军用飞机型号研制试飞费用估算研究

在借鉴国外经验的基础上,对国内军用飞机型号研制试飞费用的构成进行了研究,提出基于兰德DAPCA IV模型的军用飞机型号研制试飞费用估算模型,为试飞费用的估算提供了依据。     

Sunspot cycle 23 descent to an unusual minimum and forecasts for cycle 24 activity

The decay phase of the sunspot cycle 23 exhibited two unusual features. First, it lasted too long. Second, the interplanetary magnetic field intensity at earth orbit reached the lowest value since in situ measurements in space began in October 1963. These physical anomalies significantly altered the early forecasts for the sunspot activity parameters for cycle 24, made by several colleagues. We note that there was a significant change in the solar behavior during cycle 22. We discuss the observed trends and their effect on our empirical solar activity forecast technique, leading to our prediction for cycle 24 parameters; cycle 24 will be only half as active as cycle 23, reaching its peak in May 2013. We speculate on the possible implications of this outcome on future earth climate change and the ensuing socio-economic consequences.     

军航活动下扇区动态容量评估研究

民航业迅速发展,空域资源的稀缺性日益凸显。科学合理地评估空域容量是解决空中交通流量瓶颈的关键,同时也为制定流量管理策略提供科学的依据。由于我国体制的特殊性,军航活动一直是我国空域资源限制的重要因素。研究并详细分析军航活动对扇区容量损失作用的机理,定量地评估军航活动对扇区容量的影响,建立军航活动影响下的扇区动态容量评估模型,结论表明模型有一定的参考意义。     

载人月球探测月面活动发展设想

载人月球探测是浩大的系统工程,组成复杂,关键技术多,研制周期长,经费投入高,任务风险大.月面活动是载人月球探测任务体现能力、保障安全、提升效益的重要组成部分,必须回答"为什么""去哪里""怎么干"等问题.本文从国内外月球探测历程出发,结合当今世界月球探测领域趋势与局势,从月球战略布局、月球科学内涵开展分析.针对月面驻留...     

军用飞机环境适应性评价模型

阐述了作战飞机面临的环境,分析了各种环境因素对军用飞机作战性能的影响,建立了军用飞机环境适应性评价指标体系。确定了机场环境剖面和衡量各个评价因素样本数据的方法,并提出了军用飞机环境适应性评价模型,通过实例验证了模型的合理性和方法的可行性。算例和分析结论表明,该模型反映了军用飞机在环境适应性方面的技术要求,同时也为军用飞机在环境适应能力上的改进提供了参考。     

The Modulation of Galactic Cosmic Rays in the Heliosphere: Theory and Models

Almost all theoretical and numerical models for the modulation of cosmic ray in the heliosphere are based on Parker's transport equation which contains all the important basic physical processes. The relative importance of the various mechanisms is however not established and may vary significantly over 22 years. The simultaneous measurements of solar wind parameters, heliospheric magnetic field properties and cosmic rays over a wide range of energies and positions in the heliosphere have brought the realization that modulation is much more complicated than what the original drift models predicted. In the process the sophistication of models based on solving Parker's equation has increased by orders of magnitude. A short review of the global modulation of cosmic rays is given from a theoretical and modelling point of view.     

Solar Irradiance Variability Since 1978

Since November 1978 a set of total solar irradiance (TSI) measurements from space is available, yielding a time series of more than 25 years. Presently, there are three TSI composites available, called PMOD, ACRIM and IRMB, which are all constructed from the same original data, but use different procedures to correct for sensitivity changes. The PMOD composite is the only one which also corrects the early HF data for degradation. The results from the detailed analysis of the VIRGO radiometry allow a good understanding of the effects influencing the long-term behaviour of classical radiometers in space. Thus, a re-analysis of the behaviour of HF/NIMBUS-7 and ACRIM-I/SMM was indicated. For the former the situation is complicated by the fact that there are no in-flight means to determine changes due to exposure to solar radiation by comparison with a less exposed radiometer on the same spacecraft. The geometry and optical property of the cavity of HF is, however, very similar to the PMO6-type radiometers, so the behaviour of the PMO6V radiometers on VIRGO can be used as a model. ACRIM-I had to be revised mainly due to a henceforth undetected early increase and a more detailed analysis of its degradation. The results are not only important for solar radiometry from space, but they also provide a more reliable TSI during cycle 21. The differences between the revised PMOD composite and the ACRIM and IRMB are discussed by comparison with a TSI reconstruction from Kitt-Peak magnetograms. As the PMOD composite is the only one which has reliable data for cycle 21, the behaviour of the three solar cycles can now be compared and the similarities and differences discussed.     

基于BP神经网络的战斗机采购费用估算

介绍了飞机采购费用的构成,概述了飞机采购费用的估算方法;简单描述了人工神经网络的基本原理,以此构建了BP网络模型;最后,利用神经网络方法对飞机采购费用进行估算,并用MATLAB进行仿真,取得了比较满意的结果。     

军用飞机效费综合特性研究

从目前军用飞机效费比概念在实际应用中存在的问题出发,以军用飞机效费综合特性为研究对象,阐述了其产生的背景、定义、内涵、度量方法、控制规律、参数体系和全寿命管理与控制的工作流程,建立了军用飞机效费综合特性及其全寿命管理与控制的基本理论、方法和技术框架。基于目前型号工程中的应用实践,对其应用前景作了进一步的展望。     

Feature analysis on US military aircraft engine advanced technology programs

US military aircraft engine advanced technology programs were overviewed and analyzed from light weight gas generator (LWGG) program initiated in 1960s through integrated high performance turbine engine technology (IHPTET) program started in 1980s, then to versatile affordable advanced turbine engine (VAATE) program. Some features and trends were summarized and concluded by literature statistics method, such as teams based on closely corporation among government, industries and academics, goals oriented with national defence strategies and weapon system development requirements, engineering manufacture and development including all relative disciplines and areas, verification measured by technology readiness level, the application extending to military aircraft engine, civilian engine, gas turbine and space vehicle, etc. The experience and lessons obtained can provide reference and guide for technology research and engineering manufacture and development of military aircraft engines in the world.