概率有限状态机在动态效能评估中的应用

为了反映作战过程中实时战场变化对武器作战效能的影响，本文对武器作战动态效能评估(DEE)方法进行研究，提出一种基于概率有限状态机(PFSM)的动态效能评估方法。利用该方法对武器作战过程进行动态效能评估的同时，能够快速准确地分析影响武器作战效能的关键因素，为作战方案决策及武器研发提供依据。该方法考虑了武器装备、战场环境、作战方案及作战目标这四个战场信息空间对武器效能的影响，能够根据实时战场信息输出动态效能变化曲线。本文以反舰导弹为例，对其进行动态效能评估，结果表明,本文所提出的方法能够动态评估不同战场信息对效能的影响，并快速找到影响其效能的关键因素，从而为作战方案优化提供参考。     

Acceleration tracking control for a spinning glide guided projectile with multiple disturbances

A novel acceleration tracking controller is proposed in this paper, for a Spinning Glide Guided Projectile (SGGP) subject to cross-coupling dynamics, external disturbances, and parametric uncertainties. The cross-coupled dynamics for the SGGP are formulated with mismatched and matched uncertainties, and then divided into acceleration and angular rate subsystems via the hierarchical principle. By exploiting the structural property of the SGGP, model-assisted Extended State Observers (ESOs) are designed to estimate online the lumped disturbances in the acceleration and angular rate dynamics. To achieve a rapid response and a strong robustness, integral sliding mode control laws and sigmoid-function-based tracking differentiators are integrated into the ESO-based Trajectory Linearization Control (TLC) framework. It is proven that the acceleration tracking controller can guarantee the ultimate boundedness of the signals in the closed-loop system and make the tracking errors arbitrarily small. The superiority and effectiveness of the proposed control scheme in its decoupling ability, accurate acceleration tracking performance and anti-disturbance capability are validated through comparisons and extensive simulations.     

Improved robust Kalman filter for state model errors in GNSS-PPP/MEMS-IMU double state integrated navigation

The integration of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) with Inertial Navigation Systems (INS) has been actively researched and widely applied as it can provide reliable positioning information continuously. In recent years, Micro Electro Mechanical Systems (MEMS) technology achieves rapid development and Micro Electro Mechanical Systems and Inertial Measurement Unit (MEMS-IMU) has aroused wide concern due to its excellent properties in some cases. However, the observations from MEMS-IMU are easy to be influenced by motion state and location environment because of its manufacturing process. It is not easy to judge whether gross errors are in the state model or the observation model by the widely adopted robust filter based on innovation. In this contribution, we present an improved robust filter with a double state model on the basis of the chi-square distribution of the square of the Mahalanobis distance. The vehicle motion model acts as the external constraint information and can be adopted to construct robust statistic with the results from INS mechanization. And then a robust factor was determined to adjust the observation noise covariance matrix. To evaluate the performance of this method, the simulation test and the field test based on locomotive platform of Nottingham Geospatial Institute (NGI) were carried out. According to the results, in the simulation test, the position improvements are 33%, 30% in the north and east directions; in the real test, the loosely and tightly coupled was adopted and the position accuracy can be improved by about 50–60% in the horizontal direction and the improvement of the pitch and the roll accuracy was lower than the azimuth accuracy due to poor observability and experimental scene which is of the characteristics of small elevation change. Therefore, the proposed robust filter could diminish the effect of the gross error from MEMS-IMU and enhance the integrated system.     

Crack monitoring method based on Cu coating sensor and electrical potential technique for metal structure

Advanced crack monitoring technique is the cornerstone of aircraft structural health monitoring.To achieve real-time crack monitoring of aircraft metal structures in the course of service,a new crack monitoring method is proposed based on Cu coating sensor and electrical potential difference principle.Firstly,insulation treatment process was used to prepare a dielectric layer on structural substrate,such as an anodizing layer on 2A12-T4 aluminum alloy substrate,and then a Cu coating crack monitoring sensor was deposited on the structure fatigue critical parts by pulsed bias arc ion plating technology.Secondly,the damage consistency of the Cu coating sensor and2A12-T4 aluminum alloy substrate was investigated by static tensile experiment and fatigue test.The results show that strain values of the coating sensor and the 2A12-T4 aluminum alloy substrate measured by strain gauges are highly coincident in static tensile experiment and the sensor has excellent fatigue damage consistency with the substrate.Thirdly,the fatigue performance discrepancy between samples with the coating sensor and original samples was investigated.The result shows that there is no obvious negative influence on the fatigue performance of the 2A12-T4 aluminum alloy after preparing the Cu coating sensor on its surface.Finally,crack monitoring experiment was carried out with the Cu coating sensor.The experimental results indicate that the sensor is sensitive to crack,and crack origination and propagation can be monitored effectively through analyzing the change of electrical potential values of the coating sensor.     

基于通道校准和HMM的机载雷达健康状态评估

性能退化与间歇故障是机载雷达健康状态的重要反映。针对传统机载雷达健康评估方法缺乏整机级的监测指标、未能综合考虑性能退化和间歇故障，传统BIT电路难以监测间歇故障等工程难题，提出了基于通道校准链路，综合运用通道校准仿真技术、正态云、HMM建立起健康状态评估流程。首先，对通道误差与间歇故障进行分析，得到4类校正系数，建立误差与间歇故障注入仿真流程；然后，基于正态云，利用校正系数的样本方差来表征雷达系统的健康状态，提出统一健康模型，并给出HMM拓扑结构与参数设计方法；最后，建立起基于数据驱动的评估流程并开展应用研究。仿真实验验证了误差和间歇故障仿真流程的可行性、健康状态评估方法的有效性，可获得大于95%的评估准确率；应用案例表明所提方法可行，能解决工程上机载雷达健康状态评估的问题。     

军工电子产品外协技术状态控制研究

介绍了军工电子产品外协技术状态控制的现状,分析了控制难点,从控制源头、加强过程控制、供应商动态评价、建立与供方互利的关系四个方面提出了加强军工电子产品外协技术状态控制的思路和对策。     

计算机辅助功能危险评估方法研究

功能和安全一直是高风险复杂系统的关键问题。传统的功能危险评估由安全工程师手工进行分析，面对高度复杂系统时，就会变得难以完成且容易出错。解决这种问题的一个途径就是利用计算机进行辅助。为此提出一种计算机辅助的功能危险评估方法，采用状态图语言搭建系统状态模型，将功能失效影响直观地从系统状态转移图上表达出来。并且在系统状态模型的基础上，采用计算机编程快速计算出导致系统故障的失效组合以及最小割集。最后以飞机为对象证明了方法的可行性。     

结构变形对斜流压气机性能的影响研究

采用基于有限元的结构静强度分析和CFD全三维流场仿真手段,对某斜流压气机工作状态下结构变形和变形后的气动性能进行研究,结果表明:提出的数值仿真流程能够有效模拟压气机工作状态下结构变形对气动性能的影响,从而为发动机系统参数平衡提供数据支撑;压气机叶片前缘顶部刚度小,变形量大,但对叶轮气动性能影响较小;叶轮尾缘边径向变形对压气机增压能力影响显著;顶部泄漏间隙的变化对压气机效率产生影响.     

带有序列相关噪声Vasicek期限结构模型的线性滤波(英文)

在基于Vasicek利率期限结构模型,使用Kalman滤波器进行状态估计时,通常采用量测噪声不相关假设。研究表明,量测噪声在很多情况下满足相关性假设。本文采用一般性的相关量测噪声假设,提出针对Vasicek模型潜变量估计的状态扩维Kalman滤波法。实验结果表明,量测噪声相关假设下的Vasicek模型比较准确地描述了利率期限结构的动态变化特征。     

基于层次状态机的雷达显控技术研究

鉴于雷达显控系统的复杂度不断提升,各种状态相互交叉,相互影响,导致软件结构的设计也越来越复杂,不便于设计和后期的维护.本文采用了基于层次状态机的方法,将雷达显控系统的各种状态按照层次进行分类,针对不同的层次设计出其状态转换图,使编程更加简化,层次更加分明,同时可减少代码占用空间,提高系统的实时性能.