基于Deform软件二次开发和BP神经网络的TA15多向锻造微观组织预报

通过热压缩实验构建了TA15合金的热变形真应力-应变曲线,以此为基础分别建立了合金双相区及单相区温度区间的热变形本构方程;基于热压缩试样动态再结晶的统计数据建立了TA15合金的动态再结晶模型。借助Deform提供的二次开发功能实现相关数学模型的程序化,制定正交实验方案,实现了TA15合金多向锻造变形的微观组织仿真。通过正交实验分析得出各项因子的影响对象及强弱差异,提出了双相区及单相区温度区间内的多向锻造最佳因子组合。建立了TA15合金多向锻造变形微观组织的BP （Back Propagation）神经网络预测模型,将预测结果与有限元仿真结果进行比较,结果表明两种方法的预测结果基本一致,但神经网络具备有限元仿真难以实现的良好细节预测能力,能更为细致地实现对微观组织分布状态的划分。     

航天器激光防护材料研究现状与发展趋势

根据激光防护的原理和途径,介绍了基于线性光学原理、基于非线性光学原理和基于相变原理的激光防护材料的特点及其国内外研究进展,讨论了激光防护材料的发展方向。     

部分破坏拆卸模式下拆卸规划

为了对产品进行拆卸规划,基于装配有向图提出一种部分破坏性模式下的拆卸规划方法。通过装配有向图表达产品零部件间的装配关系,并在此基础上构建装配关系矩阵、装配连接矩阵和可达矩阵。由矩阵遍历和运算获得产品装配结构、装配深度等信息,并根据这些信息确定被破坏对象,最终完成部分破坏性拆卸模式下拆卸规划过程。将上述理论应用于摩擦驱动装置拆卸规划中,其结果验证了理论分析的有效性和正确性。     

Nonlinear H∞ based underactuated attitude control for small satellites with two reaction wheels

Underactuated attitude control is supposed to be used on spacecraft when failure happens with onboard actuators. One main problem with existing underactuated attitude control designs is their limited capabilities against disturbances. In order to solve this problem, an approach based on the theory of H∞$H\infty$ is proposed in this paper. Two propositions are derived from the H∞$H\infty$ theory to improve the robustness of one popular underactuated attitude control design, which was presented by Tsiotras et al. It is proved mathematically that the controller satisfying these two propositions respectively can stabilize the underactuated attitude system locally or globally. The numerical simulations show that the improved controllers based on the H∞$H\infty$ theory could provide higher pointing accuracy for small satellites against disturbances. This validates the effectiveness of the proposed H∞$H\infty$ based approach to improve existing underactuated attitude control designs.     

Long-term evolution of Galileo operational orbits by canonical perturbation theory

Galileo operational orbits are slightly affected by the 3 to 5 tesseral resonance, an effect that can be much more important in the case of disposal orbits. Proceeding by canonical perturbation theory we show that the part of the long-term Hamiltonian corresponding to the non-centralities of the Earth's gravitational potential can be replaced by an intermediary that shows the pendulum dynamics of the 3 to 5 tesseral resonance problem. Inclusion of lunisolar perturbations requires a semi-analytical integration, which is compared with the corresponding results from the well-established Draper Semi-analytical Satellite Theory.     

The impact of orbital errors on the estimation of satellite clock errors and PPP

Precise satellite orbit and clocks are essential for providing high accuracy real-time PPP (Precise Point Positioning) service. However, by treating the predicted orbits as fixed, the orbital errors may be partially assimilated by the estimated satellite clock and hence impact the positioning solutions. This paper presents the impact analysis of errors in radial and tangential orbital components on the estimation of satellite clocks and PPP through theoretical study and experimental evaluation. The relationship between the compensation of the orbital errors by the satellite clocks and the satellite-station geometry is discussed in details. Based on the satellite clocks estimated with regional station networks of different sizes (∼100, ∼300, ∼500 and ∼700 km in radius), results indicated that the orbital errors compensated by the satellite clock estimates reduce as the size of the network increases. An interesting regional PPP mode based on the broadcast ephemeris and the corresponding estimated satellite clocks is proposed and evaluated through the numerical study. The impact of orbital errors in the broadcast ephemeris has shown to be negligible for PPP users in a regional network of a radius of ∼300 km, with positioning RMS of about 1.4, 1.4 and 3.7 cm for east, north and up component in the post-mission kinematic mode, comparable with 1.3, 1.3 and 3.6 cm using the precise orbits and the corresponding estimated clocks. Compared with the DGPS and RTK positioning, only the estimated satellite clocks are needed to be disseminated to PPP users for this approach. It can significantly alleviate the communication burdens and therefore can be beneficial to the real time applications.     

Instantaneous rainfall estimation using neural network from multispectral observations of SEVIRI radiometer and its application in estimation of daily and monthly rainfall

In the present paper, an artificial neural network (ANN) based technique has been developed to estimate instantaneous rainfall by using brightness temperature from the IR sensors of SEVIRI radiometer, onboard Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellite. The study is carried out over north of Algeria. For estimation of rainfall, weight matrices of two ANNs namely MLP1 and MLP2 are developed. MLP1 is to identify raining or non-raining pixels. When rainy pixels are identified, then for those pixels, instantaneous rainfall is estimated by using MLP2. For identification of raining and non raining pixels, 7 input parameters from the IR sensors are utilized. Corresponding data of raining/non-raining pixels are taken from radar. For instantaneous rainfall estimation, 14 input parameters are utilized, where 7 parameters are information about raining pixels and 7 parameters are related with cloud features. The results obtained show the neural network performs reasonably well.     

Strong geomagnetic activity forecast by neural networks under dominant southern orientation of the interplanetary magnetic field

The paper deals with the relation of the southern orientation of the north–south component _Bz$B_z$ of the interplanetary magnetic field to geomagnetic activity (GA) and subsequently a method is suggested of using the found facts to forecast potentially dangerous high GA. We have found that on a day with very high GA hourly averages of _Bz$B_z$ with a negative sign occur at least 16 times in typical cases. Since it is very difficult to estimate the orientation of _Bz$B_z$ in the immediate vicinity of the Earth one day or even a few days in advance, we have suggested using a neural-network model, which assumes the worse of the possibilities to forecast the danger of high GA – the dominant southern orientation of the interplanetary magnetic field. The input quantities of the proposed model were information about X-ray flares, type II and IV radio bursts as well as information about coronal mass ejections (CME). In comparing the GA forecasts with observations, we obtain values of the Hanssen–Kuiper skill score ranging from 0.463 to 0.727, which are usual values for similar forecasts of space weather. The proposed model provides forecasts of potentially dangerous high geomagnetic activity should the interplanetary CME (ICME), the originator of geomagnetic storms, hit the Earth under the most unfavorable configuration of cosmic magnetic fields. We cannot know in advance whether the unfavorable configuration is going to occur or not; we just know that it will occur with the probability of 31%.     

某型航空发动机参数变化的原因分析

利用飞参记录有关发动机性能参数的数据,运用推进系统理论知识,进行原因查找分析与调整研究,保持、恢复发动机性能。     

复杂网络的灰点及灰度分析(英文)

依据对复杂网络和灰色系统理论的相关分析,提出了复杂网络中的灰点问题,认为灰点分为存在而未知的灰点和演化灰点两类,并给出了相关定义。进一步给出复杂网络灰度问题的相关描述,将网络灰度分为相对灰度和绝对灰度,并分别进行了证明。