The automated prediction of solar flares from SDO images using deep learning

In the last few years, there has been growing interest in near-real-time solar data processing, especially for space weather applications. This is due to space weather impacts on both space-borne and ground-based systems, and industries, which subsequently impacts our lives. In the current study, the deep learning approach is used to establish an automated hybrid computer system for a short-term forecast; it is achieved by using the complexity level of the sunspot group on SDO/HMI Intensitygram images. Furthermore, this suggested system can generate the forecast for solar flare occurrences within the following 24 h. The input data for the proposed system are SDO/HMI full-disk Intensitygram images and SDO/HMI full-disk magnetogram images. System outputs are the “Flare or Non-Flare” of daily flare occurrences (C, M, and X classes). This system integrates an image processing system to automatically detect sunspot groups on SDO/HMI Intensitygram images using active-region data extracted from SDO/HMI magnetogram images (presented by Colak and Qahwaji, 2008) and deep learning to generate these forecasts. Our deep learning-based system is designed to analyze sunspot groups on the solar disk to predict whether this sunspot group is capable of releasing a significant flare or not. Our system introduced in this work is called ASAP_Deep. The deep learning model used in our system is based on the integration of the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Softmax classifier to extract special features from the sunspot group images detected from SDO/HMI (Intensitygram and magnetogram) images. Furthermore, a CNN training scheme based on the integration of a back-propagation algorithm and a mini-batch AdaGrad optimization method is suggested for weight updates and to modify learning rates, respectively. The images of the sunspot regions are cropped automatically by the imaging system and processed using deep learning rules to provide near real-time predictions. The major results of this study are as follows. Firstly, the ASAP_Deep system builds on the ASAP system introduced in Colak and Qahwaji (2009) but improves the system with an updated deep learning-based prediction capability. Secondly, we successfully apply CNN to the sunspot group image without any pre-processing or feature extraction. Thirdly, our system results are considerably better, especially for the false alarm ratio (FAR); this reduces the losses resulting from the protection measures applied by companies. Also, the proposed system achieves a relatively high scores for True Skill Statistics (TSS) and Heidke Skill Score (HSS).     

大学生外语自主学习策略培养的文化研究

针对学院2011级196名学生自主学习情况进行了实证调查,发现学生外语学习和自主学习策略各要素的使用情况,在此基础上提出了一些符合中国文化及学生自身特点、适合不同任务的自主学习策略,以期达到提高学生外语学习效果的目的。     

基于深度学习的SAR图像质量提升方法研究

提升合成孔径雷达(SAR)图像质量以增强其可判读性,一直是SAR图像处理中的关键问题。近年来,深度学习在光学图像处理中取得显著的成功,并逐步应用到SAR图像质量提升领域。对深度学习在SAR图像质量提升中的关键应用进行综述,对深度学习在SAR图像质量提升中采用的典型网络进行了介绍,并从SAR图像旁瓣抑制、超分辨(SR)处理和图像融合3个方面对深度学习的应用进行阐述。最后,分析与探讨了基于深度学习的SAR图像质量提升中的关键问题及进一步研究方向。     

高职生英语学习焦虑的成因与对策分析

高职学生在英语学习过程中普遍存在着焦虑情绪,一定程度上阻碍了学生英语水平的提高.对焦虑情绪对英语学习的影响、成因和如何预防及解决学生的焦虑情绪进行分析,以期对解决学生的焦虑情绪提供一些建议.     

组合动力运载器上升段轨迹智能优化方法

针对组合动力水平起飞可重复使用运载器，开展了上升段轨迹优化模型设计与轨迹优化方法研究。首先，针对跨大空/速域飞行须采用多种动力形式协调工作这一问题，考虑动力/气动/轨迹/指标间的复杂耦合关系，建立了运载器动力和气动模型。其次，为降低轨迹优化问题的求解难度，设计了一种全新的飞行剖面，实现了关键优化参数的提取和攻角约束的自动满足，减少了优化算法需要处理的约束数量。然后，提出了一种改进的粒子群优化(PSO)算法完成求解；在收敛性分析的基础上，引入强化学习机制对PSO寻优过程进行自主智能控制，从本质上提升了PSO算法的求解效率。最后通过数学仿真验证了方法的正确性和有效性。     

现代化视域下的高校师德建设路径

鉴于高校教师师德建设的重要性研究,在现代化视域下限定其论域边界,分析其与其他范畴的联系和区别,高校教师师德建设的具体路径。     

Docking control for probe-drogue refueling: An additive-state-decomposition-based output feedback iterative learning control method

Designing a controller for the docking maneuver in Probe-Drogue Refueling (PDR) is an important but challenging task, due to the complex system model and the high precision requirement. In order to overcome the disadvantage of only feedback control, a feedforward control scheme known as Iterative Learning Control (ILC) is adopted in this paper. First, Additive State Decomposition (ASD) is used to address the tight coupling of input saturation, nonlinearity and the property of NonMinimum Phase (NMP) by separating these features into two subsystems (a primary system and a secondary system). After system decomposition, an adjoint-type ILC is applied to the Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) primary system with NMP to achieve entire output trajectory tracking, whereas state feedback is used to stabilize the secondary system with input saturation. The two controllers designed for the two subsystems can be combined to achieve the original control goal of the PDR system. Furthermore, to compensate for the receiver-independent uncertainties, a correction action is proposed by using the terminal docking error, which can lead to a smaller docking error at the docking moment. Simulation tests have been carried out to demonstrate the performance of the proposed control method, which has some advantages over the traditional derivative-type ILC and adjoint-type ILC in the docking control of PDR.     

Sunspot cycle prediction using Warped Gaussian process regression

Solar cycle prediction is a key activity in space weather research. Several techniques have been employed in recent decades in order to try to forecast the next sunspot-cycle maxima and time. In this work, the Gaussian process, a machine-learning technique, is used to make a prediction for the solar cycle 25 based on the annual sunspot number 2.0 data from 1700 to 2018. A variation known as Warped Gaussian process is employed in order to deal with the non-negativity constraint and asymmetrical data distribution. Tests using holdout data yielded a root mean square error of 10.0 within 5 years and 25.0–35.0 within 10 years. Simulations using the predictive distribution were performed to account for the uncertainty in the prediction. Cycle 25 is expected to last from 2019 to 2029, with a peak sunspot number about 117 (110 by the median) occurring most likely in 2024. Thus our method predicts that solar Cycle 25 will be weaker than previous ones, implying a continuing trend of declining solar activity as observed in the past two cycles.     

基于Webservice的个别指导式远程学习软件及知识设计策略

建构个别指导式远程学习软件的系统模型,根据认知心理学领域,知识分为陈述性知识和程序性知识,主要讨论知识库模型中,针对不同的知识选择不同的设计策略,以增加软件的可读性,使学生能进行高效率地学习.     

中国学生学习动机研究述评

以中国学生学习动机研究的文献为基础,对学生学习动机研究方法,学生学习动机的现状,学生学习动机的影响因素,学生学习动机与其他因素的关系等方面进行了回顾,展望了该领域的研究方向,为学生学习动机的深入研究提供借鉴.