高风险场所安全防范系统不确定性分析与评估

安全防范系统运行的有效性是保证被防护对象的关键。然而,安全防范系统本身及其运行环境存在多种不确定性因素,这些不确定性的存在将导致场所内存在很大的风险性,如果分析处理不当会产生严重的后果。在给出物理系统不确定性模型的基础上,分析了安全防范系统中存在的不确定性因素,提出了层次分析和灰色理论相结合的方法,评估不确定风险因素的权重,实现对入侵报警系统不确定性的评估。     

基于LPV模型的航空发动机控制器Kalman滤波器设计

针对航空发动机LPV模型,设计了1种改进Kalman滤波器设计方法,并应用于某型涡扇发动机控制系统中。涡扇发动机宽工况变化过程的仿真结果表明,该滤波器可实现对系统输出和状态的有效跟踪和滤波,较好地检验了该方法的有效性。     

TIA前机载软件成熟度评估的相关研究

率先引入rFAA（美国联邦航空局）提出的软件成熟度的概念。局方正式签发TIA（型号检查核准书）前,在软件的构型和符合性均未达到最终冻结状态的情况下,通过对软件的成熟度进行有效评估,可以为验证试飞前软件的工程批准提供有力的支持与保障,在一定程度上降低局方飞行试验的风险,保障适航验证试飞活动的顺利开展。由于机载软件成熟度足一个新兴的概念,目前局方（FAA、CAAC）对于如何进行成熟度评估尚未形成正式的、通用的政策性指导文件,国内主机厂对此问题也没有相关的处理经验和具体的操作方法。基于机载软件本身的特点,参考局方在机载软件审查时的主要关注点,提出了TIA前机载软件成熟度评估的基本考虑要素与分析重点。     

On the effect of considering more realistic particle shape and mass parameters in MMOD risk assessments

One of the primary mission risks tracked in the development of all spacecraft is that due to micro-meteoroids and orbital debris (MMOD). Both types of particles, especially those larger than 0.1 mm in diameter, contain sufficient kinetic energy due to their combined mass and velocities to cause serious damage to crew members and spacecraft. The process used to assess MMOD risk consists of three elements: environment, damage prediction, and damage tolerance. Orbital debris risk assessments for the Orion vehicle, as well as the Shuttle, Space Station and other satellites use ballistic limit equations (BLEs) that have been developed using high speed impact test data and results from numerical simulations that have used spherical projectiles. However, spheres are not expected to be a common shape for orbital debris; rather, orbital debris fragments might be better represented by other regular or irregular solids. In this paper we examine the general construction of NASA’s current orbital debris (OD) model, explore the potential variations in orbital debris mass and shape that are possible when using particle characteristic length to define particle size (instead of assuming spherical particles), and, considering specifically the Orion vehicle, perform an orbital debris risk sensitivity study taking into account variations in particle mass and shape as noted above. While the results of the work performed for this study are preliminary, they do show that continuing to use aluminum spheres in spacecraft risk assessments could result in an over-design of its MMOD protection systems. In such a case, the spacecraft could be heavier than needed, could cost more than needed, and could cost more to put into orbit than needed. The results obtained in this study also show the need to incorporate effects of mass and shape in mission risk assessment prior to first flight of any spacecraft as well as the need to continue to develop/refine BLEs so that they more accurately reflect the shape and material density variations inherent to the actual debris environment.     

基于并行蚁群优化的多UCAV任务分配仿真平台

多无人作战飞机(UCAV)协同作战是UCAV参与战斗的主要模式,而多UCAV任务分配是多UCAV协同作战研究的关键问题。针对现有多UCAV任务分配方法中所存在的计算量大、运行时间长等问题,提出了一种基于并行蚁群优化(ACO)的多UCAV任务分配方法。在构建多UCAV空战优势矩阵的基础上,给出了综合态势评估函数;随后阐述了基本ACO算法的基本原理和数学模型,提出了一种用并行ACO算法解决多UCAV任务分配问题的实现方法;最后基于MATLAB图形用户界面(GUI)开发了一种基于并行蚁群优化的多UCAV任务分配仿真平台。实践证明该仿真平台具有良好、开放的可扩展性,且使用方便。     

基于预计算和周期性的ECC标量乘法算法

在研究二进制、带符号的二进制(NAF,Non-Adjacent Form)等常见标量乘法算法的基础上,结合椭圆曲线基点的周期特性和预计算倍点序列方式,提出了一种新的标量乘法算法,并给出了新算法的详细步骤.点的周期性和系数决定了直接进行标量乘法运算还是转化为求其逆元,预计算倍点序列方式避免了椭圆曲线密码体制(ECC,Elliptic Curve Cryptosystem)加解密过程中大量的重复运算.为验证算法的正确性,采用密钥长度为192 bit椭圆曲线,给出了一个具体实例.实例结果和算法分析表明:与二进制和NAF算法相比,新算法虽占用了一些存储空间,但省去了倍点运算的时间开销,同时减少了点加的运算次数,极大地提高了标量乘法运算的效率.该算法的提出对完善ECC理论和加快ECC在实际中的应用具有重要意义.      

系统可靠性增长评估模型研究

根据系统在研制期间故障强度变化规律,考虑故障间隔时间影响的情况下,提出了广义可靠性增长评估模型,分析了其参数特性,并给出了拟合优度检验方法;然后,给出了定时截尾和定数截尾情况下,模型参数的极大似然估计公式,采用Simpson方法将积分函数化为求和函数,使得参数估计计算方便,给出了趋势检验方法给出了可靠性增长评估公式;最后,结合发动机故障数据进行了的实例分析,结果表明,模型对试验数据拟合较好,评估结果符合工程实际,模型具有实际应用价值.      

Using high-energy proton fluence to improve risk prediction for consequences of solar particle events

The potential for exposure to large solar particle events (SPEs) with high energy levels is a major concern during interplanetary transfer and extra-vehicular activities (EVAs) on the lunar and Mars surface. Previously, we have used data from the last 5 solar cycles to estimate percentiles of dose to a typical blood-forming organ (BFO) for a hypothetical astronaut in a nominally shielded spacecraft during a 120-d lunar mission. As part of this process, we made use of complete energy spectra for 34 large historical SPEs to calculate what the BFO mGy-Eq dose would have been in the above lunar scenario for each SPE. From these calculated doses, we then developed a prediction model for BFO dose based solely on an assumed value of integrated fluence above 30 MeV (Φ₃₀) for an otherwise unspecified future SPE. In this study, we reasoned that since BFO dose is determined more by protons with higher energies than by those with lower energies, more accurate BFO dose prediction models could be developed using integrated fluence above 60 (Φ₆₀) and above 100 MeV (Φ₁₀₀) as predictors instead of Φ₃₀. However to calculate the unconditional probability of a BFO dose exceeding a pre-specified limit (“BFO dose risk”), one must also take into account the distribution of the predictor (Φ_30,Φ₆₀, or Φ₁₀₀), as estimated from historical SPEs. But Φ₆₀ and Φ₁₀₀ have more variability, and less available historical information on which to estimate their distributions over many SPE occurrences, than does Φ₃₀. Therefore, when estimating BFO dose risk there is a tradeoff between increased BFO dose prediction at a given energy threshold and decreased accuracy of models for describing the distribution of that threshold over future SPEs as the threshold increases. Even when taking the second of these two factors into account, we still arrived at the conclusion that overall prediction improves as the energy level threshold increases from 30 to 60 to 100 MeV. These results can be applied to the development of approaches to improve radiation protection of astronauts and the optimization of mission planning for future space missions.     

浅谈廊坊电子信息产业的现状与发展

电子信息产业发展对当今世界经济发展起着十分重要的作用。如何加快电子信息产业发展,对保持经济持续快速增长,加快推进工业化进程具有十分重要的意义。本文立足于廊坊电子信息产业发展的现状,对未来如何加快发展廊坊电子信息产业提出自己的想法和建议。     

磁悬挂天平导航控制系统的应用与研究

介绍了利用美国国家仪器有限公司(简称NI:National Instruments)的软件LabVIEW和硬件高速定时器/计数器,以及含步进电机的CCD线阵列式位置传感器支架来实现的磁悬挂天平MSBS(Magnetic Suspension and Balance System)导航控制系统,其中主要包括它的俯仰、左右和平动方向的导航控制.磁悬挂天平是进行风洞实验的理想装置,其基本核心技术之一就是进行导航控制.该系统基于LabVIEW7.0平台进行编程,具有操作界面友好直观、导航控制精度高、便于扩展等特点.磁悬挂天平导航控制系统是"30cm×30cm磁悬挂天平装置"及"30cm×30cm低速高品质气流风洞装置"的重要组成部分.