PN制导律多模型自适应辨识滤波方法

针对导弹主动防御应用中拦截导弹制导行为辨识问题,提出一种比例导引（PN）制导律多模型辨识滤波方法,对拦截导弹加速度和制导律导航常数进行辨识。采用非线性可观性理论对制导模型的可观性进行了分析。得出在拦截导弹使用PN制导律时,制导模型可观的充要条件。与以往工作相比,该方法考虑了拦截导弹末制导初期由于瞄准误差校正而引起的控制器饱和现象,在拦截导弹执行器处于饱和或退出饱和阶段都能精确对制导律进行辨识。另外,以往工作假定PN制导律常数已知,该方法将PN制导律常数当做制导模型的一个状态进行估计。仿真结果校验了所提方法的性能。     

FIELD STUDIES OF SINGLE POINT IMPACT ON LIQUEFIABLE SOIL FOUNDATION OF HIGHWAY

A highway in the floodplain of the Abandoned Yellow River in the north of Jiangsu Province is recently remediated to reduce liquefaction potential using the dynamic compaction（DC） method of densification of in-place soils. Firstly, the liquefaction potential of the soil at the project site is analysed according to the code of seismic de- sign. Then the in-situ single point impact tests are performed on the liquefiable soil. Settlement of crater, excess pore pressure, ground heave and lateral deformation under DC impact are measured and analyzed. Subsequently, the standard penetration test （SPT） and cone penetration test （CPT） are used for investigating the compaction ef- fectiveness. At last, the improvement effect of DC is discussed according to the technical specification of dynamic consolidation to ground treatment. The investigation results indicate that the DC technique is an effective way for remediating liquefiable soil in highway engineering practice.     

Application of Analytic Redundancy-based Fault Diagnosis of Sensors to Onboard Maintenance System

Analytic redundancy-based fault diagnosis technique (ARFDT) is applied to onboard maintenance system (OMS). The principle of the proposed ARFDT scheme is to design a redundancy configuration using ARFDT to enhance the functions of redundancy management and built in test equipment (BITE) monitor. Redundancy configuration for dual-redundancy and analytic redundancy is proposed, in which, the fault diagnosis includes detection and isolation. In order to keep the balance between rapid diagnosis and binary hypothesis, a filter together with an elapsed time limit is designed for sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) in the process of isolation. Diagnosis results would be submitted to central maintenance computer (CMC) together with BITE information. Moreover, by adopting reconstruction, the designed method not only provides analytic redundancy to help redundancy management, but also compensates the output when both of the sensors of the same type are faulty. Our scheme is applied to an aircraft’s sensors in a simulation experiment, and the results show that the proposed filter SPRT (FSPRT) saves at least 50% of isolation time than Wald SPRT (WSPRT). Also, effectiveness, practicability and rapidity of the proposed scheme can be successfully achieved in OMS.     

随机事元及其在解决矛盾问题中的应用

通过建立随机事件的可拓模型,给出了随机事元、随机事元的概率、随机事元集和可拓事件集的概念。在对随机事元可拓性研究的基础上给出了随机事元的拓展概率的概念。利用随机事元的多特征性,讨论了当随机事元的某一个或若干个特征及其量值改变时,由可拓变换的传导性,将在随机事元的各要素之间产生传导效应,从而导致随机事元概率的改变,进而为涉及随机事件发生的概率的矛盾问题的解决提供了有效途径。最后举例说明了利用概率的改变处理矛盾问题的方法。     

测向交叉定位系统中的最优交会角研究

研究了测向交叉定位系统中的最优交会角问题。在目标到两部被动传感器基线之间的垂直距离不同的情况下和最小圆概率误差（CEP）准则下,得出了一些有意义的结论。研究表明,最优交会角跟目标到两部传感器基线的垂直距离与基线长度的比值l有关。当l≥√3/6时,只存在一个最优交会角且此时目标与两部被动传感器呈等腰三角形,并在此情况下分析了l的变化对圆概率误差的影响。当l＜√3/6时,存在两个相等的最优交会角。得出的结论在多个被动传感器的优化配置进而提高目标定位精度方面具有一定的理论和实际意义。     

概率空间中单调事件序列的连续性

研究了概率空间中事件序列的可列可加性和有限可加性,并提出事件序列次可加性的概念,证明了单调事件序列的连续性,并给出一个充分必要条件.     

滚动轴承摩擦力矩的乏信息模糊预报

滚动轴承摩擦力矩的波动具有不确定性,属于概率分布与趋势规律都未知的乏信息系统.这阻碍了对轴承摩擦力矩的小样本分析与总体把握.为此,以模糊集合理论为基础,从小样本入手,建立了航天轴承摩擦力矩参数的经验概率密度函数及其模糊预报模型,并对摩擦力矩的均值上界和最大值上界进行预报.对HKTA和HKTB两种轴承摩擦力矩参数的试验研究表明,在99%～100%置信水平下,预报结果与试验结果之间的误差很小,最大绝对误差仅为0.081 1个设定单位,最大相对误差仅为10.165%,可以满足航天工程的要求.      

美国新型远程反舰导弹突防能力分析

美国正在大力发展远程反舰导弹(LRASM)。2013年以来,美国先后成功完成了LRASM机载空射飞行试验和靶场垂直发射试验,这标志着新一代LRASM取得了重大进展。按计划,LRASM的空射型与舰射型将于2016年和2018年装备,将对新兴国家的大型水面舰艇构成严重的威胁。介绍LRASM的现状与靶场试验概况,对其突防能力进行分析。     

Statistical properties of fatigue damage of Gaussian random loadings

Firstly, the fatigue damages associated with the random loadings were always deemed as high-cycle or very-high-cycle fatigue problems, and based on Chebyshev theorem, the number of rainflow cycles in a given time interval could be recognized as a constant by neglecting its randomness. Secondly, the randomness of fatigue damage induced by the distribution of rainflow cycles was analyzed. According to central limit theorem, the fatigue damage could be assumed to follow Gaussian distribution, and the statistical parameters: mean and variance, were derived from Dirlik's solution. Finally, the proposed method was used to a simulate Gaussian random loading and the measured random loading from an aircraft. Comparisons with observed results were carried out extensively. In the first example, the relative errors of the proposed method are 2.29%, 3.52% and 1.16% for the mean, standard deviation and variation coefficient of fatigue damage, respectively. In the second example, these relative errors are 11.70%, 173.32% and 18.20%, and the larger errors are attributable to non-stationary state of the measured loading to some extent.