目前管理信息系统弊病分析及其改善途径

本文在肯定管理信息系统给企业带来经济效益和社会效益的前提下，分析了管理信息系统中存在的主要弊病及产生弊病的主要原因，主要弊病：信息质量问题，适应性差，及系统与用户之间存在着间隙。产生弊病的主要原因是：系统开发队伍的结构不合理，原理数据的局限性、数据集的表态性，及传统开发方法本身的限制。根据对弊病原因的分析，探讨了克服弊病与改善系统性能的基本途径：合理组织系统开发队伍，适当拓宽系统范围（包括拓宽数据     

控制面临的任务和问题——美国控制界“高峰会议”观点摘编

美国国家科学基金会与 IEEE 控制系统学会联合召开了一次控制界“高峰会议”。由全美控制界最著名的约50位专家学者参加,对于控制学科当前的发展趋势和面临的问题以及对于控制的每一挑战和其中重要的研究课题都进行了认真讨论,最后形成了《控制面临的任务和问题》这份报告。对于我国控制界的同仁,这无疑是一份可惜鉴的重要材料。     

羊毛精纺织物服用性能优选的多属性模糊决策

本文应用多属性目标决策的方法,评判不同规格毛织面料的"满意度",客观地提供一个重要的优选辅助依据。     

危害性分析中的模糊数学方法

利用模糊集合理论对影响故障模式危害性的各因素进行了模糊化处理，建立了故障模式危害性评定的模糊评判模型，并阐述了模糊评判方法的基本步骤。     

多传感器信息融合技术

多传感器信息融合是Ｃ＾３Ｉ系统和电子综合战系统中的关键技术，本文从信息融合分类出发，讨论了单传感器的信息融合决策理论和技术以及多传感器信息融合原理，提出了多传感器信息融合专家系统，着重讨论贝叶斯法用于二元检测的分布式多传感器信息融合的检测方式。     

舰载机智能复飞决策技术研究

为了进一步改进复飞技术,针对复飞环境,提出了一种在原军用推力操纵的基础上,加入具有保持迎角恒定的升降舵模糊控制的复飞系统,从而有效地增强了低动压状态下飞机的机动能力。给出了复飞决策准则,设计了基于模糊控制的复飞决策系统,并对具有该复飞决策系统的舰载机自动着舰导引系统进行了仿真验证。结果表明,该复飞决策系统明显地缩小了复飞边界区,大大提高了着舰和复飞的安全性,可实现自动复飞,减轻了飞行员的负担。     

Decision-making of Aircraft Optimum Configuration Utilizing Multidimensional Game Theory

As multi-discipline coupling and components interference often affect the aircraft configuration decision-making and analysis during conceptual design process, this article presents an approach of multidimensional game theory based on aircraft components to deal with this problem. The idea is that the configuration decision-making process is regarded as the game for different disciplines and technologies, and the aircraft components are players. The payoff function with highest total gain means that according to the game protocols and multidimensional theory, the optimal aircraft configuration within the strategy set will be chosen. The decision-making model is applied to conceptual design process of the high altitude long endurance (HALE) unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) based on the assessment of technological risk. The obtained optimum configuration is quite consistent with the current HALE UAV development trends. Thus, taking into account the coupling and interference factors, the multidimensional gaming model based on aircraft components will be an effective analysis method in the decision-making process of aircraft optimum configuration.     

Comparison of decision tree methods for finding active objects

The automated classification of objects from large catalogs or survey projects is an important task in many astronomical surveys. Faced with various classification algorithms, astronomers should select the method according to their requirements. Here we describe several kinds of decision trees for finding active objects by multi-wavelength data, such as REPTree, Random Tree, Decision Stump, Random Forest, J48, NBTree, AdTree. All decision tree approaches investigated are in the WEKA package. The classification performance of the methods is presented. In the process of classification by decision tree methods, the classification rules are easily obtained, moreover these rules are clear and easy to understand for astronomers. As a result, astronomers are inclined to prefer and apply them, thus know which attributes are important to discriminate celestial objects. The experimental results show that when various decision trees are applied in discriminating active objects (quasars, BL Lac objects and active galaxies) from non-active objects (stars and galaxies), ADTree is the best only in terms of accuracy, Decision Stump is the best only considering speed, J48 is the optimal choice considering both accuracy and speed.     

面向空中目标威胁评估的多传感器管理方法

为了降低在空中目标威胁评估任务中由于威胁评估结果的不准确性和传感器辐射所带来的潜在损失，提出了一种基于风险的多传感器管理方法。首先，基于部分可观马尔可夫决策过程建立了传感器管理模型；然后，给出了基于信息状态的威胁评估风险和传感器辐射风险的预测方法以量化潜在损失；接着，为获得更优的作战收益，以多步风险预测值为决策依据，以两种风险的加权和最小为优化目标建立了长期目标函数；最后，在求解目标函数时，将传感器管理问题转化为决策树搜索，设计了一种基于分支定界的标准代价搜索算法以快速获得高质量的管理方案。仿真实验表明，所提算法能够在搜索到高质量解的同时大幅减少计算时间和内存消耗；所提方法能够对风险进行准确预测，且相比于经典的传感器管理方法，所提方法具有更好的风险控制效果。     

由感知到动作决策一体化的类脑导航技术研究现状与未来发展

随着脑与神经科学以及人工智能技术的持续发展，昆虫和哺乳动物大脑导航机理启发下的感知/认知/路径规划/动作决策一体化类脑导航技术得到了较大发展，可以实现由原始感知信息输入到导航动作决策的直接输出，呈现出接近动物端到端面向目标导航的智能行为，具有提高密集型无人机集群导航鲁棒性、准确性、实时响应动作、自主智能性以及计算效率的潜力。阐述了昆虫和哺乳动物大脑导航机理及其互补对称关系，以及昆虫和哺乳动物大脑导航机理启发的端到端类脑导航技术内涵；论述了类脑导航技术研究进展，包括类脑环境感知、类脑空间认知、面向目标类脑导航；分析了类脑导航向智能化、神经形态系统以及群体导航发展的新趋势；最后讨论了类脑导航技术应用于无人机密集集群系统时存在的挑战。