Availability modeling for periodically inspection system with different lifetime and repair-time distribution

Availability is a main feature of design and operation of all engineering system. Recently,availability evaluation of periodical inspection systems with different structures is at the center of attention due to the wide application in engineering. In this paper, an analytical and probabilistic availability model for periodical inspection system is proposed by a new recursively algorithm,which can achieve limiting average availability and instantaneous availability of periodical inspection system under arbitrary lifetime and repair-time distributions. Then three application examples are presented, the systems lifetime and repair-time are respectively fellow exponential/exponential,Weibull/normal and Weibull/lognormal distribution. Finally, a Weibull/lognormal system is studied to analyze the dynamic relationship between inspection period and availability. The results indicate that the proposed approach can provide the technology support for improving system availability and determining reasonable inspection period.     

A new structural reliability index based on uncertainty theory

The classical probabilistic reliability theory and fuzzy reliability theory cannot directly measure the uncertainty of structural reliability with uncertain variables,i.e.,subjective random and fuzzy variables.In order to simultaneously satisfy the duality of randomness and subadditivity of fuzziness in the reliability problem,a new quantification method for the reliability of structures is presented based on uncertainty theory,and an uncertainty-theory-based perspective of classical Cornell reliability index is explored.In this paper,by introducing the uncertainty theory,we adopt the uncertain measure to quantify the reliability of structures for the subjective probability or fuzzy variables,instead of probabilistic and possibilistic measures.We utilize uncertain variables to uniformly represent the subjective random and fuzzy parameters,based on which we derive solutions to analyze the uncertainty reliability of structures with uncertainty distributions.Moreover,we propose the Cornell uncertainty reliability index based on the uncertain expected value and variance.Experimental results on three numerical applications demonstrate the validity of the proposed method.     

离心叶轮全三维反问题方法设计误差稳定性研究

用流线曲率全三维反问题方法和引入滑移因子模型的准三维流线曲率反问题方法设计了叶片数不同的和增压比不同的小型高速离心叶轮.用商用计算流体力学(CFD)求解器估算了这些叶轮的性能.对比了这两种反问题方法的设计误差稳定性,考察了分流叶片对设计误差的影响.结果表明,流线曲率全三维反问题方法能够根据叶片负荷对叶片设计做出恰当调整.较准三维反问题方法,流线曲率全三维反问题方法所设计叶轮的增压比普遍偏高.随叶片负荷增加,较准三维反问题方法,流线曲率全三维反问题方法的设计误差变化较小,即其设计误差稳定性明显较好.分流叶片对准三维反问题方法设计结果的影响明显较小.      

Effect of blade tip winglet on the performance of a highly loaded transonic compressor rotor

The tip leakage flow has an important influence on the performance of transonic com-pressor. Blade tip winglet has been proved to be an effective method to control the tip leakage flow in compressor, while the physical mechanisms of blade tip winglet have been poorly understood. A numerical study for a highly loaded transonic compressor rotor has been conducted to understand the effect of varying the location of blade tip winglet on the performance of the rotor. Two kinds of tip winglet were designed and investigated. The effects of blade tip winglet on the compressor over-all performance, stability and tip flow structure were presented and discussed. It is found that the interaction of the tip winglet with the flow in the tip region is different when the winglet is located at suction-side or pressure-side of the blade tip. Results indicate that the suction-side winglet (SW) is ineffective to improve the performance of compressor rotor. In addition, a significant stall range extension equivalent to 33.74% with a very small penalty in efficiency can be obtained by the pressure-side winglet (PW). An attempt has been made to explain the fundamental mechanisms of blade tip winglet in detail.     

Percolation transition in temporal airport network

The air transportation system has a critical impact on the global economy. While the system reliability is essential for the operational management of air traffic, it remains challenging to understand the network reliability of the air transportation system. This paper focuses on how the global air traffic is integrated from local scale along with operational time. The integration process of air traffic into a temporally connected network is viewed as percolation process by increasing the integration time constantly. The critical integration time T_P which is found during the integration process can measure the global reliability of air traffic. The critical links at T_P are also identified, the delay of which will influence the global integration of the airport network. These findings may provide insights on the reliability management for the temporal airport network.     

双脉冲固体火箭发动机隔舱打开与破片运动过程模拟

相比传统固体火箭发动机,具有能量管理特性的双脉冲固体火箭发动机结构更为复杂,为了提高其工作可靠性,针对核心部件金属隔舱的破片运动过程开展了数值仿真与试验研究。首先基于LS-DYNA软件,分析中引入监测函数、逻辑开关函数和加载驱动函数,模拟燃气流对破片的连续作用力,计算得到了在不同时刻破片的空间分布规律、撞击点位置及发动机内部损伤情况,保证了破片运动过程的高保真还原。其次,为了验证仿真结果的准确性,进行了模拟二脉冲初始工况的热流试验,发现破片撞击位置及损伤程度的仿真结果与试验数据一致性较高,其中撞击位置的预示误差小于9%,试验结果充分验证了有限元模型的准确性。由此,建立了适用于双脉冲固体火箭发动机金属隔舱破片运动过程的分析模型,实现了破片撞击位置及损伤程度的高精度预示。     

航天火工装置可靠性设计、试验、评估实用方法与程序

鉴于火工装置研制现在缺少一套完整的可靠性设计、试验、评估方法与程序,文章从实际使用角度出发,总结了一套方法和程序,主要介绍火工装置可靠性模型,各个环节的可靠性设计、试验方法,并叙述了现型号使用的可靠性评估方法和程序。     

基于三机冷备份的遥感器计算机系统冗余设计

文章对当前比较流行的计算机冗余模型进行了分析和比较,制定出了三机冷备份的冗余计算机结构,并对关键电路进行了设计。     

LRU可靠性评估仿真模型及实例分析

目前,有关航空维修中出现的高故障率现场可更换单元(LRU)的可靠性评估和LRU 故障组件定位等方面的研究仍鲜有报道,为此设计一种适用于LRU“更换维修暠策略的可靠性评估仿真模型,详细介绍模型中各个功能模块的设计原理和实现方法、步骤,并以某型军用飞机液压系统中常见的高故障率LRU 为例,对模型进行应用分析。结果表明:该仿真模型在LRU 可靠性评估中具有可行性和普遍适用性。     

基于不确定性的飞行器分离可靠性建模与分析方法

为实现飞行器分离任务可靠性的定量分析和高效精确评估,研究了高超声速飞行器分离任务过程中各种不确定性因素对分离可靠性的影响,提出一种基于不确定性的飞行器分离可靠性建模与分析方法。面向高超声速飞行器分离任务需求,建立分离动力学仿真模型,综合考虑分离过程不确定性因素的影响,利用灵敏度分析方法识别主要不确定性因素,构建分离可靠性模型。针对此模型,提出一种改进主动学习Kriging(IAK)的分离可靠性分析方法,通过新的采样策略选取失效概率更大的采样点作为新增训练点,进行高效可靠性分析。实例结果表明,该方法能够准确描述不确定性因素对分离过程的影响,提升分离可靠性定量分析的精度和效率,为飞行器分离方案的精细化设计提供支撑。