Particle flters for probability hypothesis density flter with the presence of unknown measurement noise covariance

In Bayesian multi-target fltering,knowledge of measurement noise variance is very important.Signifcant mismatches in noise parameters will result in biased estimates.In this paper,a new particle flter for a probability hypothesis density（PHD）flter handling unknown measurement noise variances is proposed.The approach is based on marginalizing the unknown parameters out of the posterior distribution by using variational Bayesian（VB）methods.Moreover,the sequential Monte Carlo method is used to approximate the posterior intensity considering non-linear and non-Gaussian conditions.Unlike other particle flters for this challenging class of PHD flters,the proposed method can adaptively learn the unknown and time-varying noise variances while fltering.Simulation results show that the proposed method improves estimation accuracy in terms of both the number of targets and their states.     

Ionospheric electron density over Resolute Bay according to E-CHAIM model and RISR radar measurements

In this study, predictions of the E-CHAIM ionospheric model are compared with measurements by the incoherent scatter radars RISR at Resolute Bay, Canada, in the northern polar cap. Reasonable coverage was available for all seasons except winter for which no conclusions were drawn. It is shown that ratios of the model-to measured electron densities are close to unity in the central part of the F layer, around its peak. This is particularly evident for summer daytime. Distributions of the ratios are wider for other seasons indicating larger number of cases when the model underestimates or overestimates. E-CHAIM underestimates the electron density at ionospheric topside and bottomside by ～ 10–20 %. At the bottomside, the underestimations are strongest in summer and equinoctial nighttime. At the topside, the underestimations are strongest in autumn nighttime. Model overestimations are noticeable in the middle part of the F layer during dawn hours in autumn. Overall, the model tends to not predict highest-observed peak electron densities and the largest-observed heights of the peak.     

飞行器设计偏差量建模方法研究

对设计变量的偏差量进行建模,拟合偏差量服从的概率密度函数,是分析评价飞行器性能和概率设计的重要基础.针对常用分布拟合能力有限,以及混合Gamma分布无法在整个数轴上对试验数据进行拟合的问题,在论证混合Gauss分布拟合任意概率密度函数合理性的基础上,提出了利用混合Gauss分布对试验数据进行拟合,并运用期望极大化算法(...     

CBOC调制信号及其新型相关函数研究

介绍了复用二进制偏置载波（MBOC）信号的功率谱特性特点,用仿真方法讨论了复合二进制偏置载波（CBOC）信号时域表示及其功率谱密度、自相关函数和伪码跟踪性能,证明了CBOC信号的优越性。针对CBOC信号自相关函数多峰性,给出了一种CBOC信号新型相关函数的产生方法。     

复合材料帽形加筋结构稳定性研究

建立了复合材料帽形加筋结构的参数化有限元模型,给出了两种进行层板结合处的模拟计算方法,通过计算得到了模型的屈曲载荷并总结了加筋结构几何参数对结构稳定性的影响,给出了模型的收敛性分析,对比了模型网格密度对于计算结果的影响,找到最佳的网格密度,提高了模型计算的效率和准确性,为实际的结构设计提供了重要参考,为结构分析提供了依据。     

DEMETER卫星探测到的强震前O^＋浓度变化

利用DEMETER卫星观测数据,采用level-2图像目视解译的方法和重访轨道对比方法,对2006年5月3日发生在汤加群岛的7．9级地震进行分析．从震前6天、震前2天、震前1天和震后2天的level-2图像可看到,电场和等离子体参量在震中上空偏北的位置出现扰动信号,震前的扰动信号幅度随地震时间临近有所增强,扰动持续时间也相应增加;震后2天扰动信号依然存在,其幅度并未减弱．通过对比震前1天的轨道在2006年至2008年内的重访轨道,发现O^＋浓度存在三类较规律的变化特征,即在夏季时,北半球的值高于南半球;冬季时则相反;二分季节时,南北半球含量相当．本文给出了地震和磁暴对O^＋浓度的不同影响,地震影响最靠近震中位置轨道上的O^＋浓度,而磁暴影响全球轨道上O^＋浓度分布．同时获取了DEMETER卫星上朗缪尔探针在上述重访轨道同步探测的电子浓度数据,发现电子浓度与O^＋浓度存在同步增加．等离子体浓度增加的现象可能与地震产生异常电场进而影响电离层结构有关．     

Characteristics of field line resonance type geomagnetic pulsations and variations of plasmaspheric plasma density distribution

The period of field line resonance (FLR) type geomagnetic pulsations depends on the length of the field line and on the plasma density in the inner magnetosphere (plasmasphere), where field lines are closed. Here as FLR period, the period belonging to the maximum occurrence frequency of the occurrence frequency spectrum (equivalent resonance curve) of pulsations has been considered. The resonance system may be replaced by an equivalent resonant circuit. The plasma density would correspond to the ohmic load. The plasma in the plasmasphere originates from the ionosphere, thus FLR period, occurrence frequency are also affected by the maximum electron density in the ionosphere. The FLR period has shown an enhancement with increasing F region electron density, while the occurrence frequency indicated diminishing trend (possible damping effect). Thus, the increased plasma density may be the cause of the decreased occurrence of FLR type pulsations in the winter months of solar activity maximum years (winter anomaly).     

Pre-storm behaviour of NmF2 and TEC (GPS) over equatorial and low latitude stations in the Indian sector

The pre-storm behavior of NmF₂ and TEC over an equatorial station, Trivandrum (8.47°N, 76.91°E, dip 0.6°S) and a low latitude station, Waltair (17.7°N,83.3°E, dip 20°N) has been studied for a total of 18 strong geomagnetic storms with DST ? −100 nT. The simultaneous measurements of GPS-TEC and NmF₂ over Trivandrum and Waltair during the period 2000–2005 have been considered for the present study. It is found that there is a substantial increase in NmF₂ and TEC before the onset of the storm over Waltair, while the increase is not present at Trivandrum. The origin of pre-storm enhancements in electron density still remains unresolved owing to several conditions in their potential sources and occurrence mechanisms. In the present study an attempt is made to identify the possible mechanisms responsible for such enhancements in electron density of the F-region.     

固液捆绑火箭脉动压力风洞试验与飞行试验对比研究

固液捆绑火箭通常气动外形复杂,跨声速飞行动压大,因此脉动压力抖振载荷严酷。针对某型固液捆绑火箭,为了获取较为准确的跨声速脉动压力特性,在研制阶段开展了脉动压力风洞试验,火箭飞行时也进行了脉动压力测量,以评估飞行状态抖振载荷。采用脉动压力风洞试验和飞行试验进行对比,结果显示,飞行试验各测点脉动压力系数随马赫数变化趋势与风洞试验值一致,峰值大小基本相同,合成功率谱密度函数遥测峰值与设计值相当。研究结果首次验证了固液捆绑火箭跨声速脉动压力设计方法的有效性。     

基于当量概率密度函数的模糊可靠性分析方法

实际工程中,结构系统的属性以及所受外载荷常常具有随机性和模糊性的特点。对于功能函数中含有模糊分布参数(FDP)的随机变量问题,如何准确且简便地评估其可靠性,是十分重要的。依据随机性和模糊性的基本概念,提出了当量概率密度函数的模糊可靠性分析方法。以FDP的隶属函数为基础,构造FDP的先验分布,应用Bayes理论,得到含有FDP随机变量的当量概率密度函数,并推导出具有常用隶属函数的FDP随机变量的数学期望和方差。这样就把含有FDP的随机变量处理成常规随机变量,进而可以应用传统的可靠性方法来分析结构的可靠性。本文所提方法解决了功能函数中含有多个FDP的随机变量时,模糊概率计算困难的问题。最后通过算例,与常用的模糊概率的可靠性分析方法进行比较,来验证本文算法的有效性。