Exploration and implementation of commonality valuation method in commercial aircraft family design

Commercial aircraft family design can reduce development costs, shorten development cycles, and expand the market coverage of aircraft. Commercial aircraft family development has become one of the most important features of modern aircraft design. This paper explores the effects of commonality on different aircraft models in a commercial aircraft family. The existing product commonality indexes are summarized and their limitations in the application to aircraft design are discussed. Then a new component commonality index is proposed based on the component decomposition structure. A model for calculating the aircraft program value is established,which considers development costs, manufacturing costs, sale price, operation costs and residual costs. The effects of aircraft commonality on time and economic costs of both development and manufacturing, and on sale price, are analyzed and quantified. The commonality evaluation strategy is obtained, which features comprehensive consideration of the aircraft program value and time costs. The break-even analysis of aircraft is proceeded on the basis of costs and price data. By using a real option method, the strategy considers the uncertainty of the aircraft program and the flexibility of the manufacturer. This strategy proves to be rational and applicable to aircraft design based on the calculation of three examples and the analysis of parameter sensitivity.     

旅游者出游激励理论探讨

从期望理论的视角审视旅游者的决策过程,主要借鉴维克托.弗鲁姆(Victor H. Vroom)期望理论的相关原理,初步搭建了旅游者出游激励理论的基本框架,解决了旅游者决策依据问题。通过旅游感知效价、旅游感知成本等全新概念的引入和一系列调查问卷的设计,最终得出了出游激励力的完整表达式并有以下阶段性结论:(1)信息准备是旅游感知效价、旅游期望值2、旅游感知成本的直接来源;(2)旅游感知效价、旅游期望值2、旅游感知成本对旅游者做出决策至关重要;(3)出游激励力是旅游者最终做出决策的惟一依据。     

浅析航材承修商多维度管理

在深航近年来使用的承修商管理模式的基础上,通过实践不断修正,新增可视化质量评估平台,使深航的承修商管理形成一个完整的闭环监控,本文对这一可视化质量评估模型进行了详细介绍,以期为业内航材承修商管理工作提供参考。     

浅谈水洗发动机对大修成本的影响

通过对深圳航空公司CFM56-7B发动机水洗方法改进前后的发动机进厂大修数据进行比较,主要分析HPT导向器报废率的变化,说明改进的发动机水洗方式对于延长发动机在翼时间、降低HPT导向器报废率、节约大修成本起到良好促进作用。     

热力学排气系统中节流效应及其冷量利用分析

为更好地理解热力学排气系统(TVS)的运行机理，优化其运行参数，针对节流装置，建立了热力学模型，讨论了节流过程中状态参数的变化规律，对比了单相气体、单相液体节流的性能特性，进一步揭示了焦汤节流效应的原理，分析了不同节流背压下节流前低温工质(液氢和液氧)压力和温度对节流性能的影响，并结合TVS实际应用，阐述了节流最大制冷量的利用效果，提出了优化的TVS工作区间。研究表明：在节流过程不发生相变情况下单相气体节流制冷效应要比单相液体节流制冷效应更加显著；而在节流过程发生相变情况下液体节流至两相后，由于空化吸热导致流体温度降低，对于液氢，0.5MPa的压降可产生接近3 K的温降。对于液体节流，节流前压力对节流过程影响可忽略，〖JP2〗而节流前温度和节流背压对节流过程起主导作用；对于液氢在在轨运行工况下，考虑到节流制冷量的充分利用，同时保证换热过程体积含气率不高于90%，推荐TVS系统中节流背压范围为75～143 kPa。     

数理统计方法在部件故障控制中的应用研究

机载部件的可靠性直接影响航空器的安全运行。本文通过对机载部件使用寿命的统计和失效分析,对部件的故障提出了有效的控制方法,并举例说明了此方法在维护中的使用。     

A data-driven approach to modeling high-density terminal areas: A scenario analysis of the new Beijing,China airspace

Airports are being developed and expanded rapidly in China to accommodate and pro-mote a growing aviation market. The future Beijing Daxing International Airport (DAX) will serve as the central airport of the JingJinJi megaregion, knitting the Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei regions together. DAX will be a busy airport from its inception, relieving congestion and accommodating growth from Beijing Capital International Airport (PEK), currently the second busiest airport in the world in passengers moved. We aim to model terminal airspace designs and possible conflicts in the future Beijing Multi-Airport System (MAS). We investigate standard arrival procedures and mathematically model current and future arrival trajectories into PEK and DAX by collecting large quantities of publicly available track data from historical arrivals operating within the Beijing terminal airspace. We find that (1) trajectory models constructed from real data capture aberrations and deviations from standard arrival procedures, validating the need to incorporate data on histor-ical trajectories with standard procedures when evaluating the airspace and (2) given all existing constraints, DAX may be restricted to using north and east arrival flows, constraining the capacity required to handle the increases in air traffic demand to Beijing. The results indicate that the termi-nal airspace above Beijing, and the future JingJinJi region, requires careful consideration if the full capacity benefits of the two major airports are to be realized.     

基于人工神经网络的停机坪安全预警研究

停机坪是机场的重要组成部分,停机坪安全是机场安全关注的重点。影响停机坪安全作业的要素有很多,通过对这些要素进行监控和预警,可以减少停机坪的安全隐患,保证机场正常运行。根据济南遥墙机场的主要数据,运用因子分析法对影响停机坪安全的主要因素进行分类,提取公共因子。并运用人工神经网络（ANN）方法,对这些公共因子进行神经网络训练和预测分析,最终得到遥墙机场停机坪的安全情况。     

技术注释标准化管理研究

主要对技术注释标注的标准化、规范化进行探讨,提出利用数据库技术对技术注释进行标准化管理,并给出了实际可行的建库思路,指导了技术注释数据库系统的整个建设过程.