高超声速飞行器有限时间耦合模糊控制

针对高超声速飞行器的角度与角速度子系统间的耦合控制问题，提出了一种基于耦合特性评价的有限时间模糊控制方案。首先，针对高超声速飞行器的动力学模型，并且考虑到与工程实际相结合，将舵系统引入到动力学模型中，建立了相对完善的动力学模型，通过引入期望指令，建立了面向控制的动力学误差模型。其次，在控制律设计上采用终端滑模设计了有限时间控制器，同时在耦合评价的基础上，为了解决系统对耦合的适应性以及耦合的抖振问题采用了模糊控制方法，并借助于干扰观测器解决外部干扰问题。采用李雅普诺夫稳定性理论证明了所设计的控制律是有限时间稳定性的。在数字仿真过程中，充分考虑了舵系统特性、气动拉偏、控制输入抖动等因素，仿真结果表明该方法是有效的。     

空间拦截非线性控制问题的高精度计算

在空间拦截非线性控制问题数学模型的基础上，采用动力系统的一种高精度计算方法－时程精细分法，对非线性空间拦截问题进行了研究，其主要步骤为，首先将非线性控制问题线性化，使其满足精细积分算法的要求，进而根据线性化的方程，建立一套处理非线性问题的精细迭代算法，该算法不仅具有很高的计算精度，还具有很好的数值稳定一。     

线谱对(LSP)分析在G.729语音编码算法中的应用

本文介绍了线谱对(Linear Spectrum Pair,LSP)分析的基本原理及其在G.729中的应用,同时分析比较了LSP参数与常用的线性预测系数LPC的区别,仿真结果表明,LSP参数的抗干扰能力远比LPC系数的抗干扰能力强。     

PREDICTION OF MECHANICAL PROPERTY OF WHISKER REINFORCED METAL MATRIX COMPOSITE: PART-Ⅰ. MODEL AND FORMULATION

Based on study of strain distribution in whisker reinforced metal matrix composites, an explicit precise stiffness tensor is derived. In the present theory, the effect of whisker orientation on the macro property of composites is considered, but the effect of random whisker position and the complicated strain field at whisker ends are averaged. The derived formula is able to predict the stiffness modulus of composites with arbitrary whisker orientation under any loading condition. Compared with the models of micro-mechanics, the present theory is competent for modulus prediction of actual engineering composites. The verification and application of the present theory are given in a subsequent paper published in the same issue.     

Stability of liquid bridges subject to an eccentric rotation

A cylindrical liquid bridge supported between two circular-shaped disks in isorotation is considered. The effect of an offset between the rotation axis and the axis of the two supporting disks (eccentricity) on the stability of the static liquid bridge is investigated. A numerical method is used to find stable and unstable shapes and to determine the stability limit for different values of eccentricity. The calculated stability limits are compared with analytical results, recovering the same behavior. Numerical results have been also compared with the results of an experiment aboard TEXUS-23, recovering the stability limit and the equilibrium shapes.     

基于MCMC的PLP未来强度的Bayesian预测分析

在无信息先验分布下，将Gibbs抽样与Metropolis-Hastings算法相结合的方法应用于幂律过程的未来强度的Bayesian预测。该预测方法能将时间截尾数据和失效截尾数据统一分析，并给出在未来某一时刻处强度函数的MCMC样本，利用该样本可以方便地获得关于未来某一时处刻强度函数及其函数的各种后验分析。一个经典工程数值算例说明了预测方法的可行性、合理性与有效性。     

A new approach to solar cycle forecasting

We describe a novel approach for determining the timing of the solar cycle and tracking its evolution relative to other cycles. This method also has predictive capability for forecasting the cycle “onset.” Based on current trends, we expect that Cycle 23 will be about 1 year longer than the previous two cycles.     

动态神经网络的稳定性分析

应用李亚普诺夫稳定性理论推导出Ｈｏｐｆｉｅｌｄ网络绝对稳定的充分条件。对本文的结果与其它Ｈｏｐｆｉｅｌｄ网络稳定性判据的关系作出讨论。为Ｈｏｐｆｉｅｌｄ网络稳定性分析提供了新的途径。     

Out-of-plane stability analysis of collinear spinning three-craft Coulomb formations

The results of a stability analysis focusing on the out-of-plane motion of collinear three-craft Coulomb formations with set charges are discussed. Such a formation is assumed to be spinning in deep space without relevant gravitational forces present. Assuming in-plane motion only with circular relative trajectories and initial position and velocity perturbations confined to the orbital plane, the previous work analytically proves marginal stability in the linear sense and numerically shows marginal stability in the short term. In this paper, the equations of motion are presented in the cylindrical coordinate frame in order to analyze the out-of-plane motion in more detail. The out-of-plane motion is shown to decouple to first order from the marginally stable in-plane motion. A simple control law is developed and applied, which directly controls the out-of-plane motion only within specified deadbands. For a wide variety of out-of-plane perturbations, the control law succeeds in preserving the in-plane variant shape despite some out-of-plane motion. A trend between the settling time and deadband, which defines the largest out-of-plane errors allowed before the controller is turned on, is determined, which illustrates how large the deadband may be before the in-plane motion is affected.     

Using PoF models to predict system reliability considering failure collaboration

Existing Physics-of-Failure-based (PoF-based) system reliability prediction methods are grounded on the independence assumption, which overlooks the dependency among the compo-nents. In this paper, a new type of dependency, referred to as failure collaboration, is introduced and considered in reliability predictions. A PoF-based model is developed to describe the failure behavior of systems subject to failure collaboration. Based on the developed model, the Bisection-based Reliability Analysis Method (BRAM) is exploited to calculate the system reliabil-ity. The developed methods are applied to predicting the reliability of a Hydraulic Servo Actuator (HSA). The results demonstrate that the developed methods outperform the traditional PoF-based reliability prediction methods when applied to systems subject to failure collaboration.