Radio Heliographic Diagnostics of Solar Activity That Governs Space Weather

In this paper, the possibility and some results of radioheliographic study of space weather solar factors are shortly described.     

A Theoretic Interpretation of Movement of the Cusp Equatorward Boundary

A preliminary model is proposed to describe quantitatively the position and movement of cusp equatorward boundary. This integrated model, consisting of an empirical model of the magnetopause and a compressed dipolar model of Open/Closed field line, connects quantitatively the solar wind conditions, subsolar magnetopause and cusp equatorward boundary. It is shown that the increasing solar wind dynamic pressure and the increasing southward Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) component drive the magnetopause to move inward and the cusp equatorward. This model is adopted to interpret quantitatively the cusp movement of August 14, 2001 observed by Cluster. The results show that the subsolar magnetopause moved earthward from 10.7 He to 9.0 Re during the period of 002300-002800 UT, and correspondingly the cusp equatorward boundary shifted equatorward. The observations of Cluster C1 and C4 show the cusp equatorward boundary that Cluster Cl and C4 were crossing during same interval moved equatorward by 4.6°. The cusp equatorward boundary velocity computed in the theoretical model (10.7km/s) is in good agreement with the observed value (9.4km/s) calculated from the data of CIS of Cluster C4 and C1.     

From the Solar Wind to the Magnetospheric Substorm

This paper gives a brief outline of the progression from the first substorm model developed in Ref.[4] and[8] based on Kennel's ideas[3], to the present views about the mechanism by which solar wind kinetic energy is converted to electromagnetic energy at the Bow Shock and by which this energy is transferred to the magnetosphere in the form of current; about the transformation of the energy of this current to gas kinetic energy of convecting plasma tubes, and, finally, the back transformation of gas kinetic energy to electromagnetic energy in secondary magnetospheric MHD generators. The questions of the formation of the magnetospheric convection system, the nature of substorm break-up, and of the matching of currents in the magnetosphere-ionosphere system are discussed.      

对日观测卫星无陀螺姿态确定算法研究

研究了两种无陀螺姿态确定算法:Kalman滤波算法和二阶差分算法。基于某对日观测卫星,将“陀螺 太阳导行镜”组合Kalman滤波算法与以上两种无陀螺定姿算法进行了仿真比较。结果表明,Kalman滤波算法和二阶差分算法均能较好地实现对日观测卫星三轴姿态角和姿态角速度的估计。     

利用神经网络预报太阳质子事件后的地磁扰动

通过分析几十个典型太阳质子事件表明,具有以下特征的质子事件其后1－3天内一般有强烈地磁扰动发生：1．质子耀班级别和亮度较大（3B以上）;2．质子通量在上升阶段增加很快,而在下降阶段相对来说衰减也很快（尤其是在峰值附近）;3．电子通量远远大于质子通量并且和质子通量有相似的变化规律．在此基础上,利用神经网络预报太阳质子事件发生后3天内地磁扰动的趋势．     

影响地球环境的太阳质子事件的时间过程

利用1966年以来的大量太阳耀斑以及相应质子事件的资料,分析研究了质子事件到达时间和极大时间同耀斑经度位置的统计关系.结果表明当耀斑位置处于经过地球的行星际大尺度场磁力线足点位置附近时,上述两种时间过程最短.这个结果支持了太阳耀斑粒子经日冕传播再向行星际空间传播的二阶段传播模型.      

统计能量分析在太阳翼噪声分析上的应用

简要概述了太阳翼噪声试验和分析的必要性以及国内外进行声振力学环境预示的技术途径和现状 ;利用统计能量分析 (SEA)对太阳翼的声振力学环境进行了预示 ;经过与试验结果的对比 ,验证了上述方法的可行性。     

太阳同步轨道卫星电源系统设计计算方法研究

给出了太阳同步轨道卫星电源系统的两种基本结构框架 ;分析了这两种结构的电源系统的设计计算方法 ;推导出了基于单圈能量平衡和多圈能量平衡的计算公式。以一个算例验证了该算法 ,并计算出所需太阳电池阵的面积和蓄电池组的容量 ,最后进行了能量平衡分析 ,得到了单圈或多圈能量平衡的结果。     

三轴磁强计与太阳电池阵组合的皮卫星姿态确定方法

提出一种组合应用三轴磁强计信号与太阳电池阵列信号,在双矢量定姿的基础上,结合样点卡尔曼滤波(UKF)估计算法,连续输出六维姿态信息的姿态估计方法。数值仿真结果表明:两种测量信息有效组合时,精度水平可以满足皮卫星任务要求。     

平流层飞艇的能源技术和平衡分析

平流层飞艇作为近空间对地观测平台的一种实现方案,主要依靠自身庞大体积产生的静浮力而不像其它飞行器依靠相对空气运动产生升力,所以飞艇能够以较慢的速度飞行甚至能够在空中长期保持定点悬停即相对地面静止。具有长时间在平流层自主飞行的能力,是平流层飞艇设计的一个重要目标。文章对平流层飞艇能源系统的构成、部件及能源平衡分析方法作了介绍。