一种复杂系统的预测方法

提出了一种适用于复杂系统的预测方法——多因素关联预测,并以战斗机机体费用预测作为算例。     

浅析检查方法的选择对维修成本的影响

维修工作贯穿于飞机的整个生命周期,产生高额的维修成本,如何降低维修成本是航空公司面临的一个重要课题。本文从检查方法和损伤容限概念的角度出发,详细阐述了在保证飞机安全的前提下,如何降低飞机维修成本。     

The Hidden Costs of Reliability and Failure in Launch Systems

In comparing the costs of different launch vehicles, the possibility of the risk of failure is assumed to be accounted for by the cost of insurance. The satellite may be insured against loss during launch, and the launch services provider may offer a free relaunch. However, actual costs of reliability and failure extend beyond this. Each failure necessitates an investigation and a get well programme by the operating agency, while putting the operations team on hold until services can resume. A commercial operator may also lose customer revenue and actual customers through loss of confidence or unavailability. Such costs tend to be hidden, and not evaluated in assessing the effectiveness of a system, but count towards total costs. Failure investigations help to improve system reliability, but this could equally have been achieved by expenditure in development and qualification. Reusable launch vehicles will have different costs associated with reliability and failure. The relationship between reliability and cost, properly assessed, ought to influence the design of both expendable and reusable launch systems.     

Z1Cr18Ni9Ti不锈钢法兰的铸造工艺研究

本文介绍了一种Z1Cr18Ni9Ti零件的制造方法，即用铸造方法。这种方法可以节省材料，提高效率，降低成本，并在此基础上探讨了有效的熔炼和铸造工艺。     

Cost Engineering – The new paradigm for space launch vehicle design

The paper describes the basic definition and application of 'Cost Engineering' which means to design a vehicle system for minimum development cost and/or for minimum operations cost. This is important now and for the future since space transportation has become primarily a commercial business in contrast to the past where it has been mainly a subject of military power and national prestige. Several examples are presented for minimum-cost space launch vehicle configurations, such as increasing vehicle size and/or the use of less efficient rocket engines in order to reduce development and operations cost. Further a cost comparison is presented on single-stage (SSTO)-vehicles vs. two-stage launchers which shows that SSTOs have lower development and operations cost although they are larger, respectively have a higher lift-off mass than two-stage vehicles with the same performance. The design of a space tourism-dedicated launch vehicle is an extreme challenge for a cost-engineered vehicle design in order to achieve cost per seat not higher than $50,000. Finally an outlook is presented on the different options for manned Earth-to-Moon transportation modes and vehicles – another most important application of 'cost engineering', taking into account the large cost of such a future venture.     

伴飞诱饵支援条件下无人飞行器协同作战效能研究

针对复杂的威胁环境，介绍了伴飞诱饵在体系作战条件下的应用情况；基于排队论的突防概率模型，研究了伴飞诱饵支援条件下，无人飞行器的协同突防概率和效费比：提出了作战体系作战时效性的概念；建立了火力对抗条件下无人飞行器打击防空导弹防御体系的Lanchester方程，利用所建模型分析了伴飞诱饵对作战时效性的贡献。研究表明，排队论和Lanchester方程用于伴飞诱饵条件下的无人飞行器协同作战效能研究是有效的。     

浅谈环境会计核算方法

生态环境的恶化使环境保护问题日益受到关注,各国不断加强对环境会计核算体系的研究,并取得一定的成果。但是,在我国有关环境会计核算的理论和实务研究尚处于起步阶段。本文从环境会计的内涵着手,对企业环境会计事项包含的内容,以及大循环成本理论下的账户设置进行了较为深入的探讨和研究。以期能对我国相关会计准则的建设、提高环境会计信息的可比性有所助益。     

注装梯恩梯(TNT)装药冲击Hugoniot参数的实验测定

本文利用一级轻气炮实验技术，对注装梯恩梯药进行了高应变率下的动态冲击实验，对实验方法进行了改进，设计了一种新型的轻气炮延伸炮管。根据实验数据结果，得到了注装ＴＮＴ装药的冲击Ｈｕｇｏｎｉｏｔ参数。     

航空公司航线重组探讨

三大航空集团成立后，合理地调整航线成为企业再生产的基础。航线资源的重组要符合航空公司经营策略，即低成本策略、差异策略还是集中一点策略。在分析经营战略特点的基础上．研究了航线重组的策略。每种策略都要本着提高航线网络的质量和航班效率的原则。     

替代部件在波音737飞机定检维修中的应用

民航客机在定检维修期间,常常会出现维修所需航材短缺的情况,本文结合维修工作的实际经验,分析和总结了波音737飞机部件替代件的查询方法和使用方法。