基于Kriging模型插值的孔位修正策略

飞机装配时的孔位精度直接影响其最终装配质量，而待制孔零件易发生变形和整体偏移，因此一般通过基准孔信息对待制孔位进行补偿。提出一种基于Kriging插值的孔位修正方法，通过基准孔建立孔位理论坐标与实际偏差值的Kriging模型，进而预测待制孔的孔位偏差，并给出每个位置的预测标准误差，以指导基准孔的增添和布置。最后通过有限元和数值实验分别验证了零件在极限变形和整体平移旋转情况下该方法的有效性，实现了孔位估计误差小于0.3 mm。     

基于模糊机会约束规划的机会阵雷达方向图综合

针对机会阵雷达方向图综合的不确定问题,提出了一种基于模糊机会约束规划的方向图综合规划模型。该模型基于可信性理论,综合考虑天线单元分布的随机性以及激励状态的不确定性,将参与方向图综合时激励打开的天线数目看做一个梯形模糊变量,用以描述综合时的复杂不确定环境。随后,将规划模型转化为清晰等价形式,再结合遗传算法和灰关联综合评价法则设计了一种混合智能优化算法,用于求解该模型。以一维任意非均匀线阵为例,对主瓣宽度和最大副瓣电平进行了优化。仿真表明:优化后结果的可信性高于置信水平,验证了该算法的有效性。     

A salient edges detection algorithm of multi-sensor images and its rapid calculation based on PFCM kernel clustering

Multi-sensor image matching based on salient edges has broad prospect in applications, but it is difficult to extract salient edges of real multi-sensor images with noises fast and accurately by using common algorithms. According to the analysis of the features of salient edges, a novel salient edges detection algorithm and its rapid calculation are proposed based on possibility fuzzy C-means （PFCM） kernel clustering using two-dimensional vectors composed of the values of gray and texture. PFCM clustering can overcome the shortcomings that fuzzy C-means （FCM） cluster- ing is sensitive to noises and possibility C-means （PCM） clustering tends to find identical clusters. On this basis, a method is proposed to improve real-time performance by compressing data sets based on the idea of data reduction in the field of mathematical analysis. In addition, the idea that kernel-space is linearly separable is used to enhance robustness further. Experimental results show that this method extracts salient edges for real multi-sensor images with noises more accurately than the algorithm based on force fields and the FCM algorithm; and the proposed method is on average about 56 times faster than the PFCM algorithm in real time and has better robustness.     

大面积航班延误的实时航班延误程度评估研究

为对大面积航班的延误程度进行实时评估,根据航班延误的时空分布特点,从延误时间和延误范围两个角度给出评估指标,建立了航班延误程度实时评估指标体系。采用层次分析法得到各个指标的权重,并在此基础上给出了基于模糊综合评价的航班延误程度实时评估模型。实例的计算结果表明建立的评估模型是可行的。     

舰载机惯导动基座传递对准基准系统技术研究

根据舰载机惯导动基座高精度对准的需求,从系统顶层设计的角度,引入数字停机位空间坐标系概念,建立了舰载机惯导动基座传递对准的基准。在此基础上,分析了杆臂效应和船体挠曲变形对基准精度的影响,并给出了相应的处理模型和方法。舰载机可直接引入该基准坐标系下的导航信息进行对准,无须关注舰船性能参数和主导航安装位置等,有利于减少惯导动基座对准技术难度,提高对准效率。     

基于模糊聚类分析的步枪作战效能评估

为了评估步枪的战术效能,科学地构建步枪作战效能评估体系,运用模糊聚类分析方法对步枪作战效能进行评估,最后通过算例验证了所建模型是合理、可行的。     

IDS contribution to ITRF2008

For the first time, the International DORIS Service (IDS) has produced a technique level combination based on the contributions of seven analysis centers (ACs), including the European Space Operations Center (ESOC), Geodetic Observatory Pecny (GOP), Geoscience Australia (GAU), the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), the Institut Géographique National (IGN), the Institute of Astronomy, Russian Academy of Sciences (INASAN, named as INA), and CNES/CLS (named as LCA). The ACs used five different software packages to process the DORIS data from 1992 to 2008, including NAPEOS (ESA), Bernese (GOP), GEODYN (GAU, GSC), GIPSY/OASIS (INA), and GINS (LCA). The data from seven DORIS satellites, TOPEX/Poseidon, SPOT-2, SPOT-3, SPOT-4, SPOT-5, Envisat and Jason-1 were processed and all the analysis centers produced weekly SINEX files in either variance–covariance or normal equation format. The processing by the analysis centers used the latest GRACE-derived gravity models, forward modelling of atmospheric gravity, updates to the radiation pressure modelling to improve the DORIS geocenter solutions, denser parameterization of empirically determined drag coefficients to improve station and EOP solutions, especially near the solar maximum in 2001–2002, updated troposphere mapping functions, and an ITRF2005-derived station set for orbit determination, DPOD2005. The CATREF software was used to process the weekly AC solutions, and produce three iterations of an IDS global weekly combination. Between the development of the initial solution IDS-1, and the final solution, IDS-3, the ACs improved their analysis strategies and submitted updated solutions to eliminate troposphere-derived biases in the solution scale, to reduce drag-related degradations in station positioning, and to refine the estimation strategy to improve the combination geocenter solution. An analysis of the frequency content of the individual AC geocenter and scale solutions was used as the basis to define the scale and geocenter of the IDS-3 combination. The final IDS-3 combination has an internal position consistency (WRMS) that is 15 to 20 mm before 2002 and 8 to 10 mm after 2002, when 4 or 5 satellites contribute to the weekly solutions. The final IDS-3 combination includes solutions for 130 DORIS stations on 67 different sites of which 35 have occupations over 16 years (1993.0–2009.0). The EOPs from the IDS-3 combination were compared with the IERS 05 C04 time series and the RMS agreement was 0.24 mas and 0.35 mas for the X and Y components of polar motion. The comparison to ITRF2005 in station position shows an agreement of 6 to 8 mm RMS in horizontal and 10.3 mm in height. The RMS comparison to ITRF2005 in station velocity is at 1.8 mm/year on the East component, to 1.2 mm/year in North component and 1.6 mm/year in height.     

Optimized Fuzzy Clustering Method for Health Monitoring of Shield Tunnels

Since health monitoring of shield tunnels generally employs multiple sensors belonging to different types,a fine analysis on massive monitoring data,as well as further quantitative health grading,is really challenging.An optimized fuzzy clustering analysis method based on the fuzzy equivalence relation is proposed for health monitoring of shield tunnels.Clustering results are auto-generated by using fuzzy similarity-valued map.The results follow the idea of unsupervised classification.Moreover,a convenient new health index HI is proposed for a fast tunnel-health grading.A case study on Nanjing Yangtze River Tunnel is presented to validate this method.Three types of indicators,namely soil pressure,pore water pressure and steel strain,are used to develop the clustering model.The clustering results are verified by analyzing the engineering geological conditions;the validity and the efficacy of the proposed method are also demonstrated.Further,the fuzzy clustering analysis also represents a potential for identifying abnormal monitoring data.This investigation indicates the fuzzy clustering analysis method is capable of characterizing the fuzziness of tunnel health,and beneficial to clarify the tunnel health evaluation uncertainties.     

公共场所火灾公众责任险风险评估及核保模型研究

介绍了目前我国公共场所火灾的现状及火灾公众责任险强制性实施的必要性.通过建立公众场所火灾风险评价指标体系,运用多层次模糊综合评价理论对公众场所火灾危险性进行综合评估.最后依据评估结果对火灾公众责任险费率进行浮动,确定科学合理的费率水平和责任限额.