基于EMD的东亚夏季风年代际变化特征及与太阳活动的关系

应用英国气象局哈德利气象研究中心(HadleyCenter)及美国环境预报中心和国家大气研究中心(NCEP/NCAR)的海平面气压(SeaLevelPressure,SLP)资料归一化得出1850-2011年的东亚夏季风指数,利用经验模态分解(EmpiricalModeDecomposition,EMD)方法对其变化特征进行分析,得到东亚夏季风指数的周期特征.太阳黑子活动与东亚夏季风活动存在相同的11年及80年左右周期,其中11年周期变化尤为明显.对比1850-2011年间太阳黑子数与东亚夏季风指数经验模态分解后的11年周期变化分量,发现两者波动振幅变化基本一致.      

极月轨道上太阳电池阵外热流规律分析

准确的月球表面温度分布模型对于开展月球探测具有重要意义. 目前有关月球表面温 度模型还缺乏对完整月球表面温度分布的计算方法研究. 本文建立了一套计算完整月球表面温度的方法, 其中月球阳面温度采用Racca模型直接计算得到; 对于月球阴面, 将其沿纬度方向划分为若干区域, 每个区域的地表土壤采用一维非稳态热传导模型, 根据嫦娥三号着陆器太阳电池阵在轨环月阶段的温度数据, 修正得到月球表面土壤导热系数、密度及比热容, 通过数值计算求解一维非稳态热传导方程, 得出任意时刻月球阴面表面温度随时间的变化. 嫦娥三号着陆器太阳电池阵环月阶段热分析结果与在轨温度符合较好, 初步说明本文建立的完整月球表面温度计算方法正确可行. 基于本文方法计算得到整个月球表面温度分布, 进一步研究了极月轨道太阳电池阵外热流变化规律.      

舰载武器捷联惯导系统极地传递对准算法

针对我国海军舰载武器捷联惯导系统的极地作战环境适应性问题,分析了武器惯导在极区条件遇到的两大挑战:极区航向输出与高精度对准问题。对于极区导航问题,在导航解算中设定不重合于地理系的格网导航坐标系以解决航向输出难题;对于高精度对准问题,也提出了格网导航系下的"速度+姿态角速率"匹配传递对准解决方案。最后通过模拟仿真舰艇极地航行条件,验证了格网导航以及传递对准方法在极地条件的适用性。     

FY-1C/D极轨气象卫星姿控分系统及其在轨运行

简要介绍了风云一号(FY-1)C，D极轨气象卫星姿态控制分系统的主要任务、技术指标和系统构成。给出了两星发射后动量轮、红外地平仪、太阳敏感器和三轴磁强计等的运行情况。卫星姿态在轨测试结果表明，FY-1C，D星的姿态稳定，满足甚至优于技术指标要求。最后概述了姿控分系统在可靠性、长寿命和稳定性等方面的技术进步。     

太阳活动区R9077引起的强烈吸收事件

利用南极中山站的观测数据分析了太阳活动区R9077所引起的强烈吸收事件，其中2000年7月14日的太阳质子事件引起了持续3天多强烈的极盖吸收，同时，激烈的太阳活动使磁层处于极度扰动状态，磁层高能粒子沉降使许多持续时间较短的吸收峰叠加在极盖吸收背景之上，最突出的是7月1日的吸收增强事件，其最大值达26dB。这是自1997年2月中山站安装成像式宇宙噪声接收机以来观测到的最强的吸收，另一个较突出的吸收峰发生在14日1753UT前后，本文还讨论了产生这些吸收的原由。     

中山站电离层尖峰脉冲型吸收统计特性

通过对南极中山站成像式宇宙噪声接收机2000至2001年的观测数据进行分析,得到了189例电离层尖峰脉冲型吸收事件,按其发生时间可分为夜侧吸收事件(69例)和日侧吸收事件(120例).对这两类吸收事件进行对比统计研究,得到了其吸收发生时间、吸收持续时间、吸收强度、吸收区域形状和空间尺度、运动状况以及吸收事件与地磁Kp指数关系等特性,并对电离层尖峰脉冲型吸收的可能产生机制进行了讨论.      

Ozone variability related to several SEP events occurring during solar cycle no. 23

Data from geostationary operational environmental satellite (GOES) series were used to identify intense solar energetic particle (SEP) events occurred during the solar activity cycle no. 23. We retrieved O₃, NO, NO₂, HNO₃, OH, HCl and OHCl profiles coming from different satellite sensors (solar occultation and limb emission) and we looked for the mesospheric/stratospheric response to SEPs at high terrestrial latitudes. The chemistry of the minor atmospheric components is analysed to evaluate the associated odd nitrogen (NO_x) and odd hydrogen (HO_x) production, able to cause short (h) and medium (days) term ozone variations. We investigated the effects of SEPs on the polar atmosphere in three different seasons, i.e., January 2005, April 2002 and July 2000. The inter-hemispheric variability of the ozone, induced by the SEP series of January 2005, has been compared with the effects connected both to larger and quite similar events. We found that during SEP events: (i) solar illumination is the key factor driving SEP-induced effects on the chemistry of the polar atmosphere; (ii) even events with limited particle flux in the range 15–40 MeV are able to change the abundance of the minor constituents in the mesosphere and upper stratosphere.     

Impact of four dimensional assimilation of satellite data on long-range simulations over the Indian region during monsoon 2006

A number of experiments were conducted to study the impact of updating model basic fields by satellite data (Quick Scatterometer (QSCAT) surface winds and Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) temperature and humidity profiles) on long-range simulation during the Indian summer monsoon 2006. The Pennsylvania State University/National Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU/NCAR) mesoscale model version5 (MM5) and its four dimensional data assimilation (FDDA) technique was used for the numerical simulations. The spatial distribution and temporal variation in model simulated basic meteorological parameters and rainfall were verified against the observed fields from National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) analysis and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM), respectively. The overall analysis of the results from QSCAT surface wind assimilation as compared to control simulation (CNT; without the satellite data assimilation) suggest that a better representation of a single level wind field during model integration fail to make significant improvement in the model simulation both in the basic meteorological parameters and rainfall. The assimilation of temperature and humidity profiles from the AIRS during model integration significantly improved the rainfall prediction during monsoon period. It is found that the improvement in rainfall prediction is attributed to improved thermodynamics structure due to AIRS profile assimilation and the degree of improvement is more in temperature prediction as compared to humidity prediction. It is also found that the prediction over the regions, such as south west part of India and foothills of Himalaya, where a complex orography exists, is not significantly benefited from satellite data assimilation which highlights the need of improvement in the model in addition to a better representation of atmospheric state.     

2004年12月13日IMF北向期间极区亚暴电离层电动力学特征

利用KRM地磁反演方法, 结合北半球中高纬度地磁台站数据, 研究了2004年12月13日行星际磁场北向期间发生的亚暴事件, 极区电离层电动力学参量(电流矢量、等效电流函数以及电势)的分布特征. 结果表明, 在该亚暴膨胀相起始后, 午夜之前西向电集流急剧增强, 且等效电流体系表现为夜侧双涡, 同时伴随夜侧增强的南向电场. 由于极弱的直接驱动过程, 卸载过程引起的电离层效应得到清楚显示. 卸载过程在膨胀相期间起绝对主导性作用. 同时, 夜侧电导率的增强是电集流区域电流急剧增强的主要原因.      

积云对流参数化方案对东亚夏季风模拟对比

利用MM5模式对比5种不同积云对流参数化方案,即Kuo方案、Grell方案、Kain-Fritsch方案、Betts-Miller方案和赵思雄修改的Kuo方案对东亚季风区强、弱季风年夏季风的模拟能力。结果表明:5种对流参数化方案对各季节都有一定的模拟能力,各个方案对降雨的预报能力随地区和年际而有所不同,对强季风年grell和bm方案对雨带特征的描述较好,对弱季风年bm和zhao方案对雨带的模拟与实际最为接近。