经济增长非线性时序预测方法研究

分析了经济系统非线性时诹预测的国内外研究现状、现代经济增长模型在预测中存在的不足之处，阐述了经济增长系统的非线性、动态反馈性、开放性等特征，并应用非线性时序理论，研究了经济增长的非线性时序预测问题，给出了经济增长非线性时序预测的方法。     

循环冗余码的软件实现方法及应注意的问题

】介绍了ＣＲＣ码并行算法的软件实现和串行算法的硬件实现方法，同时比较它们的差异，并指出了实践中应注意的问题     

模板类零件孔系的计算机辅助设计

本文介绍子模具设计中的模板类零件中的孔系的计算机辅助设计，对于位置参数相同而结构和尺寸不同的孔系零件，可以由一个孔位置定义文件设计所有的零件。零件用这种方法可以很方便地提高设计速度和设计质量。     

用于失谐叶盘动力学特性分析的减缩计算方法

提出了一种用于失谐叶盘动力学特性分析的减缩计算方法.该方法采用基于周期对称的谐波平衡法,建立非线性的迭代方程,能够基于单扇区的矩阵求解整个失谐叶盘的强迫响应,且不存在任何截断误差,因而效率高于部件模态综合法但精度并不降低.从周期对称结构理论出发给出了方法原理的数学推导,在此基础上通过一个失谐叶盘有限元模型算例对该方法的效率与精度进行了讨论.结果表明:相较部件模态综合法,周期对称谐波平衡法矩阵维度减小59.5%,计算复杂度减少93.4%,计算时间节省57.4%.     

基于PD处理技术的雷达弱信号检测方法

针对脉冲跟踪测量雷达普遍存在的远距离弱信号检测能力不足的问题,基于PD（PulseDoppler,脉冲多普勒）雷达的杂波抑制与信号处理技术,提出脉冲雷达中的弱信号检测方法;详细分析了在脉冲跟踪测量雷达中应用PD处理技术的可行性,得出在一定约束条件下,可将PD处理技术运用于脉冲跟踪测量雷达,并提出了具体实现方法;最后,通过数据仿真和脉冲雷达实际测量数据进行验证,结果表明该方法能有效提高信噪比。     

事故车辆油漆物证分析-比对系统的建立

在已建立的事故车辆物理信息和光谱信息的油漆样本数据库的基础上,建立油漆物证比对系统。根据相关系数所表现的特征,实现对未知样本属性范围的确定,找出数据库中与其相关度较高的部分油漆样本,再根据数据库中同一车辆信息具有同一序号的特点,找出与油漆对应的车辆,即与案件现场最接近的嫌疑车辆,为肇事逃逸案件的破获提供数据依据。     

Present-day crustal movement of the Chinese mainland based on Global Navigation Satellite System data from 1998 to 2018

A total of more than 260 continuous stations and 2000 campaign stations from the Crustal Movement Observation Network of China (CMONOC) project, covering the Chinese mainland and its surrounding areas during the period of 1998–2018, are processed using the Bernese Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) software via a state-of-the-art method. We obtain the coordinate time series of all the stations given in the reference frame ITRF2014, estimate the coseismic deformation, and remove outliers. Lastly, we present the latest, most complete, and most accurate contemporary horizontal velocity field with respect to the stable Eurasian plate, irrespective of the postseismic deformations. This study shows that the signal of tectonic movement in Western China is stronger than that in Eastern China particularly in the Tibetan Plateau, with a rate of 18–32?mm/a. Moreover, the signal decays sharply from south to north. However, North China and South China move coherently to the ESE direction mostly at a rate of 4–10?mm/a and have not experienced any abrupt velocity gradients in their interiors. Meanwhile, Northeast China has the lowest velocity of only 2–4?mm/a in addition to the coastal areas that have slightly larger velocities. The densified and continuous observation of GNSS stations are of great significance to the study of the present-day crustal movement and tectonic deformation characteristics of the Chinese mainland. This would help to provide better constraints on the kinematics and dynamics of the region.     

Adaptive level of autonomy for human-UAVs collaborative surveillance using situated fuzzy cognitive maps

Collaborating with a squad of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) is challenging for a human operator in a cooperative surveillance task. In this paper, we propose a cognitive model that can dynamically adjust the Levels of Autonomy (LOA) of the human-UAVs team according to the changes in task complexity and human cognitive states. Specifically, we use the Situated Fuzzy Cognitive Map (SiFCM) to model the relations among tasks, situations, human states and LOA. A recurrent structure has been used to learn the strategy of adjusting the LOA, while the collaboration task is separated into a perception routine and a control routine. Experiment results have shown that the workload of the human operator is well balanced with the task efficiency.     

基于预测模型迭代优化的改进比例导引律

为了提高对加速度时变机动目标的制导精度,将预测决策理论与传统比例导引(PN)相结合,提出了一种通过泰勒级数预测模型迭代控制加速度修正项的改进比例导引律。首先,以预设的低阶泰勒级数预测模型预测特定时间的位移,并计算位移预测值与测量值的差值;然后,通过迭代方法逐阶增加泰勒级数预测模型阶数,直至满足精度要求;最后,计算泰勒级数预测模型的二阶导数,修正比例导引律的加速度指令。仿真结果表明,传统PN和APN的脱靶量分别约为195 m和95 m,提出的改进比例导引律的脱靶量约为8.3 m,极大地提高了制导精度。     

射频接收机电磁敏感性行为级分析方法

提出一种基于简化Volterra级数模型的射频接收机电磁敏感性(EMS,Elec-tromagnetic Susceptibility)行为级仿真方法.利用3阶简化Volterra级数模型对接收机EMS进行分析,根据EMS频响特性,提出一种通用的EMS判据,并给出敏感度阈值仿真求解流程图.弥补了以往在接收机EMS分析时以试验为主,缺乏仿真分析的缺陷.以某双频GPS(GlobalPositioning System)接收机受连续波干扰为例,对带内和带外(包括镜频和互调)敏感度阈值进行求解.仿真结果表明该方法不仅有效、可行,而且减少了敏感度阈值求解所需的内存空间和仿真运行时间,适应于一般射频接收机的EMS分析,在工程技术领域切合实际.