基于随机模糊参数的结构模糊可靠性分析模型

结构模糊可靠性理论研究主要是建立仅考虑失效准则模糊性的结构模糊可靠性分析模型.在现有结构模糊可靠性分析理论研究的基础上,同时考虑工程中结构参数的随机性和区间模糊性,提出了模糊概率密度函数的概念,并推导相应的模糊概率密度函数公式,给出了反映随机参数区间模糊性的隶属函数的类型和选取方法.建立了同时考虑随机参数区间模糊性和失效准则模糊性的结构模糊可靠性分析模型.讨论了模糊可靠性分析模型与常规的随机可靠性分析模型的相容性.并给出算例进行验证,研究结果表明,采用该结构模糊可靠性分析方法更能全面地利用结构参数信息.     

连续状态系统可靠性

本文在给出连续状态系统和典型结构的定义后，讨论了连续状态关联系统可靠性与功效的定义和性质，证明了有关定理。利用定义的典型结构，将两状态系统方块图和故障树分析方法推广至连续情形，研究连续状态方块图和连续状态树分析方法，利用系统、子系统和单元间的功能平衡关系。提出一种建立系统结构函数的建模方法，最后讨论了系统可靠度的计算问题。文中给出一个连续状态系统的分析、建模和计算的例子。     

Fault-tolerance wide voltage conversion gain DC/DC converter for more electric aircraft

In this paper, a fault-tolerance wide voltage conversion gain DC/DC converter for More Electric Aircraft (MEA) is proposed. The proposed converter consists of a basic Cuk converter module and n expandable units. By adjusting the operation state of the expandable units, the voltage conversion gain of the proposed converter could be regulated, which makes it available for wide voltage conversion applications. Especially, since mutual redundancy can be realized between the basic Cuk converter module and the expandable units, the converter can continuously work when an unpredictable fault occurs to the fault-tolerant parts of the proposed converter, which reflects the fault tolerance of the converter and significantly improves the reliability of the system. Moreover, the advantages of small input current ripple, automatic current sharing and low voltage stress are also integrated in this converter. The working principle and features of the proposed converter are mainly introduced, and an experimental prototype with 800 W output power has been manufactured to verify the practicability and availability of the proposed converter.     

A novel imprecise stochastic process model for time-variant or dynamic uncertainty quantification

This paper proposes a novel model named as “imprecise stochastic process model” to handle the dynamic uncertainty with insufficient sample information in real-world problems. In the imprecise stochastic process model, the imprecise probabilistic model rather than a precise probability distribution function is employed to characterize the uncertainty at each time point for a time-variant parameter, which provides an effective tool for problems with limited experimental samples. The linear correlation between variables at different time points for imprecise stochastic processes is described by defining the auto-correlation coefficient function and the cross-correlation coefficient function. For the convenience of analysis, this paper gives the definition of the P-box-based imprecise stochastic process and categorizes it into two classes: parameterized and non-parameterized P-box-based imprecise stochastic processes. Besides, a time-variant reliability analysis approach is developed based on the P-box-based imprecise stochastic process model, through which the interval of dynamic reliability for a structure under uncertain dynamic excitations or time-variant factors can be obtained. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by investigating three numerical examples.     

深海载人平台舵翼结构疲劳可靠性分析

对深海载人平台舵翼结构疲劳可靠性问题进行了研究,分析了舵翼结构的主要疲劳载荷和结构热点,提出了舵翼结构疲劳可靠性定量指标。以升降舵结构为例,建立了舵结构疲劳可靠性分析模型,给出模型中各参数的建议取值,并进行疲劳可靠性系数与疲劳寿命计算,计算表明:深海载人平台升降舵结构疲劳破坏几乎全部由水面砰击载荷导致,且采用 1.5倍强度安全系数进行设计不能满足长期服役的疲劳可靠性要求。最后,研究给出满足疲劳可靠性要求的安全系数与寿命的关系曲线,可供设计人员参考。     

二项串联系统可靠性经典方法精确置信限的计算及讨论

本文进一步阐述了用现有的三种不同的排序法计算二项串联系统可靠性经典的精确置信限的方法,指出了M.Lipow和J.Riley在1960年所编制的置信限表所存在的一些问题,介绍了我们所编制的程序具有精确度高且便于推广到多个元件(各元件的试验次数可不相同)的特点,发现了用现有的三种不同的排序法计算精确置信限时所存在的不合理性。我们认为,求解二项串联系统可靠性经典方法的精确置信限问题至今仍然没有解决。     

文献“Environmental Testing for Launch and Space Vehicles”[1]点评

作者根据多年的实践经验,对该文献中重要部分进行了点评,指出:空间系统的结构设计要"严格"按照环境设计来进行考核,而环境试验的目的除了筛选工艺质量之外,更重要的是验证设计载荷是否合理.文章还分别对声、振动和冲击试验中的关键步骤和内容进行了解析和说明.     

应用极限载荷试验的结构可靠性评定方法

研究了验证了一种利用极限载荷试验结果对固体火箭发动机燃烧室金属壳体进行结构可靠性评定的贝叶斯法。首先建立了适用的应力－强度模型，导出了壳体结构可靠度验前概率密度函数的表达式。进而提出一种通过爆破试验获取试验信息的方法。然后用贝叶斯方法将验前信息与爆破试验信息结合起来对一种发动机燃烧室壳体的结构可靠性进行评定，验证了这一方法的合理性和可行性。     

导弹电动舵机系统的可靠性设计和预测

本文针对导弹电动舵机系统，应用我们提出的系统可靠性最优化设计方法，在给定系统总可靠度、各分系统费用配额和质量配额的条件下，设计舵机各部分的可靠度，首先建立基于相对对数可靠度概念的系统可靠性数学模型，确定了舵机各部分的相对可靠度与相对费用、相对质量及舵机系统级数之间的关系，应用极大值原理，通过数值求解，得到舵机各部分的可靠度。最后，对实际舵机各部分进行可靠性预测。预测结果与设计结果相一致，这说明本文提出的这种可靠性设计方法是成功的，具有普遍应用价值。