基于GRU的仪表着陆系统故障预测方法研究

故障预测技术在保障仪表着陆系统的可靠运行、提高空管效能等方面具有重要应用价值。结合仪表着陆系统运行特征和实际运行维护工作,提出一种基于GRU 的仪表着陆系统故障预测方法。以航向信标为研究对象,在分析其监控参数与设备运行状态之间的关系后,将监控参数作为故障特征参数;根据监控参数时间步长、时变性特征显著的特点,采用GRU 预测监控参数的未来变化趋势;根据监控参数的隶属函数计算出参数未来时刻可能发生“故障”的概率,实现对航向信标故障的预测。结果表明：基于GRU 的预测方法的相对预测精度在95% 以上。     

一种模糊推理模型在医学专家系统中的应用

本文介绍一种模糊推理模型DFRM(The Double Weight Number Fuzzy Reasoning Model),它已应用到儿童消化道疾病专家系统中,获得了满意的结果。并对该模型作了评价。     

导弹落点密集度的序贯截尾决策

利用后退归纳法讨论了截尾情况下导弹落点密集度的序贯决策方案 ,给出了确定最优停时的一般方法 ,仿真结果表明了方法的有效性     

谱载下基于模糊Miner法则的疲劳寿命估算

在载荷谱中,当疲劳应力稍低于疲劳极限时,对构件是否造成损伤呈现出某种"模糊"过渡状态.运用模糊数学的隶属函数,建立了考虑"模糊"损伤状态的Miner法则.按照常规Miner法则和模糊Miner法则,分别给出了程序块谱作用下疲劳寿命的估算公式.实例估算与试验结果的对比表明:采用模糊Miner法则,可使疲劳寿命的估算误差减少18.33%.     

焊接工艺对钛合金焊接接头冲击韧性的影响

介绍了俄罗斯对钛及其钛合金焊接接头冲击韧性最大值的影响因素的研究工作,以对相关航空研究作参考作用。     

基于相似参数的冲压发动机调节规律设计方法

调节规律对于冲压发动机设计,运行和控制都是十分重要的,冲压发动机工作在宽马赫数、大空域的范围内,由于冲压发动机工作状态受到多种因素影响,冲压发动机调节规律设计将是比较困难的。本文基于马赫数相似准则,定义了用以描述冲压发动机相似工作状态的相似参数,并给出了冲压发动机调节规律的设计方法,仿真结果表明了此方法是有效和简单化的,具有较好的工程应用价值。     

Investigation of national policy shifts to impact orbital debris environments

Low earth orbit has become increasingly congested as the satellite population has grown over the past few decades, making orbital debris a major concern for the operational stability of space assets. This congestion was highlighted by the collision of the Iridium 33 and Cosmos 2251 satellites in 2009. This paper addresses the current state of orbital debris regulation in the United States and asks what might be done through policy change to mitigate risks in the orbital debris environment. A brief discussion of the nature of orbital debris addresses the major contributing factors including size classes, locations of population concentrations, projected satellite populations, and current challenges presented in using post-mission active debris removal to mitigate orbital debris. An overview of the current orbital debris regulatory structure of the United States reveals the fragmented nature of having six regulating bodies providing varying levels of oversight to their markets. A closer look into the regulatory policy of these agencies shows that, while they all take direction from The U.S. Government Orbital Debris Mitigation Standard Practices, this policy is a guideline with no real penalty for non-compliance. Various policy solutions to the orbital debris problem are presented, ranging from a business as usual approach to a consolidated regulation system which would encourage spacecraft operator compliance. The positive aspects of these options are presented as themes that would comprise an effective policy shift towards successful LEO conservation. Potential economic and physical limitations to this policy approach are also addressed.     

空战攻防对策力学准则的推广

对空战攻防对策力学准则进行了推广研究。导出考虑导弹杀伤半径不为零时的“圆捕获”的界栅方程，该方程表明“点捕获”界栅方程是“圆捕获”界栅方程的特例，给出了捕获区，逃逸区和界栅几何图形，该图形描述了界栅与视线距，视线变化率，视线角速度之间的关系；分析了导弹杀伤半径，导弹和目标机动能力的差值对导弹和目标空战效果的影响。     

航天器系统设计的可靠性准则

在对大量航天器工程案例分析的基础上,提炼出10条航天器系统（总体）设计的可靠性准则。遵循这些设计准则,将有利于航天器从系统级避免许多故障,或者消除故障对系统的影响,在阐述每条准则时,列举了一个或数个案例。