基于核主成分分析的空域复杂度无监督评估

空域复杂度评估作为衡量空域运行态势、管制员工作压力的关键手段,是运行调控的基础。由于影响因素众多,不同因素间耦合关联复杂,且标定样本很难获取,空域复杂度的准确评估被公认为航空领域的一个挑战性问题。提出了一种空域复杂度的无监督评估方法。首先通过核主成分分析挖掘原始样本各维度的非线性耦合关系,准确提取能够最大化复杂度评估信息量的主成分,进一步设计了可按需定制的主成分聚类方法,实现了无监督条件下空域复杂度的准确评估,为空域划分、流量管理提供了有效的技术支撑。     

先进战斗机过失速机动大气数据融合估计方法

可控的过失速机动是先进战斗机超机动性能的重要标志,飞机飞行包线的扩大已超出传统的大气数据系统测量范围,可靠的迎角、侧滑角、总压、静压等飞行大气数据是制约先进战斗机过失速机动中飞行控制的关键因素。以中国推力矢量验证机为对象,基于过失速机动飞行试验的数据,开展大气参数估计与验证研究。结合过失速机动的时间与空间特性,研究了基于风速、地速、空速矢量和惯性姿态、导航参数的大气参数融合计算方法;针对过失速大迎角状态下飞机周围气流非定常、模型非线性导致的融合大气参数误差的复杂特性,进一步构建深度神经网络,对机动状态融合迎角、侧滑角的强非线性误差进行拟合。仿真和飞行试验表明：该方法可在大迎角飞行状态下实现主要大气参数的融合估计,过失速机动过程中融合迎角误差优于2.3°,融合得到的大气参数可为过失速大迎角机动飞行控制提供可靠的大气参数状态反馈。     

多轴疲劳寿命分析方法在飞机结构上的应用

针对飞机结构上常见的处于多轴应力应变(比例多轴)状态下的典型结构,采用3种多轴疲劳寿命分析模型,对该结构的疲劳危险部位进行疲劳寿命分析,并与单轴寿命分析方法的分析结果、疲劳试验结果进行了对比分析。首先对该结构进行细节有限元计算,确定结构的应力分布与应力水平,当载荷施加到88%的最大一级的峰值载荷时,疲劳危险部位的孔边即出现显著的塑性应变,因此,选用低周疲劳(LCF)寿命预测模型进行分析。选取的3种分析模型均是基于临界面的分析模型,分别是Wang-Shang模型、Smith-Watson-Topper(SWT)模型以及Morrow-Brown-Miller模型。为验证分析模型工程适用性,开展了该结构的多轴疲劳试验。与试验结果相比,3种分析模型的预测结果均偏大,其中Wang-Shang模型的预测结果最接近试验值,适用于本文这类结构;SWT模型和Morrow-Brown-Miller模型的预测结果误差相对较大。对于处于多轴载荷状态下的结构,应按照多轴疲劳寿命分析方法进行寿命预测,单轴疲劳寿命分析方法将给出过于危险的评定结果。      

基于预测碰撞点的剩余飞行时间估计方法

分别针对顺轨与逆轨拦截飞行轨迹的特点,设计了相应的剩余飞行时间（TGO）估计方法。该方法通过对弹目碰撞点的预测,降低了发射条件差异对TGO估计精度的影响。首先对线性比例导引运动方程进行变形,得到拦截弹飞行轨迹关于弹目距离的一阶微分方程,基于预测碰撞点,对不同初始发射角造成的积分结果误差进行修正,得出了2种拦截模式下的TGO解析表达式。通过与3种现有估计方法对比分析,验证了提出方法的实时性和估计精度,且能够优化制导性能。      

再生型木塑复合材料的研究

为了充分利用城市固体废弃物中的各项资源,本项工作将固体废弃物中的高密度聚乙烯(H igh dens itypo lyethy lene,HDPE)回收后与废弃的木纤维进行复合,成功地制备出再生型木塑复合材料。研究了木纤维长度、含量以及相容剂对木塑复合材料热性能和力学性能的影响。通过扫描电子显微镜观察了复合材料的冲击断口形貌,分析了此类复合材料的断裂机制。结果表明:木纤维的加入使HDPE的结晶温度降低,结晶速度减慢;相容剂的加入大大改善了木纤维与基体树脂之间的界面结合。随着木纤维含量的增加,木塑复合材料的弯曲强度升高,冲击强度下降。     

几何分布参数的区间估计和统计贴近性研究

给出了几何分布产品全样本场合下参数的近似区间估计,通过Monte-Carlo模拟考察了区间估计的精度,并与Bootstrap置信限作了比较,最后研究了几何分布和离散寿命分布类的统计贴近性。     

A global survey of COSMIC ionospheric peak electron density and its height: A comparison with ground-based ionosonde measurements

With a network of ground-based ionosondes distributed around the world, the ionospheric peak electron density and its height measured by FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC satellites in terms of GPS radio occultation technique are extensively examined in this article. It is found that, in spite of the latitude, the mean values of the peak electron density measured by COSMIC satellites are systematically smaller than those observed by ground-based ionosondes. The discrepancy between them is dependent on the latitude, namely, it is small in low and mid-latitudes and large in high-latitude region. Moreover, statistical analysis shows that the slopes of the regression line that is best fitted to the scatter diagram of occultation-retrieved peak electron density (ordinate axis) versus ionosonde-observed peak density (abscissa axis) are universally less than one. This feature is believed to be the result of path average effect of non-uniform distribution of the electron density along the GSP ray during the occultation. A comparison between COSMIC-measured peak height and ionosonde-derived peak height hmF2 indicates that the former is systematically higher than the latter. The difference in the two can be as large as 20% or more in equatorial and low-latitude regions. This result implies that the peak height hmF2 derived from the virtual height through true height analysis based on Titheridge method seems to underestimate the true peak height. The correlation between COSMIC and ionosonde peak electron densities is analyzed and the result reveals that correlation coefficient seems to be dependent on the fluctuation of the occultation-retrieved electron density profile. The correlation will be higher (lower) for the electron density profiles with smaller (larger) fluctuations. This feature suggests that the inhomogeneous distribution of the electron density along the GPS ray path during the occultation plays an important role affecting the correlation between COSMIC and ionosonde measurements.     

Study of maximum electron density NmF2 at Karachi and Islamabad during solar minimum (1996) and solar maximum (2000) and its comparison with IRI

The monthly hourly medians of maximum electron density, N_mF₂, at two Pakistani ionospheric stations, Karachi and Islamabad, have been determined for solar minimum (1996) and solar maximum (2000) and compared with IRI predictions using the URSI coefficients. At night and pre-noon period the N_mF₂ values at both stations are almost equal during the 2 years. However, at post-noon the values at Karachi are considerably larger than those at Islamabad due to the equatorial or geomagnetic anomaly. Karachi (geomag. coord. 16.44°N, 139.08°E) lies near the region of the equatorial anomaly (+20 and −20 geomagnetic latitude), so most of the N_mF₂ values at Karachi are larger than those at Islamabad (geomag. coord. 24.46°N, 145.67°E). The maximum monthly values of N_mF₂ show a semi-annual variation at Karachi and Islamabad both during 1996 and 2000 as predicted by IRI.     

矩形截面管道气流中横向运动颗粒的碰壁条件

分析了矩形截面管道气流中横向运动颗粒的运动轨迹及碰壁条件,研究表明颗粒飞出的临界速度随着颗粒直径的增大而减小,当颗粒直径较小时受来流密度、马赫数影响较大,总趋势是来流密度、马赫数越大,颗粒越不容易与上壁面碰撞。但随着颗粒直径的增大,来流条件对颗粒是否碰壁的影响逐渐减弱,决定因素是颗粒直径的大小和颗粒的喷射速度。     

基于划分检测模型的终端区异常轨迹检测方法

针对异常轨迹对轨迹聚类效果的影响以及给进离场程序管制适用性的量化分析提供分析数据的考虑,在结合数据挖掘中异常检测理论的基础上,利用划分检测框架及将距离和密度结合起来,设计了一种有效检测算法,运用到终端区飞行轨迹的异常检测当中,检测出飞行轨迹中的异常轨迹,从而改善轨迹的聚类效果。实例仿真结果表明：方法可以准确地检测出异常轨迹。