电子对抗有效载荷地面测试与评估技术

描述电子对抗有效载荷地面测试系统的设计内容,介绍了测试系统的主要组成、功能及测试工作原理,常有的测试项目、测试方法,载荷的数据整理、评估与分析等,为以后电子对抗载荷地面系统搭建提供参考借鉴作用。     

Testing baseline stability of some neutron monitors in Europe,Africa, and Asia

For six decades, the global network of neutron monitors (NMs) has provided a continuous stream of very valuable data to the heliophysics community, leading to many insights into the myriad modes of charged particle transport in the tangled magnetic fields that permeate the 3D heliosphere. Earlier, Ahluwalia and Ygbuhay (2012) reported on the drifts in some high latitude NM counting rates in the American zone. We continue our enquiry by testing the stability of the counting rate baselines of some NMs operating in Europe, Africa, and Asia. The data from these detectors have been extremely valuable for the short-term time variation studies, but caution is advised in using the data for long-term studies from NMs with baselines that are drifting for cause(s) unknown.     

中国核电厂操作员反应时认知模型的应用(英文)

讨论了一些有关人员行为与时间有依赖关系的可靠性模型；给出了中国核电厂操作员在清华大学培训模型机上的一些可靠性实验结果。此外，还根据已获得的实验数据计算了在ＡＴＷＳ事故条件下人的失误概率。     

面向空中目标威胁评估的多传感器管理方法

为了降低在空中目标威胁评估任务中由于威胁评估结果的不准确性和传感器辐射所带来的潜在损失，提出了一种基于风险的多传感器管理方法。首先，基于部分可观马尔可夫决策过程建立了传感器管理模型；然后，给出了基于信息状态的威胁评估风险和传感器辐射风险的预测方法以量化潜在损失；接着，为获得更优的作战收益，以多步风险预测值为决策依据，以两种风险的加权和最小为优化目标建立了长期目标函数；最后，在求解目标函数时，将传感器管理问题转化为决策树搜索，设计了一种基于分支定界的标准代价搜索算法以快速获得高质量的管理方案。仿真实验表明，所提算法能够在搜索到高质量解的同时大幅减少计算时间和内存消耗；所提方法能够对风险进行准确预测，且相比于经典的传感器管理方法，所提方法具有更好的风险控制效果。     

航天测控装备跟踪质量考核标准分析

针对航天测控装备在役考核标准缺乏的问题，分析了航天测控（Space tracking telemetry and control，TTC）标准的现状，梳理了可用于在役考核的现有航天装备相关标准。提出了航天测控装备考核跟踪质量稳定性的参考标准，分析了标准对在役考核要求的适用性，并对跟踪质量稳定性考核科目进行了修正扩展。实际工程算例表明考核效果合理有效，跟踪质量稳定性考核标准可为在役考核标准制定提供借鉴参考。     

AHP方法在系(部)工作评价中的应用

本文给出了系(部)工作评价的AHP模型，并对模型进行求解，说明了该模型的有效性。     

一种四元数矩阵建模的彩色图像质量评价方法

针对彩色图像的质量评估问题,提出了一种基于四元数矩阵模型的图像质量评价方法。利用四元数矩阵对彩色图像建模,构造出图像的四元数矩阵模型;对矩阵进行奇异值分解,得到一组奇异值向量;计算标准图像与失真图像对应奇异值向量间的欧式距离,获得失真映射图谱;由失真图谱计算两幅图像间的全局误差,作为失真图像的质量评价结果。通过对几组不同类型失真图像的评价测试,结果表明,方法对图像质量的客观评价结果与主观感知有较高的一致性,并且能够从失真映射图谱判定图像的失真类型。     

中国深空网首次△DOR联合测轨试验分析

通过分析中国深空网首次△DOR（Delta Differential One way Ranging,双差分单向测距）联合测轨试验的干涉测量事后数据,重点从观测量随机精度、闭合时延等方面讨论了国内深空网与国内VLBI（Very Long Baseline Interferometry,甚长基线干涉测量）观测网、国内深空网与国际深空网的联合干涉处理情况,并与ESOC（European Space Operation Center,欧洲空间操作中心）数据处理结果进行了比对.试验结果表明：我国深空网已具备独立或联合开展深空探测器导航测轨的系统支持能力;深空站系统具备高速率数据接收、采集、记录、传输能力,采集数据处理精度优于1 ns;深空网干涉测量信号处理中心具备多体制信号的干涉处理分析能力,其分析精度与ESOC处理精度差异在0.1 ns量级.     

公共场所火灾公众责任险风险评估及核保模型研究

介绍了目前我国公共场所火灾的现状及火灾公众责任险强制性实施的必要性.通过建立公众场所火灾风险评价指标体系,运用多层次模糊综合评价理论对公众场所火灾危险性进行综合评估.最后依据评估结果对火灾公众责任险费率进行浮动,确定科学合理的费率水平和责任限额.     

Quantitative assessment and visualization of flight risk induced by coupled multi-factor under icing conditions

Aircraft icing has been proven to be one of the most serious threats to flight safety. During the analysis of flight risk under icing conditions, quantitative assessment and visualization of flight risk are quite essential as they provide safe manipulation strategies in intricate conditions. However, they are rarely studied. Since the icing flight accidents are the result of the coupling of multiple unfavorable factors, in present study, we have proposed a method to quantitatively assess flight risk induced by multi-factor coupling under icing conditions by Monte-Carlo simulation and multivariate extreme value theory. The results demonstrate that the flight risk probability increases with the rise of unfavorable factors. Besides, a flight risk visualization method named flight safety window has been presented to build the flight risk distribution cloud maps in different complex conditions. The cloud maps show that the icing would give rise to atrophy of the safety scope, and the consequence would be even more severe when coupled with other more unfavorable factors. The proposed methods in this study would be useful in flight risk analysis under icing conditions and can enhance the pilot's situational awareness in selecting correct strategies within the safety zone to avoid unsafe manipulation.