基于离散AMSAA模型的固体火箭发动机可靠性增长分析

描述了离散AMSAA模型与Duane学习曲线特性的关系,给出了该模型的使用方法,包括可靠性增长趋势检验、模型参数的极大似然估计和拟合优度检验方法等。利用进化算法对似然函数求极值,解决了复杂多峰似然函数的求极值问题。在此基础上得到最终研制阶段可靠性点估计和可靠性置信下限。最后,给出了固体火箭发动机可靠性增长分析实例,并与经典评估方法进行了比较,说明了该模型的优越性。     

Semi-empirical model of middle atmosphere wind from the ground to the lower thermosphere

During recent years, special attention has been paid to understanding the background circulation of the middle atmosphere. Particularly in the mesosphere/lower thermosphere (MLT) region, this has involved including data from a range of new radar measurements. It has also involved the comparison of existing empirical middle atmosphere wind models, such as CIRA-86 and HWM-93 to the new data. This has led to the construction of empirical models of MLT winds such as the Global Empirical Wind Model (GEWM). Further investigations are aimed at the construction of new empirical and semi-empirical wind models of the entire middle atmosphere including these new experimental results. The results of a new wind climatology (0–100 km) are presented here, based upon the GEWM, a reanalysis of stratospheric data, and a numerical model which is used to fill the gap between data from the stratospheric and MLT regions.     

利用分数低阶空时矩阵进行冲击噪声环境下的DOA估计

研究冲击噪声环境下的信号DOA估计问题。在对称α稳定(SαS: Symmetric α-stable)分布冲击噪声假设下,定义了一个阵列接收数据的广义分数低阶空时矩阵。理论分析表明,对广义分数低阶空时矩阵进行奇异值分解可获得噪声子空间估计。与信号空间DOA估计技术相结合,提出一种新的基于信号空间分解的DOA估计算法。该算法在低信噪比下对强冲击噪声具有更好的抑制作用。计算机仿真证明了算法的有效性。     

性能参数型航天器机构的可靠性试验评定方法

针对性能参数型航天器机构的工作特点以及试验测试手段的可行性,提出一种适用其可靠性评定的工程化方法。该方法对确定产品可靠性特征量的关键参数进行测量,并根据对产品工作情况的分析,确定与产品无故障工作情况相应的容许值范围。通过样本观测值利用数理统计方法计算产品的可靠性置信下限。算例表明,在精度满足工程计算要求的情况下,本方法可以相当简单地评定出产品的可靠性置信下限,满足航空航天类产品可靠性评定的工程需要     

A330腹舱乘务员休息间改装方案可行性策略分析与研究

A330飞机可选装位于飞机腹舱的乘务员休息间,以保障国际长航线乘务员得到充分的休息。COVID-19疫情爆发后,国际长航线数量巨减,导致大量休息间处于闲置状态。为增强腹舱资源的合理利用,本文从合理性、经济性、实施性、管控性4个方面对乘务员休息间改装方案的可行性进行深入分析和研究,为航空公司提供改装决策参考。     

中纬度冬季低热层潮汐水平风分量相位关系的MF雷达观测

采用武汉(30°N,114°E)MF雷达在2001年冬季的风场观测数据研究中纬度低热层大气潮汐水平风分量之间的相位关系.统一用弧度定义的各潮汐经纬向分量的拟合初相位在三个连续的高度上分别显示出相同的时间变化倾向和相近的相位差,但是在绝大多数观测时间△ψ24和△ψ12准正交,而△ψ8出乎意料地准同相.周日、半日和8 h潮汐经纬向分量的二次相位耦合(QPC)方程被分别估计出来,利用它们相减还得到一个潮汐相位差相关方程.推测的8 h潮汐相位和相位差与相应的观测值很好地符合.在第14个时间窗内,三个潮汐一般表现为椭圆偏振而不是圆偏振或线偏振,但是△ψ24和△ψ12在三个连续的高度上准正交,而△ψ8在92.0和94.0 km上准同相.因此估计的潮汐QPC方程、推导的潮汐相位差相关方程、观测的8 h潮汐准同相相位差以及典型的潮汐偏振图都是观测的周日、半日和8 h潮汐之间真实QPC的反映.      

对称削层复合材料结构的有限元分析

通过对复合材料削层结构的有限元计算分析,得到整个结构特别是过渡段附近的真实应变和应力分布。通过分析发现削层结构的应变和应力分布呈现出不均匀现象,尤其在上下界面附近和覆盖层内,出现应力集中现象,这些危险点的存在,严重影响整个结构的性能。此外,还研究了过渡段长短对结构应力分布的影响。     

Cramér-rao lower bound for pulsar rotation parameters estimation with X-ray pulsar observation data

In this paper, the Cramér-Rao Lower Bound (CRLB) for estimating the rotation parameters of pulsars using X-ray pulsar observation data is deduced, and the calculation equation is presented. In order to verify the correctness of the deduced equation, we use the X-ray pulsar observation data to estimate pulsar rotation parameters, and obtain the root mean square error (RMSE) of the estimated pulsar rotation parameters through conducting repeated experiments. The experimental results suggest that when the observation time increases, the RMSE gradually approaches the estimated CRLB, and that when the observation time is 2.4 × 10⁶ s, the error between the RMSE of pulsar frequency estimation and the CRLB stays at 10^?11 order of magnitude. This verifies that the CRLB expression deduced in this paper is the theoretical lower bound for estimating pulsar rotation parameters. The deduced CRLB in this paper helps determine the minimum variance estimator for pulsar rotation parameter estimation using X-ray pulsar data, providing a benchmark for the comparison between the minimum variance estimator and other estimators.     

Response of quasi-10-day waves in the MLT region to the sudden stratospheric warming in March 2020

We present an analysis of the response of quasi-10-day waves (Q10DWs) to the sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event which occurred on March 23, 2020. The Q10DWs are observed in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT) region by three meteor radars, which are located at middle latitudes along the 120°E meridian from Mohe (MH, 53.5°N, 122.3°E), Beijing (BJ, 40.3°N, 116.2°E), to Wuhan (WH, 30.5°N, 114.6°E). The Q10DWs reveal similar temporal and altitudinal variations during the SSW in the MLT region at the three stations. The activities of Q10DWs are also captured in the temperature measurements from the Sounding of the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry (SABER) on the Thermosphere Ionosphere Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics satellite in the MLT region. Further analysis of the Q10DW phases indicates that the Q10DWs might be in situ generated due to mesospheric instabilities at higher latitudes around MH and then propagate southward to lower latitudes at BJ and WH. The atmospheric instabilities are not directly responsible for the excitations of Q10DWs at lower latitudes, while the observed equatorward propagation of the Q10DWs is important. Our result provides the observational evidence for latitudinal couplings in the MLT region after the SSW onset, which is achieved by southward propagating planetary waves in the MLT region.     

一阶微分方程终值问题拟解的存在性

利用拟上下解方法,研究了一阶微分方程终值问题u′(t)=f()t,u(t),u(T)=xT拟解的存在性,并通过构造单调迭代序列得到该终值问题的最大最小拟解。