重现性地磁活动的数值预报

重现性地磁扰动作为地磁活动的重要部分，其特性在磁情预报中起着不可缺少的重要作用．本文利用地磁扰动在一定条件下具有２７天重现的特性和现代时序分析法中的自适应滤波方法，对北京地磁台Ｋ指数的预报方法进行了研究，并分别在太阳黑子活动低年和高年的两个时间段，进行了预报实验：低年时段预报结果精度为０．６６；在高年时段，预报精度为０．７９．进一步分析还表明，理论计算方法应当与多方面的物理分析相结合，这样才能为磁扰的定量分析和预报提供更充分与合理的计算条件和物理根据．     

Time-series analysis of GPS measurements for long-span bridge movements using wavelet and model prediction techniques

This study aims at assessing the safety behavior of the Incheon long-span bridge using high rate (10?Hz) geodetic monitoring global positioning system (GPS). The time series of wavelet spectrum analysis is utilized to assess the dynamic behavior of the bridge. The coefficients and model errors of the time series autoregressive-moving average (ARMA) model are used to evaluate the movement performances of the bridge. The results show that: (i) the accuracy of GPS measurements to extract the dynamic behavior of the bridge is 97.27% when compared with the design results. (ii) the behavior of the bridge is within the safety limits of the bridge design with minimum observed changes for the historical GPS measurements in time and frequency domains, the mean deflection of bridge deck is 8.26?mm and frequency changes of bridge is 0.004?Hz compared with the design results. (iii) the time series analysis of the wavelet spectrum and ARMA model coefficients can be used to detect the significant frequency changes and study the rigidity of the bridge performance, respectively; and the both methods are found to be suitable techniques to estimate the performance changes of the GPS measurements in the time and frequency domains during the monitoring time period.     

平台摇摆对卡尔曼滤波跟踪精度的影响

通过建立目标相对运动坐标系和目标相对运动观测模型,研究了在平台摇摆影响下,跟踪系统观测到的目标运动状态的变化。在分析捷联垂直基准补偿原理的基础上建立了捷联垂直基准平台摇摆角补偿模型,建立的模型结合捷联垂直基准系统的测量能力对其补偿算法进行了理论推导,使模型适用于实际捷联垂直基准系统。通过建立模型以及仿真研究了平台摇摆作用下卡尔曼滤波跟踪精度的变化,指出了摆造成卡尔曼滤波跟踪精度降低甚至离散的主要原因在于模型误差增大。设计仿真实验验证了结论的正确性,为进一步改进跟踪手段提供了理论参考。     

基于网络的GPS时钟信号发布系统

从空管的实际应用出发,本次研究尝试以TCP Server/Client的模式进行GPS时钟信号的网络发布,通过这种方式实现多套系统灵活的时钟信号引接。     

基于T-S模糊模型的模糊大系统的混合滤波

针对非线性大系统内部过程参数的检测估计,采用连续模糊大系统模型,利用lyapunov定理和分布式处理方法,给出了模糊大系统的H2/H∞混合滤波器设计方法。该方法在保证滤波误差系统全局稳定的同时,具备了H2/H∞性能。通过求解线性矩阵不等式,可以得到滤波器参数。最后,用一个数值例子验证了该方法的正确性和有效性。     

A cost driven predictive maintenance policy for structural airframe maintenance

Airframe maintenance is traditionally performed at scheduled maintenance stops.The decision to repair a fuselage panel is based on a fixed crack size threshold,which allows to ensure the aircraft safety until the next scheduled maintenance stop.With progress in sensor technology and data processing techniques,structural health monitoring (SHM) systems are increasingly being considered in the aviation industry.SHM systems track the aircraft health state continuously,lead ing to the possibility of planning maintenance based on an actual state of aircraft rather than on a fixed schedule.This paper builds upon a model-based prognostics framework that the authors developed in their previous work,which couples the Extended Kalman filter (EKF) with a first order perturbation (FOP) method.By using the information given by this prognostics method,a novel cost driven predictive maintenance (CDPM) policy is proposed,which ensures the aircraft safety while minimizing the maintenance cost.The proposed policy is formally derived based on the trade-off between probabilities of occurrence of scheduled and unscheduled maintenance.A numerical case study simulating the maintenance process of an entire fleet of aircrafts is imple mented.Under the condition of assuring the same safety level,the CDPM is compared in terms of cost with two other maintenance policies:scheduled maintenance and threshold based SHM maintenance.The comparison results show CDPM could lead to significant cost savings.     

双框架飞机蒙皮检测机器人切换运动控制方法

针对一种双框架飞机蒙皮检测机器人,通过分析该机器人在飞机表面上的受力情况,在飞机表面该机器人受到了非完整约束,基于牛顿-欧拉法建立了机器人非完整约束动力学模型。根据机器人机械结构和运动步态分析,将该非完整机器人系统分为子系统A和子系统B。为了实现机器人在飞机表面运动,采用反演技术和快速Terminal滑模控制相结合的思想对系统设计了控制器,提出了一种反演-滑模控制方法;对于非完整机器人子系统A和子系统B,设计了一种基于事件驱动的切换策略,实现了机器人对期望轨迹的全局渐近跟踪,并利用Lyapunov稳定性证明系统的跟踪误差收敛。仿真和试验表明,采用该切换策略和反演-滑模控制方法,双框架飞机蒙皮检测机器人可以在飞机表面自由运动并进行损伤检测,具有良好的可靠性和稳定性。     

新一代战斗机非定常流动数值研究综述

新一代战斗机强调超机动能力和强隐身性，其中大攻角下的静态失速、动态失速及内埋弹仓绕流是与高机动和强隐身密切相关的、极具挑战的几类典型的非定常流动，它们对数值方法提出了极高的要求。为了高精度地仿真流场、清楚地揭示流动机理，有效地控制非定常流动，非常有必要发展高精度且高效率的RANS-LES混合方法体系，包含RANS-LES混合方法本身、与RANS-LES混合方法匹配的高精度自适应耗散格式、基准湍流模式、高质量计算网格、高精度时间推进方法、非定常量的统计方法等，具有极强的紧迫性。提出、发展、验证并应用该类方法数值仿真新一代战斗机（包括单独部件、组合体、甚至全机）的非定常流动，数值预测结果与风洞实验数据吻合良好；此类方法可为新型战斗机设计提供理论依据和分析手段。     

Potential of IRNSS/NavIC L5 signals for ionospheric studies

Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO) has developed an indigenous system named Indian Regional Navigation Satellite System (IRNSS) or NavIC (Navigation with Indian Constellation), that consists of 7 satellites and transmits navigation signal in L and S bands. ISRO, for validation of the system, has installed many IGS (IRNSS/GPS/SBAS) receivers scattered over the Indian region. Using preliminary data from two geographically widely separated stations over India, this paper presents the results on studies on parameters of IRNSS signal quality and discusses how these parameters may be used to study the ionospheric behavior over the Indian region. The results show the importance and advantages of using IRNSS data for such studies.     

Real-time object tracking via least squares transformation in spatial and Fourier domains for unmanned aerial vehicles

This paper addresses the problem of real-time object tracking for unmanned aerial vehicles. We consider the task of object tracking as a classification problem. Training a good classifier always needs a huge number of samples, which is always time-consuming and not suitable for realtime applications. In this paper, we transform the large-scale least-squares problem in the spatial domain to a series of small-scale least-squares problems with constraints in the Fourier domain using the correlation filter technique. Then, this problem is efficiently solved by two stages. In the first stage, a fast method based on recursive least squares is used to solve the correlation filter problem without constraints in the Fourier domain. In the second stage, a weight matrix is constructed to prune the solution attained in the first stage to approach the constraints in the spatial domain. Then, the pruned classifier is used for tracking. To evaluate proposed tracker's performance, comprehensive experiments are conducted on challenging aerial sequences in the UAV123 dataset. Experimental results demonstrate that proposed approach achieves a state-ofthe-art tracking performance in aerial sequences and operates at a mean speed of beyond 40 frames/s. For further analysis of proposed tracker's robustness, extensive experiments are also performed on recent benchmarks OTB50, OTB100, and VOT2016.