基于局部应力法的 Bayes -神经网络舵板寿命预测

舵板是某水下航行体的关重件,为预测其使用寿命,文章建立了舵板航行体的计算域模型,通过仿真并运用局部应力应变法,计算出舵板在特定环境应力下的寿命;利用贝叶斯估计的先验知识以及神经网络,联合预测出舵板在不同的环境应力下的使用寿命。     

Alnico8磁钢的磁稳定性研究

针对自然贮存时间为1年、4年、6年的Alnico8合金进行了显微组织与磁性能演化规律的研究,分析表明贮存时间为1年、4年、6年的Alnico8合金试样X射线衍射峰位置相同,但I_((100))/I_((200))随贮存时间的延长而增加,表明强磁相的有序度增加。富FeCo相也随着贮存时间的延长,尺寸大小更加均匀,相界面更加稳定。同时,不同自然贮存时间的Alnico8合金磁不可逆损失率不同,随着贮存时间的延长,Alnico8合金的磁不可逆损失率逐渐降低,磁稳定性逐渐增加。     

基于临界平面法的镍基单晶高温合金高周疲劳寿命模型

由于目前,国外已经基于八面体滑移系,采用临界平面法对镍基单晶高温合金〈001〉取向的高周疲劳寿命进行预测.然而,该方法未考虑〈111〉取向受载时滑移系参量的特点,所以不能较准确地预测镍基单晶高温合金〈111〉取向的高周疲劳寿命.为此,选取临界平面时综合考虑六面体、八面体滑移系,选定疲劳参量最大的滑移面作为临界平面,采用SSR(shear stress range),CCB(Chu-Conle-Bonnen),Walls寿命模型进行镍基单晶高温合金高周疲劳寿命预测,并根据800℃下DD6镍基单晶高温合金〈001〉,〈011〉,〈111〉3个取向的高周疲劳试验结果,对寿命模型的预测精度进行验证.结果表明:当基于两种滑移系预测镍基单晶高温合金的高周疲劳寿命时,寿命模型的拟合系数可达到0.9134.      

Theoretical and experimental investigation on novel 2D maglev servo proportional valve

This paper presents a novel two-dimensional maglev servo proportional cartridge valve (2D maglev valve), where a contactless maglev coupling is introduced between electro-mechanical converter and valve body to realize functions of force transmission, spool position feedback and linear-rotary motion conversion. Such configuration can effectively reduce cost of both valve manufacturing and electro-mechanical converter, while still maintain features of 2D valve such as null pilot leakage, high power-to- weight ratio and excellent anti-pollution capacity. Firstly, the characteristic equation of the valve is derived using linear theory, and the stability criterion is established for parameter determination. The influences of crucial structural parameters such as initial height of overlapping area, width of high-pressure and low-pressure holes, acting radius of magnetic force, pitch angle of maglev coupling, length of sensitive chamber and system pressure on the dynamic response are investigated based on AMESim numerical simulation. The prototype valve is then designed and manufactured and a special test rig is built. The no-load flow characteristic, load flow characteristic, leakage characteristic, amplitude and phase frequency characteristics and step response under different system pressures are measured. The experimental results are in a good agreement with the simulated analysis. As an over-damped system, the prototype valve has excellent working stability, which can reach a no-load flow rate of 105.9 L/min with hysteresis of 3.51%, amplitude bandwidth of 28.7 Hz and phase bandwidth of 42.8 Hz under 21 MPa. The research indicates that the 2D maglev valve can be a potential solution of flow rate control valve for flight control surface system of civil aircraft with high pressure and large flow rate application.     

空间电源数字孪生系统

数字孪生系统是一种详细描述现实系统的数字化模拟系统,基于虚拟空间中的模型理解、预测、优化和控制现实系统,与现实系统具有实时性、同步进化性和交互性.为满足未来空间飞行器智能化、高机动性、多目标任务的特点,需要提升空间电源系统智能化监测管理能力.本文分析了空间电源数字孪生系统的构成要素,从数字孪生模型构建、新型传感技术以及...     

产品寿命预测

对基于失效或故障时间数据的产品寿命预测的基本概念、重要意义、方法以及与其它学科的关系等进行了系统评述.     

Development cost prediction of general aviation aircraft using combined estimation technique

Obtaining accurate development cost estimation results of general aviation aircraft is crucial for companies to adopt the best strategy in the development process. To address this problem, this paper proposes a combination of three commonly used single prediction methods. The optimal weight values of the three single prediction methods are determined by utilizing the shortest ideal point method. Ten cost datasets collected from literature are utilized for fitting and testing the combined prediction method, and the weight coefficients of the three individual prediction methods are calculated as 0.6859, 0.0035 and 0.3106, respectively. The results of this study indicate that the developed method has better fitting and estimation accuracy than that of the three individual methods, with average fitting and predicting error values of 2.60% and 6.43%, respectively. Additionally, the cost data of military and civil aircraft development from literature are collected for verification. The results further confirm that the proposed method is not only superior to the single prediction methods in terms of high precision but has wider applications. More importantly, this research can provide important reference for general aviation aircraft companies in term of product cost planning and corporate sales strategies.     

应用BP神经网络针对高通量质子事件的通量数值预报

质子事件的爆发与太阳软X射线辐射有着很强的相关性,利用GOES卫星的1～8 (A)波段和0.5～4 (A)波段的软X射线数据,选取一些特征参量验证该相关性并应用到质子事件短期预报中.在当前质子事件传输物理机制不完全明确的情况下,在现有的预报质子事件有无的模型基础上,利用BP神经网络,根据软X射线通量水平等预测事件质子峰值通量水平,再对训练后的网络进行检验,检验预测所得结果与实际探测值误差小于一个量级,具备一定实用意义.      

基于遗传神经网络的高能固体推进剂高压燃烧性能计算

建立并利用遗传(GA-BP)神经网络对NEPE类高能固体推进剂高压燃烧性能进行了模拟计算。针对计算需求,对NEPE类高能固体推进剂配方进行了全新表征,提出了13个表征参数。燃速预示结果表明,该方法计算误差小于10%,精度较高,能指导高能固体推进剂高压燃烧性能研究及配方设计;同时,也说明该表征方法能反映出此类配方的本质特征。该研究为高能固体推进剂燃速预估提供了新方法。     

航天器电源母线品质地面测试方法浅析

航天器供配电系统作为航天器上用于产生、存储、控制、传输与分配电能的子系统,其地面测试与评价工作是航天器地面电测工作的重要组成部分。航天器电源系统作为典型的直流分布式电源系统,其母线品质与系统稳定性密切相关。通过对航天器电源母线品质地面测试与评价方法进行分析,给出了测试系统的简要设计,并对技术发展趋势进行了预测。