Quantitative assessment and visualization of flight risk induced by coupled multi-factor under icing conditions

Aircraft icing has been proven to be one of the most serious threats to flight safety. During the analysis of flight risk under icing conditions, quantitative assessment and visualization of flight risk are quite essential as they provide safe manipulation strategies in intricate conditions. However, they are rarely studied. Since the icing flight accidents are the result of the coupling of multiple unfavorable factors, in present study, we have proposed a method to quantitatively assess flight risk induced by multi-factor coupling under icing conditions by Monte-Carlo simulation and multivariate extreme value theory. The results demonstrate that the flight risk probability increases with the rise of unfavorable factors. Besides, a flight risk visualization method named flight safety window has been presented to build the flight risk distribution cloud maps in different complex conditions. The cloud maps show that the icing would give rise to atrophy of the safety scope, and the consequence would be even more severe when coupled with other more unfavorable factors. The proposed methods in this study would be useful in flight risk analysis under icing conditions and can enhance the pilot's situational awareness in selecting correct strategies within the safety zone to avoid unsafe manipulation.     

DME询问信号捕获的设计与实现

捕获询问信号是DME地面设备的一个重要功能组成部分。现役的地面设备中大多使用的捕获单元为分离器件电路设计，其电路复杂，控制难度大，改进与维护成本高。针对这些问题，本文设计采用ADC结合FPGA作为主要功能器件，并通过软件算法完成数字滤波、脉冲峰值提取和半幅点计算，实现询问信号的识别与捕获。不仅大幅减少元器件的使用，缩小设备体积，还可提高扩展性与可靠性。结合机柜验证测试，结果符合设计要求。     

Contingency target assessment,trajectory design,and analysis for NASA’s NEA scout solar sail mission

The presented study examines contingency target selection and trajectory design for NASA’s Near-Earth Asteroid Scout mission under the assumption of a missed lunar gravity assist. Two previously considered asteroids are selected as potential targets for the given scenario based on favorable orbital characteristics for launch dates ranging from June 27, 2020 through July 26, 2020. Initially, a simplified circular restricted 3-body problem + ideal solar sail model is utilized to survey trajectory options for a month-long launch window. Selected solutions from this data set are then converged in an N-body ephemeris + non-ideal sail model. Results suggest that NEA Scout can still perform asteroid rendezvous mission under the missed lunar gravity assist scenario with new targets, 2019 GF1, 2018 PK21, and 2007 UN12, based on the target launch dates. Further target assessment is carried out for 165 days beyond the current June 27, 2020 launch date.     

基于新陈代谢GM（1,1）模型的导弹遥测故障预测算法

在人工监视遥测关键参数是否超出阈值范围以判断导弹故障的传统模式基础上,对GM（1,1）预测模型进行了改进,研究了基于新陈代谢的GM（1,1）预测算法对遥测参数实时预测效果.该算法能不断去掉最老的信息,充分利用最新的信息,避免了预测模型老化的现象;由于用于预测的数列维度较少,便于计算,能够保证算法的实时性.用MATLAB编程实现算法,比对实测数据的预测值与实际值,并进行误差分析.结果表明,该算法对遥测参数的预测精度较高,可为及时发现导弹故障提供科学的依据.     

飞行系统中人的可靠性评估

人的可靠性是个非常活跃的研究领域。本文从航空事件的历史数据出发,论证了飞行系统中人员失误率评估的重要性和迫切性。综述了近年来国内外人的可靠性分析的方法和模型,它们是HCR,CSE,NRC,TESEO,SLIM和灰色模型;评述了各种模型的适用条件及优劣,特别是文中提出的灰色模型将是人员失误率评估中最为有效的方法。同时也为飞行系统的系统配置、座舱资源管理等提出了新的设计考虑因素。     

基于神经网络的智能复合材料损伤评估系统

介绍了一种复合材料损伤评估的新系统。该系统由埋入光纤传感器阵列、形状记忆合金丝和Ｋ　ｏｈｏｎｅｎ　自组织神经网络处理器组成。由埋入光纤传感器阵列实现对材料损伤的检测,神经网络由ＴＭＳ３２０Ｃ２５　高速并行处理器和ＩＢＭＰＣ／３８６组成的高速并行分布处理器进行模拟,实现传感器输出信号的实时处理,并产生相应的控制信号激励形状记忆合金丝（ＳＭＡ）,以改变材料的应力状态,延缓材料的破坏。     

系统可靠性评定的熵（法）近似限

将近代Ｓｈａｎｎｏｎ信息论的信息概念广义化,利用信息量的“可加性”特性和离散变量熵的一般表达式,并与可靠性工程理论相结合,推导了由成败型或指数型单元所组成的串、并联系统可靠性评定用的熵（法）近似下限计算公式。应用本文公式所得出的评定结果总是介于经典和贝叶斯（法）近似下限之间,既不偏于保守,又不过分冒进,相当令人满意     

k/N(G)系统可靠性评定的熵(法)近似限

将近代,Shannon信息论与可靠性工程理论相结合,推导了由不同成败型或不同指数型单元组成的k/N（G）系统可靠性评定用的熵（法）第一、二近似下限计算公式。评定结果令人满意。     

飞机智慧座舱发展技术研究

未来飞机座舱智慧化转型是必然趋势,研究飞机智慧座舱发展技术能够为未来飞机智慧座舱的设计提供参考支撑。本文探讨了智能与智慧的区别,提出了飞机智慧座舱的概念与设计内涵,总结出深度感知与沉浸式交互、类人的认知及开放性与个性化定制服务的智慧座舱功能设计要素;梳理了发展飞机智慧座舱亟需解决的五项关键技术：多维度深度信息感知与融合技术、先进信息显示技术、沉浸式自然交互技术、智能态势认知技术、多智能体自主适应技术。通过关键技术的分析对未来飞机智慧座舱的发展提出了新的思考。     

一个自主Agent框架及其决策

自主性是Agent的最重要的特征。本提出一个自主Agent的框架及其相应的决策机制。首先介绍了用于描述自主Agent的语言;然后基于BDI模型和情境演算理论,提出一个自主Agent的框架;最后给出自主Agent的一种决策过程。