模糊等价关系下滚动轴承振动性能变异分析

在小样本且概率分布未知条件下,提出模糊等价关系和自助最大熵模型,并通过变异概率分析滚动轴承振动性能变异过程。对滚动轴承振动加速度原始数据分组得到样本,选定本征样本,计算各样本间的模糊等价系数;运用自助最大熵模型建立各样本的概率密度函数,通过交集法得到各样本相对于本征样本的变异概率,建立模糊等价系数和变异概率的关系曲线以实现对变异过程的监控;通过仿真和实验案例验证了所提模型的可行性和正确性。实验结果表明:随着磨损直径的逐渐增大,变异概率曲线呈“躺椅状”非线性上升趋势,对应滚动轴承磨损的3个阶段,即初级磨合阶段、正常性能退化阶段和性能恶化阶段。      

GH30合金疲劳-蠕变概率模型的研究

基于疲劳-蠕变特性函数基础上,提出了针对镍基高温合金材料的疲劳-蠕变耦合失效模式的概率模型的研究方法.针对镍基合金GH30的连续疲劳-蠕变交互作用的试验结果,确定了GH30在600℃温度下的疲劳-蠕变特性函数,考虑随机因素后,进行了GH30材料在疲劳-蠕变耦合失效模式下的概率模型分析,研究表明随机因素对材料的失效概率很大,通过灵敏度分析可确定影响破坏的主要因素以提高寿命.      

复合材料层合结构频率约束的可靠性优化设计(英文)

The reliability based optimization （RBO） issue of composite laminates trader fundamental frequency constraint is studied. Considering the tmcertainties of material properties, the frequency constraint reliability of the structure is evaluated by the combination of response surface method （RSM） and finite element method. An optimization algorithm is developed based on the mechanism of laminate frequency characteristics, to optimize the laminate in terms of the ply amount and orientation angles. Numerical examples of composite laminates and cylindrical shell illustrate the advantages of the present optimization algorithm on the efficiency and applicability respects. The optimal solutions of RBO are obviously different from the deterministic optimization results, and the necessity of considering material property uncertainties in the composite structural frequency constraint optimization is revealed.     

N-fold Bernoulli probability based adaptive fast-tracking algorithm and its application to autonomous aerial refuelling

Recently, deep learning has been widely utilized for object tracking tasks. However, deep learning encounters limits in tasks such as Autonomous Aerial Refueling (AAR), where the target object can vary substantially in size, requiring high-precision real-time performance in embedded systems. This paper presents a novel embedded adaptiveness single-object tracking framework based on an improved YOLOv4 detection approach and an n-fold Bernoulli probability theorem. First, an Asymmetric Convolutional Network (ACNet) and dense blocks are combined with the YOLOv4 architecture to detect small objects with high precision when similar objects are in the background. The prior object information, such as its location in the previous frame and its speed, is utilized to adaptively track objects of various sizes. Moreover, based on the n-fold Bernoulli probability theorem, we develop a filter that uses statistical laws to reduce the false positive rate of object tracking. To evaluate the efficiency of our algorithm, a new AAR dataset is collected, and extensive AAR detection and tracking experiments are performed. The results demonstrate that our improved detection algorithm is better than the original YOLOv4 algorithm on small and similar object detection tasks; the object tracking algorithm is better than state-of-the-art object tracking algorithms on refueling drogue tracking tasks.     

VR-Forces中发射与毁伤仿真机制

VR-Forces是当前较为成熟的计算机生成兵力仿真平台,使用该平台实现仿真实体间对抗及毁伤是关键技术之一。针对该平台中发射与毁伤仿真机制,分析了对象参数数据库组织结构、发射武器配置方法、弹药选择列表构成和命中概率表的原理,阐述了毁伤机制、毁伤概率表组成以及毁伤执行器的配置方法。结合某飞机发射反舰导弹对敌方舰船突防的作战仿真实验案例,实现了红蓝双方的突防和防空仿真对抗。研究成果对基于 VR-Forces的作战仿真开发和开发类似系统有一定的技术参考价值。     

Timeliness optimization of unmanned aerial vehicle lossy communications for internet-of-things

Information freshness is a key factor for Internet-of-Things(Io T) to make appropriate decisions and operations. This paper proposes an analytical framework for evaluating the timeliness performance of the Io T system based on Unmanned Aerial Vehicle(UAV) lossy communications.The performance analysis consists of the outage probability analysis and the Age-of-Information(Ao I) analysis with outages. To begin with, we solve a lossy coding problem formulated from the UAV communication system, and d...     

StarLink星座对空间安全态势的影响

针对StarLink星座部署后带来的空间安全问题，对StarLink星座构型仿真，利用碰撞概率的算法，从碰撞风险的角度分析了StarLink星座部署后对其他卫星在轨安全的影响。结果表明:StarLink星座部署对低轨航天器将带来较大的碰撞风险，碰撞风险比部署前提升一个量级，对535~555 km空间区域的航天器影响尤为突出，一旦产生碰撞碎片将带来更大的碰撞风险。通过分析提出了警示，并针对大型卫星星座带来的碰撞危险提供了应对建议。     

主动全向声纳浮标性能预测

主动声纳浮标适合探测安静型潜艇,预测主动声纳浮标的性能已成为航空反潜战的重要内容。文章首先简要分析了水声传播模型、海底和海面损失模型以及混响模型等声纳模型的优劣并进行合理选择；在此基础上,提出了一种主动全向声纳浮标性能预测系统的总体方案,并设计了相应软件；最后,针对不同的海洋环境进行仿真实验。该系统能预测主动声纳浮标在各传播方向、水平距离和深度的传播损失及检测概率,可以用于分析浮标性能的时空变化特性,为优化使用声纳浮标提供参考。     

基于码片幅度调制的导航信号扩频码认证方法

信号认证是满足全球卫星导航系统(GNSS)民用信号安全性需求的关键，相比于导航电文认证(NMA),扩频码认证(SCA)具有更强的安全性。为了在实现SCA的同时不对非认证用户造成影响，提出了一种基于码片幅度调制(CAM)的导航信号SCA方法，对民用信号的扩频码的码片幅度进行了调制，实现了在扩频码层面的认证特征的引入。为了验证所提方法的有效性，采用理论和仿真分析，与GPS L1C采用的Chimera SCA方法进行了比较。结果表明，所提方法在检测性能方面提升了2.55～2.78 dB。研究成果可为下一代高安全卫星导航信号的设计提供支持。     

弱全局信息下月面超远距离保通行性移动规划

针对月面超远距离移动规划任务因缺乏精确全局信息而导致的规划路径可通行性不足问题，提出了月面道路拓扑网的构建设想及相应路径规划技术，凭借复杂道路网络的连通能力确保巡视器超远距离规划路径的可通行性。首先进行月面道路拓扑网的设计方法研究，分别提出了基于滑动最优泊松采样算法的网络节点设计方法和基于均匀领邻网络拓扑模型网络结构设计方法，使月面道路网网络节点分布均匀、密度适中且覆盖完整，网络连接合理且各路径尽量远离障碍区域。然后进行基于月面道路拓扑网的超远距离移动规划研究，分析了基于月面道路拓扑网路径规划技术的概率完备性和整体可通行概率，并提出了基于月面道路拓扑网的K优路径规划方法，通过道路网的连通性来提高超远距离移动探测任务的整体可通行概率。最后以阿波罗两次登月任务的着陆点之间进行超远距离转移任务为仿真场景，验证了本方法的有效性。