门限自回归模型参数的局部正交设计寻优法

在采用点值图确定门限区间个数的基础上，对门自回归模型中门限值、滞后步长、各门限区间模型阶数，利用正交设计方法寻优，计算工作量锐减，却可得到精度较高的预报模型。     

基于Pro/E软件的卫星三维建模方法的探讨

主要对基于Pro/E软件的卫星三维建模和高效率、高可靠性、低成本的总装设计方法等进行了初步的研究和探讨。     

Ionospheric behavior of the F2 peak parameters foF2 and hmF2 at Hainan and comparisons with IRI model predictions

Monthly median values of foF2, hmF2 and M(3000)F2 parameters, with hourly time interval resolution for the diurnal variation, obtained with DPS-4 digisonde observations at Hainan (19.4°N, 109.0°E) are used to study the low latitude ionospheric variation behavior. The observational results are compared with the International Reference Ionospheric Model (IRI) predictions. The time period coverage of the data used for the present study is from March 2002 to February 2005. Our present study showed that: (1) In general, IRI predictions using CCIR and URSI coefficients follow well the diurnal and seasonal variation patterns of the experimental values of foF2. However, CCIR foF2 and URSI foF2 IRI predictions systematically underestimate the observed results during most time period of the day, with the percentage difference ΔfoF2 (%) values changing between about −5% and −25%, whereas for a few hours around pre-sunrise, the IRI predictions generally overestimate the observational ones with ΔfoF2 (%) sometimes reaching as large as ∼30%. The agreement between the IRI results and the observational ones is better for the year 2002 than for the other years. The best agreement between the IRI results and the observational ones is obtained in summer when using URSI coefficients, with the seasonal average values of ΔfoF2 (%) being within the limits of ±10%. (2) In general, the IRI predicted hmF2 values using CCIR M(3000)F2 option shows a poor agreement with the observational results. However, when using the measured M(3000)F2 as input, the diurnal variation pattern of hmF2 given by IRI2001 has a much better agreement with the observational one with the detailed fine structures including the pre-sunrise and post-sunset peaks reproduced reasonably well. The agreement between the IRI predicted hmF2 values using CCIR M(30,000)F2 option and the observational ones is worst for the afternoon to post-midnight hours for the high solar activity year 2002. During daytime hours the agreement between the hmF2 values obtained with CCIR M(30,000)F2 option and the observational ones is best for summer season. The discrepancy between the observational hmF2 and that obtained with CCIR M(30,000)F2 option stem from the CCIR M(3000)F2 model, which does not produce the small scale structures observed in the measured M(3000)F2.     

Digital Aircraft Sheet Metal Part Manufacturing System and Its Key Technology

The architecture of digital sheet metal manufacturing system is proposed based on the classification of sheet metal manufacturing information.The essence of digital manufacturing is the definition,management and transfer of information,and the key technologies are brought forward and described.It is pointed out that knowledge-based manufacturing elements design is necessary to make digital technology efficient.The management of all kinds of sheet metal manufacturing element information is to build single source of manufacturing data.Multi-state model-based digital transfer and coordination method is designed to provide a foundation for digital manufacturing of aircraft sheet metal part.The application of digital sheet metal manufacturing is exemplified with an aircraft sheet metal part.The application result is compared to that of the traditional analog transfer technology.It is shown that the developed technology can improve part quality,shorten manufacturing time and lower manufacturing cost.     

掠海飞行导弹击水概率的仿真研究

本文对掠海导弹的击水概率问题进行了研究,提出了用均匀设计、Monte—Carlo法和逐步回归法建立击水概率预报公式的仿真方法,并结合某型号的反舰导弹进行计算,得到了满意的结果。本文还利用表观频率和表观频谱的概念,建立起飞航导弹的背景干扰——海浪和阵风的数学模型,并用波叠加法进行了数字仿真。     

型号设计中的安全性设计分析

通过对“长征三号”运载火箭的一些安全性设计实例帕的分析来建立安全性设计的概念，论述安全性设计在型号设计中的重要作用和地位。分析认为，安全性设计应以总体、系统设计师为主，并从设计初期抓起。     

一种双管双变压器结构的正-反激组合变换器的分析

提出了一种双管双变压器结构的正反激组合变换器。该变换器电路结构简单,控制方便。该双变压器结构减少了单个变压器的原边匝数,从而降低了原边的铜耗,同时也使得低造型设计成为可能。文中着重对两变压器匝比相等和不等两种情况进行了分析比较。在匝比不等情况下,正反激变压器功率分配可灵活设计。最后试验结果验证了理论分析。     

"空军航空修理物资管理信息系统"的设计与实现

本文首先分析了空军航空修理企业的管理特点，然后详细论述了空军航空修理物资管理信息系统的设计原则、网络方案、总体结构及软件设计方法。     

大型内螺纹的数控铣削加工

介绍大型精密内螺纹旋风铣削加工的工艺方法和编程,主要针对螺纹直径为非标准、工件材质过硬且孔数较多的大型精密内螺纹的加工。实践表明,该方法加工效率高,且可严格控制螺纹的精度。     

劳（Lao）喷管扩张段优化设计的数值方法研究

本文建立了火箭发动机喷管扩张段优化设计（Lao喷管）的型面曲线近似作图法的数学模型，将作图法转化为等价的优化问题，并给出了优化问题解的迭代方法，最后采用泛函网络的方法对离散的数值解进行了曲线拟合，以便于数控加工的编程。