跑道入侵防御灯光控制指令决策方法

为避免跑道入侵的发生,提出一种基于Petri网的灯光控制指令自动决策方法.首先根据跑道静态模型和运行过程,利用Petri网建立跑道区域受控运行模型,然后结合跑道管制规则给出线性不等式约束模型和优先等级约束模型.综合跑道运行约束模型、跑道当前标识信息和观测器信息,给出控制策略,确定受控运行模型中变迁的使能状态.在此基础上,提出基于变迁使能状态决策灯光控制指令的方法,最后通过算例证明决策方法的有效性.     

航空发动机钛火防护技术及试验验证方法

钛合金在航空发动机上应用广泛,特别是对于追求高推重比的军用发动机更是如此。但采用钛合金存在钛火风险,且钛火故障危害大、发生频率高。分析了钛火故障产生的原因,描述了故障导致的后果,并结合发动机上典型钛火故障,总结了4种较为有效的钛火防护设计技术。阐述了钛火防护技术的试验验证方法和目的,指出只有通过试验验证,才能确认钛火防护技术的安全有效。     

On the effect of considering more realistic particle shape and mass parameters in MMOD risk assessments

One of the primary mission risks tracked in the development of all spacecraft is that due to micro-meteoroids and orbital debris (MMOD). Both types of particles, especially those larger than 0.1 mm in diameter, contain sufficient kinetic energy due to their combined mass and velocities to cause serious damage to crew members and spacecraft. The process used to assess MMOD risk consists of three elements: environment, damage prediction, and damage tolerance. Orbital debris risk assessments for the Orion vehicle, as well as the Shuttle, Space Station and other satellites use ballistic limit equations (BLEs) that have been developed using high speed impact test data and results from numerical simulations that have used spherical projectiles. However, spheres are not expected to be a common shape for orbital debris; rather, orbital debris fragments might be better represented by other regular or irregular solids. In this paper we examine the general construction of NASA’s current orbital debris (OD) model, explore the potential variations in orbital debris mass and shape that are possible when using particle characteristic length to define particle size (instead of assuming spherical particles), and, considering specifically the Orion vehicle, perform an orbital debris risk sensitivity study taking into account variations in particle mass and shape as noted above. While the results of the work performed for this study are preliminary, they do show that continuing to use aluminum spheres in spacecraft risk assessments could result in an over-design of its MMOD protection systems. In such a case, the spacecraft could be heavier than needed, could cost more than needed, and could cost more to put into orbit than needed. The results obtained in this study also show the need to incorporate effects of mass and shape in mission risk assessment prior to first flight of any spacecraft as well as the need to continue to develop/refine BLEs so that they more accurately reflect the shape and material density variations inherent to the actual debris environment.     

环境严酷性指数腐蚀当量方法及其应用研究

 建立统一的腐蚀损伤环境变量——环境严酷性指数（ESI）,并研究其在飞机结构耐久性设计中的应用。在材料/结构腐蚀与单一环境类型/要素/强度关系基础上,按照《由电化学测量值计算腐蚀率和相关量的标准方法》(ASTM G102 89),引入并给出相应的ESI,并在一定工程假设下,给出在综合环境(由不同环境类型/要素/强度组成)作用下的ESI。同时,在腐蚀损伤等效原则下,用标准的环境类型/要素/强度及其作用时间当量化地表征综合环境及相应的作用时间(即环境谱),为环境加速试验环境当量提供依据并形成环境当量谱以应用于飞机结构耐久性设计中的腐蚀防护与控制(EEF),评估结构的检查周期/日历寿命。根据相关试验结果计算了典型金属材料在不同环境中的环境严酷性指数及环境当量化系数(EEF), 给出了环境简化或折算的算例。     

Using high-energy proton fluence to improve risk prediction for consequences of solar particle events

The potential for exposure to large solar particle events (SPEs) with high energy levels is a major concern during interplanetary transfer and extra-vehicular activities (EVAs) on the lunar and Mars surface. Previously, we have used data from the last 5 solar cycles to estimate percentiles of dose to a typical blood-forming organ (BFO) for a hypothetical astronaut in a nominally shielded spacecraft during a 120-d lunar mission. As part of this process, we made use of complete energy spectra for 34 large historical SPEs to calculate what the BFO mGy-Eq dose would have been in the above lunar scenario for each SPE. From these calculated doses, we then developed a prediction model for BFO dose based solely on an assumed value of integrated fluence above 30 MeV (Φ₃₀) for an otherwise unspecified future SPE. In this study, we reasoned that since BFO dose is determined more by protons with higher energies than by those with lower energies, more accurate BFO dose prediction models could be developed using integrated fluence above 60 (Φ₆₀) and above 100 MeV (Φ₁₀₀) as predictors instead of Φ₃₀. However to calculate the unconditional probability of a BFO dose exceeding a pre-specified limit (“BFO dose risk”), one must also take into account the distribution of the predictor (Φ_30,Φ₆₀, or Φ₁₀₀), as estimated from historical SPEs. But Φ₆₀ and Φ₁₀₀ have more variability, and less available historical information on which to estimate their distributions over many SPE occurrences, than does Φ₃₀. Therefore, when estimating BFO dose risk there is a tradeoff between increased BFO dose prediction at a given energy threshold and decreased accuracy of models for describing the distribution of that threshold over future SPEs as the threshold increases. Even when taking the second of these two factors into account, we still arrived at the conclusion that overall prediction improves as the energy level threshold increases from 30 to 60 to 100 MeV. These results can be applied to the development of approaches to improve radiation protection of astronauts and the optimization of mission planning for future space missions.     

屋面现浇板裂缝的防治

从设计、施工、材料、气候等多方面分析现浇板裂缝产生的原因,并总结一些防治措施。     

Multiple hierarchy risk assessment with hybrid model for safety enhancing of unmanned subscale BWB demonstrator flight test

To explore the low-speed characteristics of the Blended-Wing-Body (BWB) configuration for future civil aircraft, a series of unmanned subscale demonstrators have been developed and tested by our research team. During this process, specific safety risks deriving from uncertain design features, system unreliability, and insufficient personnel experience caused continuous flight test mishaps and the risk mechanism was not clear. Local and trial-and-error learning driven safety improvements took few effects on mishap prevention, so our focus was turned to look for systematic safety strategies. This paper establishes a systems theory based hybrid model to integrate the physical system reliability analysis techniques with the system dynamics method for illustrating the multiple risk interactions of the demonstrator flight test involving organizational, human resource and technical system factors. Using the prior BB-5 demonstrator as a case, the hybrid model simulation represents its historical risk evolution process, which verifies the model rationality. Derived risk control strategies reduced the mishap rate of a new demonstrator called BB-6 Sprit. The paper also shows the extended hybrid model can be applied on safety management of unmanned aerial vehicles from the initial period of vehicle development.     

航空发动机钛火试验技术研究新进展

钛火是现代航空发动机典型的灾难性故障.针对高推重比发动机对钛火试验技术的迫切需求,系统开展了摩擦氧浓度法钛合金燃烧技术及理论研究,建立了阻燃性能评价方法和摩擦着火模型,阐明了阻燃钛合金的阻燃机理.在总结近期研究进展基础上,从钛火的演化规律、机理和防控三个层次,提出钛火试验技术及应用研究的思路和方向,即接近发动机气流环境的阻燃性能综合评价、发动机气流环境的阻燃性能预测模型和阻燃技术的试验验证.未来实现发动机钛火防控体系的科学构建,助推压气机“全钛化”和发动机推重比不断提高.     

空间碎片撞击概率分析软件开发、校验与应用

航天器空间碎片撞击概率分析软件是我国独立设计开发的"空间碎片防护设计软件包"的重要组成部分。本文简要介绍了撞击概率分析软件的主要功能模块组成;重点对该软件的正确性进行了国际标准工况校验,并给出工程应用算例。