R&D项目中止决策的实证研究

在与本领域专家探讨及调研相关资料的基础上,针对性地设计了适用于R&D项目中止决策的指标体系, 提出了改进的Fuzzy模式识别方法, 并将其成功地应用于某飞机制造企业的R&D项目的中止决策实践.该方法对Fuzzy模式识别方法的改进主要体现在两个方面:①利用集值统计方法得出了各指标的权重;②计算样本间的距离时,利用了广义欧氏距离公式.      

国防R&D项目的评估与中止决策

论述了对国防R&D项目进行评估及中止决策的重要意义.探讨了神经网络方法用在国防R&D项目中期评估及中止决策的可行性.提出了适用于国防口R&D项目评估及中止决策的BP多层神经网络方法.选用了国防口正在进行研究的52个项目作为实证分析案例,利用BP多层神经网络方法对之进行了分析处理.分析结果识别出了影响国防口R&D项目发展前景的6个重要因素,同时,对52个项目进行了归类处理,并对该52个国防口R&D项目作出了继续、暂停及中止研究的决策.案例研究的结果表明,该方法实施较为方便、计算较为简单,其有效性令人满意.这表明BP多层神经网络方法在R&D项目中止决策领域具有应用前景.      

机动目标拦截末制导状态估计器的误差特性

 针对大机动目标拦截问题,分析了末制导阶段目标机动条件下状态估计器的误差特性。首先将目标机动输入未知时的状态估计器模型表示为一随机线性混合系统,当混合系统的模式跳变事件满足可观测性条件时,模式决策过程可等效为真实模式的延迟;随后推导了模式决策延迟条件下估计误差的动态方程与传递函数,并得到了一定误差要求下模式决策延迟的上界与目标机动模式逗留时间的下界;最后通过空空导弹拦截高速战机的典型实例验证了该理论分析的正确性。研究结果为设计此类线性混合系统估计器提供了理论依据。     

Hypersonic vehicle aerodynamic design using modified sequential approximate optimization

Hypersonic vehicles are receiving increased attention within the aerospace community due to their high cruise speed and long-range capabilities. In this paper, a modified Sequential Approximate Optimization method is proposed for an optimized aerodynamic design of a hypersonic vehicle. As part of this approach, a constrained experimental design method is developed to handle the constraints more efficiently. A radial basis function is used to surrogate time-consuming CFD analysis. An efficient and more robust numerical mesh morphing scheme for the hypersonic vehicle is developed for the generation of high-quality meshes. Within this paper, a novel adaptive infilling strategy is proposed which uses an inaccurate search technique coupled with an elite archive. This allows the location of a more promising sample region and hence improves the surrogate accuracy, thereby further enhancing the optimization efficiency. A hypersonic vehicle aerodynamic design problem is solved using the proposed approach and satisfactory results are obtained at much lower computational costs. The lift-to-drag ratio is increased by 23.8% when compared with the base configuration while also satisfying the volume and lift constraints. The pressure and Mach contours have been compared with those of the base configuration and the results demonstrate the strength of the optimized configuration. The modified sequential approximate optimization for designing an improved hypersonic vehicle is worth referencing in future work.     

On the optical variability of a be star,HDE 245770, — the optical counterpart of the transient X-ray pulsar A0535+26

Photoelectric WBVR observations of Be star HDE 245770=V 725 Tau, the optical counterpart of the transient X-ray pulsar A0535+26, having a pulse period of about 104 s, were conducted for more than 10 years. An irregular long-term optical variability of the star with amplitudes of the order of a few tenths of magnitude was found to be a usual phenomenon. In some cases rapid changes of the star's optical luminosity with a characteristic period of a few tens of minutes or a few hours, and an amplitude of several hundredths of magnitude in all the spectral bands used, which have practically coincided or correlated with the X-ray pulsar outbursts detected by X-ray satellites, were observed.Photoelectric recording of the optical flux from HDE 245770 were made in 1981–1982 with a time resolution of 1 second and 10 s, respectively, in theR spectral band (₀ 7000 Å) and in the narrowH -emission-line band (_1/2 75 Å) using a 48-cm reflector of High-Mountain Tien-Shan observatory of the Sternberg Astronomical Institute near Alma-Ata. An analysis of autocorrelation functions of the flux changes from object under study and a comparison with the star BD+26° 876 indicated the variability of luminosity of V 725 Tau in theR spectral band on a time scale of a few tens of second; this variability resembles shot noise with a characteristic time of stochastic bursts of about 15–20 s and their amplitudes of about a few tenths of a percent. InH -emission-line radiation autocorrelation functions and power spectra show quasiperiodic variability of luminosity of HDE 245770 with a characteristic period of about 100–150 s and an amplitude in the neighbour-hood of 0.5%. The latter result is not quite reliable because of not quite fine weather conditions during the observations; independent observations and check-up are required.     

箔条质心干扰中的发射和机动决策仿真研究

针对反舰导弹的来袭方位、作战海域的海况,如何确定干扰弹的发射方案和舰艇的规避机动方案是箔条质心干扰战术运用需要解决的关键问题。采用动态仿真的方法,分析了箔条质心干扰的效果与反舰导弹威胁方向、干扰弹发射舷角、舰艇规避机动方向、作战海域的风速风向等要素的关系,得出了质心干扰时干扰弹发射和舰艇机动的一些原则。     

连续景象匹配的后处理算法

下视景象匹配是各类巡航飞行器实现导航误差修正的关键技术。由于基准图和实时图存在差异，配准点往往落在相关阵的次峰上，导致匹配的失败。提出了N帧连续景象匹配决策的图论算法。该算法利用单帧匹配后形成的相关阵中的主次峰信息以及惯导的位移信息，进行多帧景象匹配的一致性决策。由于引入了相关阵中的次峰信息并结合惯导位移的一致性判断，使得匹配算法能有效剔除误匹配点，从而提高算法的鲁棒性和匹配概率。     

基于Web的复杂武器装备采办综合集成研讨厅的研究

以飞机采办项目中的决策支持为研究对象,在分析综合集成研讨厅在面向飞机的武器装备采办系统中的重要地位的基础上,提出了一种基于Web、面向飞机的武器装备采办综合集成研讨厅的体系结构,分析讨论了实现综合集成研讨厅的关键点,并设计开发了基于Web的武器装备采办综合集成研讨厅原型系统.本文通过研究证实,综合集成研讨厅在面向飞机的...     

复飞研究与实践

讨论中断进近复飞决断，有助于提高飞行员的决断能力和处境意识。若很好地完成复飞，飞行员必须明确复飞的前提条件，掌握复飞决断的标准，了解复飞决断的影响因素，理解正确复飞决断的原则，熟练掌握复飞的正确实施方法，这样才能有效地保证飞行安全．顺利完成飞行任务。