相关系数平稳序列的估计与识别

本文提出了通过观测序列确定不可直接测得的相关系数平稳序列模型参数的方法,详细讨论了相关系数AR(p),MA(q)和ARMA(p,q)序列状态方程的参数估计,为非平稳序列的滤波、预测和平滑提供了依据。文中还给出了观测系统参数的识别方法,与传统方法相比,本文方法考虑了测量噪声的均值和方差随时间变化情况,具有更高的识别精度。      

计及随机噪声的频域多输入多输出模态参数识别

提出了一种计及随机噪声的多输入多输出频域模态参数识别方法。该方法基于连续时间域的频率响应函数有理分式模型,利用Forsythe正交多项式改善求解性态,属频域的极大似然类估计方法。在最小二乘估计的基础上,利用"先验"的随机噪声信息进行优化迭代的极大似然估计,得到更优的模态参数识别结果。根据Cramer Rao下界不等式,在几乎不增加计算量的情况下获得所识别结果的不确定性信息,提高了模态参数识别的可靠性。采用GARTEUR飞机模型作为仿真算例,对本算法进行了仿真验证。     

某型号液体火箭发动机可靠性分析

基于逐步增加Ⅱ型截尾样本,讨论了某型号液体火箭发动机可靠性指标的Bayes估计及E-Bayes估计.在刻度平方误差损失函数下,给出了火箭发动机寿命分布参数、可靠度函数及失效率函数的Bayes估计及E-Bayes估计.最后运用Monte Carlo方法对各种估计的均方误差进行了模拟比较.结果表明,E-Bayes估计给出的估计精度高.     

基于SPWD多载波频率估计算法的改进

针对目前提出的多载波估计算法存在的速度与精度的问题,基于模糊控制理论,改进和完善了多载波信号载频估计算法.通过对多载波时隙ALOHA网络真实卫星信号的载频频点提取,验证了该改进算法的时效性.     

Analysis on Potential Conflict Frequency of Intersected Air Routes in Terminal Airspace Design

In order to obtain accurate conflict risks in terminal airspace design, the concept and calculation model of potential conflict frequency for intersected routes are proposed. Conflict frequency is represented by the product of horizontal conflict frequency and vertical conflict probability. The horizontal conflict frequency is derived from the probability density distribution of conflicts in a period of time. Based on the recorded radar trajectory data, the concept and model of ROUTE distance are proposed, and the probability density function of aircraft height at a specified ROUTE distance is deduced by kernel density estimation. Furthermore, vertical conflict probability and its horizontal distribution are achieved. Examples of three intersected arrival and departure route design schemes are studied. Compared with scheme 1, the conflict frequency values of the other two improved schemes decrease to 53 % and 24%, respectively. The results show that the model can quantify potential conflict frequency of intersec ted routes.     

基于稀疏表示的多雷达信号二维融合处理

多雷达信号融合通过对多视角和多频带雷达信号进行相干融合,可以提高图像的距离和方位向分辨率.为了克服基于谱估计的多雷达信号融合方法稳健性严重依赖于散射点个数估计精度和二维极点配对精度的问题,在深入研究逆合成孔径雷达(ISAR)信号的基础上,构造了多雷达信号二维融合的线性表示模型,将融合处理转化为一个信号表示问题;充分挖掘...     

电离层顶部电子含量对GNSS电离层层析的影响分析

卫星信号射线上的总电子含量(slant total electron content, STEC)是像素基全球卫星导航系统电离层层析(computerized ionospheric tomography, CIT)建模的必要数据来源，但电离层层析通常忽略1 000 km以上的顶部电子含量，为弄清这部分电子含量对层析结果的影响，利用NeQuick2模型计算站星视线上的STEC与其在电离层区域内的STEC比值来改正原始数据，并分别利用改正前后的STEC进行电离层层析。结果显示，电离层顶部电子含量占比约为10%，白天占比略大于黑夜，与测高仪站的数据相比，改正后的均方根值比改正前提高了20%以上；与Swarm卫星提供的电子剖面数据对比，改正后的层析结果精度较改正前提升了19.6%左右，且该方法受地磁扰动影响较为明显。总的来说，利用CIT进行小尺度电离层探测，可较直观地看出，顶部电子含量对层析结果的影响较大，需要采取相应手段予以剔除。     

Relay selection based on MAP estimation for cooperative communication with outdated channel state information

In this paper, we consider an amplify-and-forward (AF) cooperative communication system when the channel state information (CSI) used in relay selection differs from that during data transmission, i.e., the CSI used in relay selection is outdated. The selected relay may not be actually the best for data transmission and the outage performance of the cooperative system will deteriorate. To improve its performance, we propose a relay selection strategy based on maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation, where relay is selected based on predicted signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). To reduce the computation complexity, we approximate the a posteriori probability density of SNR and obtain a closed-form predicted SNR, and a relay selection strategy based on the approximate MAP estimation (RS-AMAP) is proposed. The simulation results show that this approximation leads to trivial performance loss from the perspective of outage probability. Compared with relay selection strategies given in the literature, the outage probability is reduced largely through RS-AMAP for medium-to-large transmitting powers and medium-to-high channel correlation coefficients.     

液体推进系统充填过程的有限元状态变量模型

研究了常温推进剂液体火箭发动机充填过程的建模问题。对推进剂充填管道系统进行有限元分割，应用基本守恒定律于充满推进剂的单元和充满气体的单元，两相单元则采用等效流容方程，建立了常温推进剂管道系统充填过程的有限元状态变量模型。模型面向液体推进系统动态过程控制与通用仿真。利用该模型，对一管道充填过程进行了仿真计算，给出了有关计算结果。     

区域杂波估计的多目标跟踪方法

高斯粒子概率假设密度（PHD）滤波往往假定杂波密度参数已知,这种做法对于实际应用是不现实的。此外,杂波的参数值通常依赖于环境条件,可能随时间发生变化。因此,多目标跟踪算法中需要实时准确估计杂波密度的参数。基于此,提出了一种多目标跟踪的区域杂波估计方法。首先根据量测信息在线估计出场景中的杂波数目,然后估计落入目标附近感兴趣区域的杂波数,并估计每个目标感兴趣区域杂波强度。仿真结果表明,在复杂场景下算法的跟踪性能明显优于未进行杂波估计的多目标跟踪算法,提高了跟踪的实时性和跟踪精度。