Bass模型参数估计方法研究综述

详细介绍了新产品扩散Bass模型及其各种参数估计方法.模型的参数估计是影响模型准确性的一个重要方面,不同的参数估计方法,会使模型拟含结果相差很大,本文在对以往Bass模型参数估计方法进行分析评述的基础上,介绍了一种新的模型参数估计方法一蚁群算法,通过比较分析,认为蚁群算法将是一种更好的Bass模型参数估计方法.     

使用Trimble Geomatics Office等商业随机软件应注意的几个问题

通过对Trimble Geomatics Office等随机软件的实际应用,提出一些数据质量控制措施.根据随机软件网平差功能的特点,通过对所有基线网和独立基线网的对比分析,得出选择独立基线网平差更合理、测量结果更可靠的结论.     

圆柱贮箱内液体非线性稳态晃动实验及动力学特性分析

针对圆柱贮箱内液体非线性稳态晃动力和力矩动态信号的采集与分析问题,设计了一种能同时实现充液贮箱整体固定安装和液体动态晃动力、力矩精确测量的实验装置,给出了相应的实验数据采集、分析和处理方法。通过开展大量实验,将实验数据与CFD仿真结果进行细致对比后发现:在旋转晃动状态下,CFD仿真结果存在明显的计算偏差,不便被独立的用于完整揭示贮箱内液体晃动的真实特性。最后,归纳了贮箱内液体的非线性稳态晃动行为随横向外激励频率的变化规律,并对比分析了驻波晃动、拍振晃动、多类复杂的旋转晃动等多种不同形式的非线性稳态晃动行为对运载工具控制系统的任务执行效率和稳定性的影响。     

Simultaneous spacecraft attitude and orbit estimation using magnetic field vector measurements

Based on magnetometer measurements only, three-axis attitude, rate, and orbit estimation are successfully achieved. A single Augmented Dynamics Extended Kalman Filter (ADEKF) is configured by combining the spacecraft nonlinear attitude dynamics and quaternion kinematics with orbital mechanics. The filter design is adopted for three-axis stabilized spacecraft in low Earth orbits where the aerodynamic drag is the dominant source of disturbances in addition to the spacecraft magnetic residuals. To reduce the computational burden, another Interlaced Extended Kalman Filter (IEKF) is developed to uncouple the attitude/rate from the orbit dynamics. Both filters are implemented using the magnetometer measurements and their corresponding time derivatives. As a part of EgyptSat-1 flight scenario, detumbling and standby modes are used for performance testing of the ADEKF. The concept of local observability is applied to the basic filter and the stability is investigated by incorporating extensive Monte Carlo simulations with uniformly distributed initial conditions. The filter shows the capability of estimating the attitude better than 5 deg and rate of order 0.03 deg/s in each axis. In orbit estimation, the filter is capable of estimating the position with accuracy less than 8 km and velocity upto 5 m/s in each axis.     

实时离散事件系统的状态反馈逻辑

 基于状态时间的概念,在Ramadge-Wonham模型的基础上提出了一种新的实时离散事件系统模型。在控制目标是保持某给定谓词在闭环系统状态轨迹上为真的情况下,给出了实时控制不变性的定义。研究表明,对这类系统,存在一个状态反馈控制器使给定谓词在闭环系统状态轨迹上保持为真的充要条件是该谓词是实时控制不变的。证明了给定谓词所含的最大实时控制不变子谓词的存在性并给出了计算方法。最后,给出一个例子来说明有关结果。     

无人机机载导弹落角和时间控制导引律研究

改进了一种能同时控制命中角和命中时间的修正比例导引律,将其用到无人机机载空对地导弹中,将其中的剩余时间估计加入了命中角约束的影响,旨在保证无人机机载导弹垂直命中目标的同时,使命中时间更为准确.通过对此导引律和一种仅考虑垂直命中角约束的修正比例导引律以及和改进前导引律的比较,仿真表明,此导引律使无人机机载导弹能在保证垂直...     

Microphysics: Equation of State

The equation of state is one of the three fundamental ingredients used to construct stellar models. The plasma of the interiors of stars such as the Sun is only slightly non-ideal. However, the extraordinary accuracy of the helioseismological data requires refined equations of state. It turned out to be necessary to include a Coulomb correction, commonly evaluated in the Debye-Hückel approximation. Higher-order non-ideal effects have implications as well, both for plasma physics and for solar physics. As a typical example, the recently studied thermodynamic consequence of excited states in compound particles is discussed. This effect is of considerable relevance in the helioseismic determination of the helium abundance in the solar convection zone. This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

On the Composition of the Solar Interior Rapporteur Paper I

Standard solar models, although they are free from the influence of much of the fluid motion that is bound to be present in the Sun, have been shown by helioseismology to represent the spherically averaged structure of the Sun amazingly well. This state of affairs has come about after painstaking refinements by a great many people of the pertinent microphysics, including that which controls the equation of state, the opacity, the nuclear reaction rates and the diffusion that inhibits gravitational segregation of chemical elements. It has instilled confidence in the modellers in being able to predict the composition of the solar interior. But there are consequences of the flow, related particularly to redistribution of chemical species, that can be difficult to identify observationally, yet which may degrade any inferences we might make. Their potential presence must at least be acknowledged by anyone who tries to asses the reliability of the models. This report summarizes the discussions in the preceding pages of this volume of the current theoretical and observational status of the subject, pointing to many of the caveats that have been raised, and attempting at the same time to put them into a seemingly coherent discourse in the context of our present understanding of the workings of the solar interior. This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

动态系统时延参数估计的重构输入法

首先指出了过去在进行时延系统参数估计时所用的近似处理方法的弊端，然后就动态系统未知时延参数的估计问题提出了重构系统输入的估计方法，并以极大似然估计迭代算法为基础给出了一套估计动态系统时延参数的算法，最后，应用所提出的方法进行了仿真计算，仿真结果表明，参数估计的精度极高，这说明该方法是可靠且可行的。     

一种遥测缓变参数自动判读的新方法

针对遥测参数中缓变参数的自动判读问题，提出一种基于历史数据统计特性的遥测缓变参数自动判读新方法。首先，设计了一种以参数目标数据时标为基准的时间间隔递推算法和线性插值方法，使历史数据与目标数据的时标得到有效统一。其次，基于方向和距离函数构造了双因子等价权函数，并利用抗差最小二乘估计算法得到了参数的估值和标准差。最后，根据参数的估值和标准差对目标数据进行统计分析，依据目标数据的概率分布判断参数是否存在异常，进而实现参数的自动判读。仿真校验结果表明，该方法能有效辨识缓变参数中的异常参数，且具有较强的抑制随机噪声和抗差自适应能力。与传统以人工为主的判读方式相比，该方法能有效提高遥测参数判读的效率和准确性。