Two new multi-phase reliability growth models from the perspective of time between failures and their applications

Aviation products would go through a multi-phase improvement in reliability performance during the research and development process. In the literature, most of the existing reliability growth models assume a constant failure intensity in each test phase, which inevitably limits the scope of the application. To address this problem, we propose two new models considering time-varying failure intensity in each stage. The proposed models borrow the idea from the accelerated failure-time models. It is assumed that time between failures follow the log-location-scale distribution and the scale parameters in each phase do not change, which forms the basis for integrating the data from all test stages. For the test-find-test scenario, an improvement factor is introduced to construct the relationship between two successive location parameters. Whereas for the test-fix-test scenario, the instantaneous cumulative time between failures is assumed to be consistent with Duane model and derive the formulation of location parameter. Likelihood ratio test is further utilized to test whether the assumption of constant failure intensity in each phase is suitable. Several applications with real reliability growth data show that the assumptions are reasonable and the proposed models outperform the existing models.     

基于Chebyshev正交分解的曲线运动轨迹SAR的Chirp Scaling算法

针对具有三维速度和加速度的曲线运动轨迹合成孔径雷达（SAR），传统的斜距模型无法精确描述其运动特性，曲线历程增加了距离走动现象和方位向时间的高次项，使二维耦合现象更为复杂。本文提出了一种考虑载体平台三维速度和加速度的Chirp Scaling算法以解决曲线运动轨迹SAR成像问题。首先根据运动方程建立斜距表达式，然后对其进行Chebyshev近似，并构造其等效双曲方程形式的斜距模型，推导了具有空变性的距离徙动函数，Chirp Scaling因子以及适用于曲线轨迹的Chirp Scaling成像算法。仿真结果证实了此扩展的等效斜距模型和Chirp Scaling算法在大合成孔径时间下的有效性，并给出了三维加速度的边界值。     

基于威胁等级判定的欺骗干扰效果评估方法

研究了对组网雷达系统欺骗干扰效果评估的方法。结合防御系统的使用特点给出了基于假目标干扰情况下防御系统剩余拦截时间、毁伤效能两个属性的威胁等级判定方法，确定了基于威胁等级的假目标打分准则。该方法在假目标干扰效果评估中具有一定的参考意义。     

基于多回路法的场路耦合仿真技术在航空电源故障分析中的应用

研究了多回路法场路耦合算法的基本原理，为了提高系统的仿真效率，对联合仿真中的迭代模式、分布式仿真进行了讨论。在此基础上，采用该算法对某三级无刷交流电源系统的典型极端故障工况进行了仿真分析。仿真结果表明，基于多回路场路耦合的联合仿真算法具有良好的数值收敛性，能有效对供电系统的稳态、瞬态以及故障状态进行分析。     

基于贝叶斯网络和共因失效的飞机电源系统可靠性分析

飞机电源系统中的冗余设计提升了飞机系统的可靠性，但同时也增加了共因失效发生的概率。为了准确分析飞机电源系统的可靠性，首先，采取α因子模型对共因失效部件的失效率进行分解计算，并利用贝叶斯网络（BN）建立考虑共因失效的飞机电源系统可靠性模型。然后，对比分析考虑与不考虑冗余部件之间的共因失效因素时飞机电源系统及其子系统的可靠性。结果表明，考虑冗余部件之间的共因失效因素时，得到的飞机电源系统及其子系统可靠度相对于不考虑冗余部件之间的共因失效因素时较低，更加吻合实际情况。     

基于安全系数的轴全概率法可靠性设计

本文应用可靠性理论对轴类零件的设计方法进行了研究,在考虑轴类零件静强度和疲劳强度的情况下利用全概率法对基于安全系数的设计公式进行了推导,并对设计参数的取值进行了说明。最后,通过算例对可靠性算法优于传统安全系数算法的理论进行了论证。     

Manned missions to Mars: Minimizing risks of failure

Some major risks-of-failure issues for the future manned missions to Mars are discussed, with an objective to address criteria for making such missions possible, successful, safe and cost-effective. The following astronautical and instrumentation-and-equipment-reliability related aspects of the missions are considered: redundancies and backup strategies; costs; assessed probability of failure as a suitable reliability criterion for the instrumentation (equipment); probabilistic assessment of the likelihood of the mission success and safety. It is concluded that parametric risk modeling is a must for a risk-driven decision-making process.     

On extended thermonuclear functions through pathway model

The major problem in the cosmological nucleosynthesis is the evaluation of the reaction rate. The present scenario is that the standard thermonuclear function in the Maxwell–Boltzmann form is evaluated by using various techniques. The Maxwell–Boltzmannian approach to nuclear reaction rate theory is extended to cover Tsallis statistics (Tsallis, 1988) and more general cases of distribution functions. The main purpose of this paper is to investigate in some more detail the extended reaction probability integral in the equilibrium thermodynamic argument and in the cut-off case. The extended reaction probability integrals will be evaluated in closed form for all convenient values of the parameter by means of residue calculus. A comparison of the standard reaction probability integrals with the extended reaction probability integrals is also done.     

Relaying Selection with Network-coded Cooperative Protocols in Aeronautical Communications

In this article, we exploit the idea of network-coded cooperative protocol in aeronautical communications which combines different source nodes'information at the relay and joint decoding at the destination. Recently, the network coding in cooperative communications has been categorized into two mainstreams, bit-level and signal-level combinations, which are both discussed in the article. And to be exclusively, multiple access relay channel(MARC) is adopted. The mutual information expressions of both above-cited network-coded protocols are deduced, which prove that without proper selected relays to perform network coding, the spatial diversity of the proposed protocol cannot be obtained. This then leads to search for the selection and grouping algorithms. An adjacency matrix is defined to describe the connectivity of the nodes in one radio contact disk, so that, the selection and grouping of algorithm is equivalent to constructing this adjacency matrix to minimize the system outage probability evaluated in term of the mutual information. Besides, a network-coded cooperative protocol requires the acyclic network, of which the construction is to avoid loop-4 in the matrix. The article ends with simulations to demonstrate the viability of the proposed algorithms.     

六点炉温追踪仪在涂装线上的应用

六点炉温追踪仪（ＢＹＫＯ－ＴＲＡＣＫ）能准确、科学的测试各种不同结构烘房的温度曲线。本文介绍了该仪器在烘房的工艺设计、工件烘烤质量及涂料选材等方面的应用。