Radio Heliographic Diagnostics of Solar Activity That Governs Space Weather

In this paper, the possibility and some results of radioheliographic study of space weather solar factors are shortly described.     

A Theoretic Interpretation of Movement of the Cusp Equatorward Boundary

A preliminary model is proposed to describe quantitatively the position and movement of cusp equatorward boundary. This integrated model, consisting of an empirical model of the magnetopause and a compressed dipolar model of Open/Closed field line, connects quantitatively the solar wind conditions, subsolar magnetopause and cusp equatorward boundary. It is shown that the increasing solar wind dynamic pressure and the increasing southward Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) component drive the magnetopause to move inward and the cusp equatorward. This model is adopted to interpret quantitatively the cusp movement of August 14, 2001 observed by Cluster. The results show that the subsolar magnetopause moved earthward from 10.7 He to 9.0 Re during the period of 002300-002800 UT, and correspondingly the cusp equatorward boundary shifted equatorward. The observations of Cluster C1 and C4 show the cusp equatorward boundary that Cluster Cl and C4 were crossing during same interval moved equatorward by 4.6°. The cusp equatorward boundary velocity computed in the theoretical model (10.7km/s) is in good agreement with the observed value (9.4km/s) calculated from the data of CIS of Cluster C4 and C1.     

From the Solar Wind to the Magnetospheric Substorm

This paper gives a brief outline of the progression from the first substorm model developed in Ref.[4] and[8] based on Kennel's ideas[3], to the present views about the mechanism by which solar wind kinetic energy is converted to electromagnetic energy at the Bow Shock and by which this energy is transferred to the magnetosphere in the form of current; about the transformation of the energy of this current to gas kinetic energy of convecting plasma tubes, and, finally, the back transformation of gas kinetic energy to electromagnetic energy in secondary magnetospheric MHD generators. The questions of the formation of the magnetospheric convection system, the nature of substorm break-up, and of the matching of currents in the magnetosphere-ionosphere system are discussed.      

利用神经网络预报太阳质子事件后的地磁扰动

通过分析几十个典型太阳质子事件表明,具有以下特征的质子事件其后1－3天内一般有强烈地磁扰动发生：1．质子耀班级别和亮度较大（3B以上）;2．质子通量在上升阶段增加很快,而在下降阶段相对来说衰减也很快（尤其是在峰值附近）;3．电子通量远远大于质子通量并且和质子通量有相似的变化规律．在此基础上,利用神经网络预报太阳质子事件发生后3天内地磁扰动的趋势．     

影响地球环境的太阳质子事件的时间过程

利用1966年以来的大量太阳耀斑以及相应质子事件的资料,分析研究了质子事件到达时间和极大时间同耀斑经度位置的统计关系.结果表明当耀斑位置处于经过地球的行星际大尺度场磁力线足点位置附近时,上述两种时间过程最短.这个结果支持了太阳耀斑粒子经日冕传播再向行星际空间传播的二阶段传播模型.      

并行工程环境下基于约束的叶盘结构建模与分析

在网络工作站的集成化软件平台ＵＧ上,利用复合特征建模技术对复杂零组件的实体造型能力及其特征与ＳＴＥＰ标准定义实体的对应关系,完成了支持并行工程的航空发动机整体叶盘建模系统。针对航发零组件设计跨多学科的特点,建造了约束管理系统,以约束网络和规则库形式协调多功能小组的活动,保证在建模阶段即可避免后续研制中的问题。实现了ＵＧ和分析平台ＰＡＴＲＡＮ的模型传递,并以某型涡扇的整体叶盘为实例,进行了有限元静强度及振动分析。这项工作为并行工程在航发产品中的应用提供了支持工具。     

太阳X射线暴在地球大气中传输的Monte Carlo模拟

应用MonteCarlo方法对太阳X射线暴(1-8?及0.5-4?)与地球大气相互作用过程进行跟踪模拟,得到了X射线暴在电离层D层产生的电子产生率,并计算了由此产生的宇宙噪声吸收值。结果与作者在南极观测得到的X射线暴期间宇宙噪声吸收值符合较好.      

太阳耀斑显著的热和非热事件的统计特征

本文利用GOES卫星和SMM卫星软、硬X射线耀斑观测资料,分析耀斑中软、硬X射线辐射流量的分布,发现太阳耀斑存在着显著的热事件(PT事件)和显著的非热事件(PNT事件),它们主要特征是:(1)PT事件为缓变型耀斑,PNT事件为脉冲型耀斑;(2)PT事件的硬X射线谱较软,PNT事件能谱较硬;(3)PNT事件非热能量释放速率比PT事件快3—10倍;(4)耀斑发展趋缓慢,PT事件中软X射线峰值流量越大;(5)耀斑中PNT事件约占60％,PT事件约占40％.最后定性讨论了产生PT和PNT事件的可能机制.      

低纬100—200km间电子数密度的变化

利用光化平衡模式计算了低纬100—200km间白天电子数密度的变化。求得E-F₁谷区的谷深,谷宽、谷高的变化特征。获得如下结果:a.太阳活动明显影响电子数密度随高度及太阳天顶角的变化,发现太阳活动指数与电子数密度间不仅存在正相关,而且存在负相关;b.太阳活动明显影响E-F₁谷区的形态。在一定太阳活动条件下,对同一太阳赤纬和地理纬度,谷深、谷宽与太阳天顶角的关系难以用一简单函数来表示;c.太阳耀斑、地磁活动对该区电子密度有明显影响;d.在讨论100—200km间电子密度时不能忽略O+（2P）和NO的光电离率。      

二维磁流体动力学平衡日冕(Ⅱ)

基于解析和数值相结合的方法,进一步讨论了非均匀引力场中日冕的二维磁流体动力学平衡。对临界点进行了比较仔细的处理。得到了包含闭场区、中性片和开场区的大尺度日冕磁场位形,闭场区和中性片构成冕流结构。在高纬和低纬地区几个太阳半径之外,等离子体径向流动速度超过了局地声速和局地Alfvén速度。在1AU处,太阳风速度可达到400kms_-1以上