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41.
《中国航空学报》2021,34(4):493-507
Helicopter plays an increasingly significant role in Maritime Search and Rescue (MSAR), and it will perform MSAR mission based on response plans when an accident occurs. Thus the rationality of response plan determines the success of MSAR mission to a large extent. However, with the impact of many uncertainty factors, it is difficult to evaluate response plans comprehensively before performing them. Aiming at these problems, an evaluation framework of helicopter MSAR response plan named UMAD is proposed in this paper, which reveals the influence mechanism of uncertainty factors based on Multi-Agent method and analyzes the mission flow based on Discrete Event System (DEVS) method. Furthermore, the evaluation criterion and indicators of response plan are extracted from the aspects of safety and effectiveness. Meanwhile, the Monte Carlo method is adapted to calculate the probability distribution and robustness of response plan comprehensive result. Finally, in order to illustrate the validity of this method, it is discussed and verified by an application example of evaluating multiple response plans to the same MSAR scenario. The results show that this method can analyze the influence of uncertainty more systematically and optimize response plans more comprehensively. 相似文献
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侧重分析静态回归直线误差模型及工程应用的可行性 ,通过例证比较说明统计估算法的优势。阐述环境温度引起仪表回归直线的平移和旋转 ,导出温度误差为零位温漂及灵敏度温漂相对值的代数和 ;该误差模型具有通用性 ,可推广至其它环境因素对回归直线影响的分析。介绍时漂的基本概念及经验公式。强调静态不确定度应包括回归直线误差及环境因素影响的误差。 相似文献
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以外螺纹中径测量为例,详细论述了标准不确定度和展伸不确定度的建模过程,并给出了计算实例,使外螺纹中径测量精度的评定符合国际规范。 相似文献
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Effects of optical parameter measurement uncertainties and solar irradiance fluctuations on solar sailing 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Lorenzo Niccolai Alessandro Anderlini Giovanni Mengali Alessandro A. Quarta 《Advances in Space Research (includes Cospar's Information Bulletin, Space Research Today)》2021,67(9):2784-2794
The heliocentric orbital dynamics of a spacecraft propelled by a solar sail is affected by some uncertainty sources, including possible inaccuracies in the measurement of the sail film optical properties. Moreover, the solar radiation pressure, which is responsible for the solar sail propulsive acceleration generation, is not time-constant and is subject to fluctuations that are basically unpredictable and superimposed to the well-known 11-year solar activity cycle. In this context, this work aims at investigating the effects of such uncertainties on the actual heliocentric trajectory of a solar sail by means of stochastic simulations performed with a generalized polynomial chaos procedure. The numerical results give an estimation of their impact on the actual heliocentric trajectory and identify whether some of the uncertainty sources are more relevant than others. This is a fundamental information for directing more accurate theoretical and experimental efforts toward the most important parameters, in order to obtain an accurate knowledge of the solar sail thrust vector characteristics and, eventually, of the spacecraft heliocentric position. 相似文献
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The high level of safety demand of civil aviation requests local area augmentation system (LAAS) extremely high navigation integrity performance. A new LAAS pseudo-range error overbound method is proposed in this paper to improve the integrity of LAAS. Firstly, a more practical pseudo-range error distribution model is established. Then, by calculating the relationship between the statistical uncertainty of the model parameter and the integrity risk, a new method is proposed to calculate the pseudo-range error over-bound model. This method can effectively reduce the inflation factor and the resulting conservativeness of the over-bound model. Comparative experiments show that the method proposed in this paper performs better and satisfies the requirements of real applications. 相似文献
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周期信号各参数的离散采样测量法(一) 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
描述用离散采样测量周期信号的有效值,失真度及相位等参数的简易且准确度很的测量方法,从数学上证明这些方法的正确性,并指出测量不确定度的来源。 相似文献
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