旅游者出游激励理论探讨

从期望理论的视角审视旅游者的决策过程,主要借鉴维克托.弗鲁姆(Victor H. Vroom)期望理论的相关原理,初步搭建了旅游者出游激励理论的基本框架,解决了旅游者决策依据问题。通过旅游感知效价、旅游感知成本等全新概念的引入和一系列调查问卷的设计,最终得出了出游激励力的完整表达式并有以下阶段性结论:(1)信息准备是旅游感知效价、旅游期望值2、旅游感知成本的直接来源;(2)旅游感知效价、旅游期望值2、旅游感知成本对旅游者做出决策至关重要;(3)出游激励力是旅游者最终做出决策的惟一依据。     

A fast pulse phase estimation method for X-ray pulsar signals based on epoch folding

X-ray pulsar-based navigation (XPNAV) is an attractive method for autonomous deep-space navigation in the future. The pulse phase estimation is a key task in XPNAV and its accuracy directly determines the navigation accuracy. State-of-the-art pulse phase estimation techniques either suffer from poor estimation accuracy, or involve the maximization of generally non-convex object function, thus resulting in a large computational cost. In this paper, a fast pulse phase estimation method based on epoch folding is presented. The statistical properties of the observed profile obtained through epoch folding are developed. Based on this, we recognize the joint prob-ability distribution of the observed profile as the likelihood function and utilize a fast Fourier transform-based procedure to estimate the pulse phase. Computational complexity of the proposed estimator is analyzed as well. Experimental results show that the proposed estimator significantly outperforms the currently used cross-correlation (CC) and nonlinear least squares (NLS) estima-tors, while significantly reduces the computational complexity compared with NLS and maximum likelihood (ML) estimators.     

Modeling visuospatial reasoning

I apply my proposed modification of Soar/Spatial/Visual System and Kosslyn’s (1983) computational operations on images to problems within a 2 × 2 taxonomy that classifies research according to whether the coding involves static or dynamic relations within an object or between objects (Newcombe & Shipley, 2015). I then repeat this analysis for problems that are included in mathematics and science curricula. Because many of these problems involve reasoning from diagrams Hegarty’s (2011) framework for reasoning from visual-spatial displays provides additional support for organizing this topic. Two more relevant frameworks specify reasoning at different levels of abstraction (Reed, 2016) and with different combinations of actions and objects (Reed, 2018). The article concludes with suggestions for future directions.     

浅谈水洗发动机对大修成本的影响

通过对深圳航空公司CFM56-7B发动机水洗方法改进前后的发动机进厂大修数据进行比较,主要分析HPT导向器报废率的变化,说明改进的发动机水洗方式对于延长发动机在翼时间、降低HPT导向器报废率、节约大修成本起到良好促进作用。     

机务维修成本分析及管理思路

从国内航空公司的特点出发,聚焦于机队运营过程中维修工程系统的成本分析,探讨了可行的管理方式,为航空公司优化管理、降低成本提供一定的理论参考基础。     

基于卫星和星敏感器的冗余激光惯组在轨标定

采用高精度卫星导航速度、位置信息以及星敏感器提供的姿态信息设计十表冗余捷联惯组的标定模型,包含陀螺和加速度计的零次项和标度因数,对卫星和星敏感器辅助的冗余激光陀螺捷联惯组进行实时在轨标定.利用标准Kalman滤波和Sage-Husa自适应滤波作为估计算法,对十表冗余捷联惯组参数进行在线估计.数值仿真结果表明:参数标定精度均在7％以内,是一种实时的在轨标定方法,满足误差补偿要求.冗余惯组在轨标定方法为航天器高精度定姿和定轨提供了一种理论参考.     

基于雷达航迹的航空器质量估算

为保障基于轨迹运行的顺利实施,必须提高四维航迹预测的精度,而四维航迹的精准预测依赖于航空器质量准确估算。鉴于此,构建并分析了航空器能量模型;基于雷达航迹与航空器基础资料( BADA),提出了新型的航空器质量估算方法与步骤;利用最小二乘算法求解了航空器质量的估计值;分别基于预测航迹、雷达轨迹与QAR数据,采用相对误差作为评价指标,实施验证与分析。验证结果表明,提出的方法可将航空器质量估算误差控制在5%以内,从而能够有效地提高航迹预测精度。     

基于SP-ABC算法的数控铣削参数优化

针对铣削加工中成本最低的优化问题,采用一种改进的人工蜂群(SP-ABC)算法对铣削参数进行优化.在基本ABC算法的基础上,嵌入粒子群(PSO)算法,以提高算法的局部寻优能力.此外,不同于传统的单工序优化,建立的优化目标模型,在考虑实际生产过程中的各种约束条件下,可同时对粗、精两个阶段多道工序同步进行优化.计算机仿真结果表明,相较其他的基本算法,该算法能够找到更优的铣削参数组合,从而实现铣削加工过程的成本最低化.     

Simultaneous state and actuator fault estimation for satellite attitude control systems

In this paper, a new nonlinear augmented observer is proposed and applied to satellite attitude control systems. The observer can estimate system state and actuator fault simultaneously. It can enhance the performances of rapidly-varying faults estimation. Only original system matrices are adopted in the parameter design. The considered faults can be unbounded, and the proposed augmented observer can estimate a large class of faults. Systems without disturbances and the fault whose finite times derivatives are zero piecewise are initially considered, followed by a discussion of a general situation where the system is subject to disturbances and the finite times derivatives of the faults are not null but bounded. For the considered nonlinear system, convergence conditions of the observer are provided and the stability analysis is performed using Lyapunov direct method. Then a feasible algorithm is explored to compute the observer parameters using linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed approach is illustrated by considering an example of a closed-loop satellite attitude control system. The simulation results show satisfactory perfor-mance in estimating states and actuator faults. It also shows that multiple faults can be estimated successfully.     

基于OpenFOAM的真实流体模型库及均相求解器开发

为了正确认识高压环境下的流体非理想性特征,及其对于低温射流喷雾过程的影响作用,将多种不同真实流体模型写入到开源CFD程序OpenFOAM仿真平台中,编译形成具有广泛通用性的真实流体热物理模型库;并将高压下真实流体特征的影响引入到压力修正算法中;开发出适用于描述超临界环境下低温流体流动过程的均相求解器。对高压下流体热物理性质的非理想性,以及超临界环境下的低温液氮射流喷注过程进行研究。结果表明:高压下的真实流体效应主要体现在低温区域,本文所建立的模型库可以在任意热力学状态范围内正确预测流体热物性;基于此模型库所开发的均相求解器可正确预测超临界环境下低温射流的详细流动特征和结构,而理想气体模型则会大幅低估射流核心区密度分布,中心线上误差高达68.9%;综合考虑计算精度和效率,PR EoS及相关模型更适合于这类超临界流动问题的求解;低温射流跨临界喷注中局部区域所发生的虚假沸腾现象会导致射流温升速率降低、体积膨胀速率加快;射流核心区压缩因子明显1,在数值仿真时必须考虑高压环境下的真实流体效应。