造产品的新发展。     

毫米波亚毫米波波导类组件制造工艺进展

综述了毫米波亚毫米波波导类组件制造工艺的国内外最新研究进展，将当前最主要采用的制造工艺进行了分类阐述，包括机械加工改进与数控超精密工艺、电化学工艺、微机电系统（micro-electro-mechanical system， MEMS）工艺、高能束流工艺、3D增材制造工艺。介绍了各分类工艺应用中最新进展的典型成果，讨论了其工艺方法的优势与局限性，并依据波导类产品的应用需求对其工艺研究与发展的趋势开展了分析。结合毫米波亚毫米波波导类产品的应用场景与相关产品未来的发展趋势，进一步提出了各分类工艺在该领域未来可能的发展方向。     

Influence and experiment of cable-net manufacturing errors on surface accuracy of mesh reflector antennas

Cable-net structures are of substantial importance in the construction of large mesh reflector antennas. Owing to the inevitable errors in their manufacturing process, the reflector surface accuracy deteriorates. This study makes a comprehensive investigation of random manufacturing errors during constructing the mesh reflector antennas, and analyze its influence on reflector surface accuracy. Firstly, the sensitivity of reflector surface accuracy with respect to the random errors of the unstressed cable length is mathematically deducted. Secondly, a non-button connecting method is proposed and analyzed to reduce manufacturing errors. Thirdly, two physical experiment models based on 2.62-meter mesh reflector antenna are made. Finally, numerical examples and experimental tests are given to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. Compared with the traditional method, the proposed method can effectively reduce the influence of the manufacturing errors on the reflector surface accuracy. Moreover, the reduction in the sizes of the nodes also reduces the risk of entanglement of the mesh reflector antenna during the deployment process, and thereby improves the deployment reliability.     

叶顶间隙偏差对叶片气动性能影响的不确定性研究

在压气机叶片加工过程中，实际加工得到的叶片外形与设计叶型不可避免会存在一些偏差。为研究叶片叶顶间隙尺寸波动对性能的影响，以Rotor37为研究对象，采用三维定常数值模拟方法，基于非嵌入式混沌多项式中二维正态分布变量产生方法，分别对叶片前缘叶顶间隙和尾缘叶顶间隙进行尺寸波动干扰，研究了叶顶间隙不确定性对气动性能和流场的不确定性影响，评估了公差带内叶顶间隙偏差与气动性能变化的相关性，并探究了叶顶间隙变化对叶片稳定裕度的影响机理。研究发现，叶顶间隙偏差对等背压条件下叶片质量流量、等熵效率和总压比的平均水平几乎不会造成影响；叶顶间隙偏差所造成的气动性能分布标准差随工况点向不稳定边界的逼近而逐渐增大。同时，叶顶间隙不确定性会导致样本稳定裕度均值有所降低，不确定性分析中稳定裕度均值相对原型叶片下降了2.42%。流场结构方面，叶顶间隙偏差主要影响80%叶高以上部分流场；叶顶间隙偏差对叶顶区域泄漏流产生的影响，导致了叶片稳定裕度的变化。