基于验后概率的Bayesian序贯方差检验技术(Ⅰ)

基于验后概率和"小概率事件原理",对复杂假设条件下,方差的Bayesian序贯检验,提出了基于Bayesian验后概率的序贯方差检验的基本假设,建立了Bayesian序贯方差检验(BSVT)模型,设计了临界值的求解算法,并对"强制"截尾条件下的假设检验判别准则进行了论述.最后,结合示例对BSVT模型的求解与应用进行了说明.      

稳态等离子体推力器羽流仿真及其对微波的衰减和相移作用

为了评估稳态等离子体推力器（SPT）羽流对微波造成的衰减和相位变化,使用二维轴对称的PIC-DSMC方法,在空间及室压6mPa的真空舱两种环境下,计算了SPT-100羽流场中的电子分布。在此基础上,通过分析特征频率和计算衰减因子、相位常数,估算了2,4,8,12.5GHz共4个频率微波穿过羽流场时的衰减量和相移。8GHz和12.5GHz微波未发现明显的衰减,相移为10°～120°。2GHz和4GHz微波在喷口附近衰减量范围为10～50dB。仿真结果表明,C波段和S波段在SPT羽流中容易发生衰减,而X波段以上的高频微波衰减量很小,同时这几个波段微波均发生较大相移。真空舱内6mPa背压下对衰减量的预测仅略高于实际飞行情况,但微波相移会有较大误差。     

Improved rainfall estimation over the Indian region using satellite infrared technique

The GOES Precipitation Index (GPI) technique (Arkin, 1979) for rainfall estimation has been in operation for the last three decades. However, its applications are limited to the larger temporal and spatial scales. The present study focuses on the augmentation on GPI technique by incorporating a moisture factor for the environmental correction developed by Vicente et al. (1998). It consists of two steps; in the first step the GPI technique is applied to the Kalpana-IR data for rainfall estimation over the Indian land and oceanic region and in the second step an environmental moisture correction factor is applied to the GPI-based rainfall to estimate the final rainfall. Detailed validation with rain gauges and comparison with Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) merged data product (3B42) are performed and it is found that the present technique is able to estimate the rainfall with better accuracy than the GPI technique over higher temporal and spatial domains for many operational applications in and around the Indian regions using Indian geostationary satellite data. Further comparison with the Doppler Weather Radar shows that the present technique is able to retrieve the rainfall with reasonably good accuracy.     

SRAM FPGA电离辐射效应试验研究

针对SRAM FPGA空间应用日益增多,以100万门SRAM FPGA为样品,进行了单粒子效应和电离总剂量效应辐照试验。单粒子试验结果是:试验用粒子最小LET为1.66 MeV·cm2/mg,出现SEU（单粒子翻转）;LET为4.17 MeV·cm2/mg,出现SEFI（单粒子功能中断）,通过重新配置,样品功能恢复正常;LET在1.66～64.8 MeV?cm2/mg范围内,未出现SEL（单粒子锁定）;试验发现,随SEU数量的累积,样品功耗电流会随之增加,对样品进行重新配置,电流恢复正常。电离总剂量辐照试验结果是:辐照总剂量75 krad(Si)时,2只样品功能正常,功耗电流未见明显变化。辐照到87 krad(Si)时,样品出现功能失效。试验表明SRAM FPGA属于SEU敏感的器件,且存在SEFI。SEU和SEFI会破坏器件功能,导致系统故障。空间应用SRAM FPGA必须进行抗单粒子加固设计,推荐的加固方法是三模冗余（TMR）配合定时重新配置（Scrubbing）。关键部位如控制系统慎用SRAM FPGA。     

P2P MMOG中一种基于事件分类的本地滞后技术

根据P2P MMOG中状态一致的要求提出一种基于事件分类的本地滞后技术。通过检测网络的负载状况动态调整关键事件的本地滞后时间,在状态一致和响应时间之间进行灵活折衷,并对非关键事件进行静态滞后,同时结合事件过时机制减少数据传输量。实验结果表明,该方法能有效减少游戏状态的回滚次数,降低游戏结点的处理开销,适合于P2P模式下MMOG的不同游戏终端需求。     

Mesospheric doppler wind measurements from Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS)

This paper describes a microwave limb technique for measuring Doppler wind in the Earth’s mesosphere. The research algorithm has been applied to Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) 118.75 GHz measurements where the O₂ Zeeman lines are resolved by a digital autocorrelation spectrometer. A precision of ∼17 m/s for the line-of-sight (LOS) wind is achieved at 80–92 km, which corresponds to radiometric noise during 1/6 s integration time. The LOS winds from Aura MLS are mostly in the meridional direction at low- and mid-latitudes with vertical resolution of ∼8 km. This microwave Doppler technique has potential to obtain useful winds down to ∼40 km of the Earth’s atmosphere if measurements from other MLS frequencies (near H₂O, O₃, and CO lines) are used. Initial analyses show that the MLS winds from the 118.75 GHz measurements agree well with the TIDI (Thermosphere Ionosphere Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics Doppler Interferometer) winds for the perturbations induced by a strong quasi 2-day wave (QTDW) in January 2005. Time series of MLS winds reveal many interesting climatological and planetary wave features, including the diurnal, semidiurnal tides, and the QTDW. Interactions between the tides and the QTDW are clearly evident, indicating possible large tidal structural changes after the QTDW events dissipate.     

宽带雷达信号源的自动功率定标

介绍了一种利用功率检波电平实现对宽带雷达信号源的输出功率进行功率定标的方法,通过制定衰减表自动装载和规避不同工作环境条件下（主要是微波机箱的工作温度）引起的系统误差。     

无振荡、无自由参数格式在三维太阳风流动数值模拟中的应用

从快速、有效地进行空间天气数值预报的需要出发,针对1998年5月份行星际太阳风暴事件,采用全三维流体力学(HD)模型进行数值试验,考察了无振荡、无自由参数(NND)格式在三维太阳风流动数值模拟中的应用.计算中内边界的密度分布由观测K日冕数据来确定,由此得到的源表面密度分布具有和源表面电流片相似的结构.数值试验表明: 虽然该格式不需要加入人工粘性,但是具有很好的计算稳定性.在扰动计算时激波间断耗散小,在三维任何方向上间断所占的网格数比较少,没有数值色散现象.      

FY-2卫星太阳质子事件监测警报系统及质子事件警报的尝试

介绍搭载在FY-2地球同步轨道气象卫星上的空间粒子监测器和太阳X射线探测器所组成的太阳质子事件监测报警系统;1997-11-04和1997-11-06二次质子事件警报的尝试及相关的观测资料.      

航天发射特征事件综合和弹道融合策略优化研究与应用

特征事件综合和弹道融合是航天发射过程中最为重要的一项工作,通过特征事件发生时间和火箭飞行弹道可直观地反映出运载火箭的飞行状态。因此,为了进一步提高特征事件综合和弹道融合效果,基于遥、外测量信息,分别对参与特征事件综合和弹道融合的信息源进行分类及其影响因素进行分析,并提出了相应的信息融合策略。通过采用优化的融合策略,可进一步提高特征事件时间解算的准确性和实效性,提升弹道融合的效果,满足航天发射飞行态势显示和安全控制的任务需求。