GRACE products and land surface models for estimating the changes in key water storage components in the Nile River Basin

The Nile River Basin (NRB) is facing extreme demand for its water resources due to an alarming increase in population and the changing climate. The NRB is not compatible with ground-based in-situ observations owing to its large basin area size and limited hydrological data access from basin countries. Thus, it lends itself to remotely sensed approaches with high spatial resolution and extended temporal coverage. The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) avails a unique opportunity to investigate the changes in key components of terrestrial water storage (TWS). GRACE TWS solutions have specific tuning parameters and processing strategies that result in regionally specific variations and error patterns. We explored the TWS time series spatiotemporal changes, trends, uncertainties, and signal-to-noise ratio among different GRACE TWS data. We had also investigated the key terrestrial water storage components such as surface water, soil moisture, and groundwater storage changes. The results show that GRACE spherical harmonic solutions' uncertainty is higher than the mass concentration (mascon) over the NRB, and the Center for Space Research-mascons had the best performance. The evapotranspiration correlation (R² = 0.85) has the highest correlation with GRACE’s TWS, whereas the normalized difference vegetation index (R² = 0.82) has the second highest correlation. Notably, significant long-term (2003–2017) negative groundwater and soil moisture trends demonstrate a potential depletion of the NRB. Despite an increase in precipitation and the TWS time series, the rate of decline increased rapidly after 2008, thereby indicating the possibility of human-induced change (e.g. for irrigation purposes). Therefore, the results of this study provide a guide for future studies related to hydro-climatic change over the NRB and similar basins.     

Remarks on “A new non-specificity measure in evidence theory based on belief intervals”

Two types of uncertainty co-exist in the theory of evidence: discord and non-specificity. From 90s, many mathematical expressions have arisen to quantify these two parts in an evidence. An important aspect of each measure presented is the verification of a coherent set of properties. About non-specificity, so far only one measure verifies an important set of those properties. Very recently, a new measure of non-specificity based on belief intervals has been presented as an alternative measure that quantifies a similar set of properties (Yang et al., 2016). It is shown that the new measure really does not verify two of those important properties. Some errors have been found in their corresponding proofs in the original publication.     

Uncertain multiobjective redundancy allocation problem of repairable systems based on artificial bee colony algorithm

Based on the uncertainty theory, this paper is devoted to the redundancy allocation problem in repairable parallel-series systems with uncertain factors, where the failure rate, repair rate and other relative coefficients involved are considered as uncertain variables. The availability of the system and the corresponding designing cost are considered as two optimization objectives. A crisp multiobjective optimization formulation is presented on the basis of uncertainty theory to solve this resultant problem. For solving this problem efficiently, a new multiobjective artificial bee colony algorithm is proposed to search the Pareto efficient set, which introduces rank value and crowding distance in the greedy selection strategy, applies fast non-dominated sort procedure in the exploitation search and inserts tournament selection in the onlooker bee phase. It shows that the proposed algorithm outperforms NSGA-II greatly and can solve multiobjective redundancy allocation problem efficiently. Finally, a numerical example is provided to illustrate this approach.     

检定模拟示波器测量不确定度评定

对模拟示波器的主要性能参数（垂直偏转系数、扫描时间系数、脉冲瞬态响应）的不确定度评定做了详细介绍。     

用数字电压表检定标准电池的测量不确定度评定

介绍了用数字电压表检定高等级标准电池的操作方法，并对其测量不确定度进行了分析与评定。     

基于马尔可夫蒙特卡洛法的系统辨识方法研究及应用

提出了基于马尔可夫蒙特卡洛(MCMC)的贝叶斯辨识方法,以解决高超声速飞行器系统辨识中复杂动力学模型转换为简单或稀疏模型所带来的不确定性问题,以及存在的训练数据大和积分难处理的问题。该方法将数据退火算法引入MCMC中,不仅解决了MCMC易陷入局部最优的问题,并且将数据退火与“高信息训练数据”的概念相结合,能够以较低的计算成本分析大数据集。此外,该方法可以对参数估计过程中存在的不确定性进行量化,获得未知参数的最优估计值。通过仿真实验,验证了提出的系统辨识方法的有效性,辨识出的模型能够有效应用于控制器设计之中,并获得较好的控制效果。     

H1 output tracking control for flight control systems with time-varying delay

For flight control systems with time-varying delay, an H1 output tracking controller is proposed. The controller is designed for the discrete-time state-space model of general aircraft to reduce the ef...     

H∞ output tracking control for flight control systems with time-varying delay

For flight control systems with time-varying delay, an H∞ output tracking controller is proposed. The controller is designed for the discrete-time state-space model of general aircraft to reduce the effects of uncertainties of the mathematical model, external disturbances, and bounded time-varying delay. It is assumed that the feedback-control loop is closed by the communication network, and the network-based control architecture induces time-delays in the feedback information. Suppose that the time delay has both an upper bound and a lower bound. By using the Lyapu- nov-Krasovskii function and the linear matrix inequality （LMI）, the delay-dependent stability criterion is derived for the time-delay system. Based on the criterion, a state-feedback H∞ output tracking controller for systems with norm-bounded uncertainties and time-varying delay is presented. The control scheme is applied to the high incidence research model （HIRM）, which shows the effectiveness of the proposed approach.     

Research on uncertainty in measurement assisted alignment in aircraft assembly

Operations in assembling and joining large size aircraft components are changed to novel digital and flexible ways by digital measurement assisted alignment.Positions and orientations（P＆O）of aligned components are critical characters which assure geometrical positions and relationships of those components.Therefore,evaluating the P＆O of a component is considered necessary and critical for ensuring accuracy in aircraft assembly.Uncertainty of position and orientation（U-P＆O）,as a part of the evaluating result of P＆O,needs to be given for ensuring the integrity and credibility of the result;furthermore,U-P＆O is necessary for error tracing and quality evaluating of measurement assisted aircraft assembly.However,current research mainly focuses on the process integration of measurement with assembly,and usually ignores the uncertainty of measured result and its influence on quality evaluation.This paper focuses on the expression,analysis,and application of U-P＆O in measurement assisted alignment.The geometrical and algebraical connotations of U-P＆O are presented.Then,an analytical algorithm for evaluating the multi-dimensional U-P＆O is given,and the effect factors and characteristics of U-P＆O are discussed.Finally,U-P＆O is used to evaluate alignment in aircraft assembly for quality evaluating and improving.Cases are introduced with the methodology.     

带时延和拓扑切换的编队卫星鲁棒协同控制

综合考虑了存在通信时延、拓扑结构切换、参数不确定性和外部扰动等情况下的编队卫星协同控制问题,分别提出了鲁棒位置和姿态协同控制器。采用Lyapunov直接法,通过恰当地选取公共的Lyapunov函数,保证了所设计的位置协同控制器对于通信时延和拓扑切换具有鲁棒性。控制器中设计了一个自适应项,用于在线补偿卫星质量的不确定性。进一步,引入了一个含有时变参数的非线性饱和函数向量项,保证了位置协同控制器对于外部扰动的鲁棒性,并且控制器是连续的。然后,将协同控制器推广到了姿态协同的情况,提出了类似的鲁棒姿态协同控制器。仿真结果表明了本文协同控制方案的有效性。