基于改进证据网络的空战动态态势估计方法

针对无人机空战态势估计既需要综合考虑多类型因素影响,又需要具有不确定性推理能力的特点,建立了一种基于改进证据网络的动态态势估计模型并设计了威胁等级评估推理方法。首先,考虑空战决策时间较短的特点,提出变量框架等级缩减方法以提高网络运行效率;然后,针对空战态势信息具有大不确定性的特点增加冲突数据自适应融合算法以及网络证据的时间序列预测,提高证据的合理性;最后,引入时空融合思想和变权机制将前一时刻的威胁信息作为评判后一时刻威胁的重要标准,应用威胁在时间维度上的递归合成增加信息在时间方向的传递,改善了由于证据失真引起的评估结果的不合理性问题,并通过仿真验证了该方法的有效性。     

一种4站情况下基于TDOA/FDOA的无源定位方法

在基于时频差的三维运动目标无源定位系统中,针对在4个接收站的情况下搜索法实时性低的问题,提出了一种基于改进的加权最小二乘法（MWLS）与萤火虫算法（FA）相结合的无源定位方法（MWLS-FA）。该方法的第1步通过构造一组新的方程来对加权最小二乘（WLS）方法进行改进,使得改进后的WLS方法在4站情况下也能得到目标位置和速度的初始值,第2步利用这个初始值为FA方法提供一个动态的搜索区域,同时在约束条件的添加和参数选择两个方面针对性地对FA方法做出了调整和改进。仿真结果表明,该方法在4站情况下对目标的定位精度可以达到克拉美罗下限（CRLB）,而且在实时性和抗噪性方面优于传统的搜索法,同时该方法在5站情况下的抗噪性能优于两步加权最小二乘法（TSWLS）和约束加权最小二乘（CWLS）法。     

基于DS证据理论的航天设备寿命预测方法

以动量轮为研究对象,提出一种基于D S证据理论和Bayes理论的信息融合及寿命预测方法。首先,挖掘多个寿命信息源的内、外部信息作为Bayes多源验前信息,并构建证据集合;其次,利用合成规则对证据集合进行合成,得到合理的验前融合权重的分配结果;然后,利用Bayes方法求解寿命参数的融合验后分布,并计算寿命参数的估计值;最后,根据参数估计值预测设备的剩余寿命。仿真结果表明,基于多源寿命信息融合的预测结果与单一来源的寿命预测结果相比,更加接近于设备的真实寿命信息。     

WEIGHTED COMPACT SCHEME FOR SHOCK CAPTURING

INTRODUCTIONRecently compact schemes have been widelyused in the simulation of complex flows,espe-cially in the directnumerical simulation of turbu-lent flows[1～ 2 ] . Standard finite differenceschemes have explicit forms and need to be atleastone pointwider than the desired approxima-tion order. It is also difficult to find suitable andstable boundary closure for high order schemes.Compared to the standard finite difference ap-proximations,the compact schemes can achievehigher order acc…     

基于支持向量机和DS证据理论的双馈风机定子匝间短路故障诊断

结合支持向量机(SVM)和DS证据理论,搭建了扩展Park变换模型以及失电残压模型,从多元信息融合的角度进行定子匝间短路故障诊断。仿真证明,该方法可以有效提高故障诊断的精确度,从而减少误诊。     

A clustering based method to complete frame of discernment

When the existing information does not contain all categories, the Generalized Evidence Theory (GET) can deal with information fusion. However, the question of how to determine the number of categories through GET is still intriguing. To address this question, a modified k-means clustering, named centers initialized clustering is proposed, filling the gap of identification and complement of the frame of discernment. Based on this clustering method, the number of categories is determined. The initialized centers selected by center density keep the cluster results constant, enhancing the stability of clustering results. Besides, constructing Generalized basic Probability Assignment (GBPA) modules in a conservative way improves the reliability of the results. The mass of empty set in combined GBPAs is the indicator of the number of categories. Experiments on real and artificial data sets are conducted to show the effectiveness.     

基于多层次特征的高分影像海岸带地物分类

针对高分辨率影像地物光谱丰富复杂的问题，文章提出了一种结合像元-对象-空间格局特征的水域、盐田等海岸带精细地物分类方法。首先基于像元和空间格局特征分别利用遗传算法优化随机森林参数进行分类；其次将两种分类结果采用D-S证据理论融合；然后基于不同地物斑块的空间上下文信息，采用粒子群算法优化支持向量机（Support Vector Machine，SVM）参数实现面向对象的二次分类。为验证方法的有效性，收集山东省莱州湾海岸带附近区域的“高分二号”卫星影像，开展了水域及水利设施用地、盐田、工矿用地、交通运输用地、住宅用地、沿海滩涂、海域与耕地8类地物的分类实验，总体精度达到97.21%，Kappa系数为0.964 2。实验结果表明，文章提出的高分影像海岸带地物分类方法兼顾像元、对象及空间格局特征优点，能够实现多层次细致分类，并同时兼具较短的训练时长与较高的分类精度。该研究成果可为中国海岸带生态环境监测与土地利用规划提供一定技术支撑。     

On the evidential reasoning rule for dependent evidence combination

Evidential Reasoning (ER) rule, which can combine multiple pieces of independent evidence conjunctively, is widely applied in multiple attribute decision analysis. However, the assumption of independence among evidence is often not satisfied, resulting in ER rule inapplicable. In this paper, an Evidential Reasoning rule for Dependent Evidence combination (ERr-DE) is developed. Firstly, the aggregation sequence of multiple pieces of evidence is determined according to evidence reliability. On this basis, a calculation method of evidence Relative Total Dependence Coefficient (RTDC) is proposed using the distance correlation method. Secondly, as a discounting factor, RTDC is introduced into the ER rule framework, and the ERr-DE model is formulated. The aggregation process of two pieces of dependent evidence by ERr-DE is investigated, which is then generalized to aggregate multiple pieces of non-independent evidence. Thirdly, sensitivity analysis is carried out to investigate the relationship between the model output and the RTDC. The properties of sensitivity coefficient are explored and mathematically proofed. The conjunctive probabilistic reasoning process of ERr-DE and the properties of sensitivity coefficient are verified by two numerical examples respectively. Finally, the practical application of the ERr-DE is validated by a case study on the performance assessment of satellite turntable system.