Sunspot activity and cosmic ray modulation at 1 a.u. for 1900–2013

The descent of sunspot cycle 23 to an unprecedented minimum of long duration in 2006–2009 led to a prolonged galactic cosmic ray (GCR) recovery to the highest level observed in the instrumental era for a variety of energetic charged particle species on Earth, over a wide range of rigidities. The remarkable GCR increase measured by several ground-based, balloon-borne, and detectors on a satellite is described and discussed. It is accompanied by a decrease in solar wind velocity and interplanetary magnetic field at 1 a.u., reaching the lowest values since measurements of the solar wind began in October 1963; the solar polar field strength (μT) measured at the Wilcox Solar Observatory (WSO) is also significantly reduced compared to prior cycles since the start of the program in 1976, the polar field in the northern hemisphere reversed in June 2012 and again in February 2014, that in the southern hemisphere reversed in July 2013. If updates of WSO data confirm the second reversal in northern solar hemisphere, it would pose a serious challenge to the Dynamo Theory. The long-term change in solar behavior may have begun in 1992, perhaps earlier. The physical underpinnings of these solar changes need to be understood and their effect on GCR modulation processes clarified. The study discusses the recent phenomena in the context of GCR modulation since 1900. These happenings affected our empirical predictions for the key parameters for the next two sunspot cycles (they may be progressively less active than sunspot cycle 24) but it enhanced support for our prediction that solar activity is descending into a Dalton-like grand minimum in the middle of the twentyfirst century, reducing the frequency of the coronal mass ejections; they determine the space weather affecting the quality of life on Earth, radiation dose for hardware and human activities in space as well as the frequency of large Forbush decreases at 1 a.u.     

氧化镍电致变色薄膜及其器件的制备与性能研究

以氧化铟锡（ITO）玻璃为基底,采用直流反应磁控溅射法在室温环境下制备了高透过率调制的NiO_x薄膜,利用X射线衍射仪（XRD）、扫描电子电镜 （SEM）、紫外可见分光光度计（UV 3600）对薄膜进行分析和表征,研究溅射过程中氩氧比、气压、功率对薄膜结构、形貌及电致变色性能的影响。结果表明：制备的NiO_x薄膜表面有明显的结晶颗粒及孔隙,并沿（200）晶面择优生长;随着气压、功率、氧分压的增大,透过率调制先增大后减小,在时间为45 min、溅射气压4.9 Pa、氩氧比113∶7、功率215 W时最高可达58.3%,着褪色响应时间分别为9和19 s,相应的着褪色效率分别为77.56和40.39 cm²/C;以最优工艺的NiO_x薄膜组装了结构为Glass/ITO/NiO_x/Li-electrolyte/WO₃/ITO/Glass的电致变色器件,器件在550 nm处的光调制幅度为46.5%,着褪色时间分别为27和45 s,相应的着褪色速率为1.5和0.9 %/s,在循环500次后透过率调制保持在40%以上。     

A calibration neutron monitor: Statistical accuracy and environmental sensitivity

This paper is a follow-on of that of Krüger et al. [Krüger, H., Moraal, H., Bieber, J.W., Clem, J.M., Evenson, P.A., Pyle, K.R., Duldig, M.L., Humble, J.E. A calibration neutron monitor: energy response and instrumental temperature sensitivity. J. Geophys. Res. 113, A08101, doi:10.1029/2008JA013229, 2008], that describes the characteristics of a pair of calibration neutron monitors that were developed to intercalibrate the count rates of the world’s neutron monitors against each other. Such an intercalibration will allow the calculation of energy (rigidity) spectra, which will enhance the quality of the neutron monitor data. Krüger et al. (2008) investigated the energy and temperature response of the calibrators. This paper studies the statistical accuracy of the calibration procedure, its repeatability, and the sensitivity to its environment. The paper concludes with a calibration procedure that can minimise the uncertainties caused by these five effects, or at least correct for them.     

Mean energy of response to galactic cosmic ray spectrum: IMP 8 and Climax neutron monitor

Solar modulations of galactic cosmic ray (GCR) intensity contain a wealth of information about their transport in the heliosphere. To extract this information from the data one studies the dependence of the observed modulations on the mean energy of response of detectors providing data for the analyses. There is a great deal of confusion about the detector energy response to GCR spectrum in the literature. We present a preliminary report on the computations of the mean energy of response for the Climax neutron monitor (CL/NM) and IMP 8 cosmic ray nuclear composition instrument to GCR protons for 1973–1998, covering the solar cycles 21 and 22. We find that for penetrating proton channel on IMP 8 the mean energy changes by a factor of over two whereas for the neutron monitor the change is only 21%. However, the corresponding change for the computed modulation function is a factor of about 3.5.     

多载波调制结合Turbo编码技术的性能分析

多载波调制是一种有效克服衰落信道频率选择性的技术,从而显著减少码间干扰(ISI)。Turbo码以其接近香农极限的工作性能受到人们的注目,它能在极低信噪比条件下提供可靠通信。把多载波调制与Turbo 编码结合起来能够对整个系统提供显著的性能增益。本文试图对采用这两种技术的通信系统给出性能上的评估。     

气动FA补偿变结构Bang-Bang位置伺服算法

 首先提出了一种基于两位两通高速开关阀的无杆气缸脉宽调制（PWM）控制方案,为气缸提供了中位截止机能。然后针对Bang-Bang控制算法中存在的超调和振荡现象,提出了摩擦力和加速度（FA）补偿的变结构Bang-Bang算法。该算法综合位置和速度误差的影响构造了加速度方向切换评价函数,考虑了摩擦力对控制量设定的影响,分别依据阶跃函数、线性函数和反正切函数对活塞加速度值进行动态设定,实现了运动过程中对活塞摩擦力的补偿和加速度的调整。最后,利用该算法进行了无杆气缸的带载伺服定位试验,对3种加速度设定函数的控制效果做了比较。结果证明FA补偿变结构算法在提高气缸定位精度方面有显著效果。     

双轴连续旋转调制捷联惯导系统大失准角初始对准技术

由于可以补偿惯性器件在三个轴向上的输出误差,双轴旋转调制技术被广泛应用于捷联惯导系统(SINS)。选择了一种合理且实用的十六次序双轴转位方案,并对其调制原理和误差进行了分析。初始对准技术是捷联惯导系统的一项重要技术,其对准精度直接决定了后续导航的精度。在粗对准完成后,当姿态误差角较大时,后续的精对准误差模型呈非线性特性,故选择了滤波精度高、稳定性强的平方根容积Kalman滤波算法(SCKF)来解决这一问题。考虑到在实际对准过程中,量测噪声的统计特性易发生变化,将SCKF算法与Sage-Husa算法相结合,在传统Sage-Husa SCKF算法的基础上提出了一种改进的自适应滤波算法(ASCKF)。该算法采用QR分解来完成对噪声协方差的平方根矩阵估计,从而避免了传统Sage-Husa SCKF算法中所估噪声协方差矩阵不正定的问题。最后,通过仿真证实了ASCKF算法可被很好地应用于量测噪声统计特性发生变化的初始对准中。     

天线组阵中SUMPLE算法的合成相位漂移补偿

针对SUMPLE算法在低信噪比时存在的相位漂移问题,在分析权值估计误差引起的合成信号相位漂移现象的基础上,提出一种以固定时刻合成权值作为参考的补偿算法。该算法以收敛后某个固定时刻的合成权值作为参考,其他时刻的相位补偿值通过与该参考权值进行相关计算得到。从理论上分析了该算法的可行性,并进行仿真验证。理论分析与仿真结果表明,所给出的相位补偿方法能有效地消除合成信号的相位漂移现象,补偿后的合成信号相位中心稳定。     

组合压气机中导流叶片的尾迹抖动特性

为明确多排叶栅压气机中影响静叶尾迹抖动特性的因素及机理,探索调制静叶尾迹抖动周期和幅值的方法,采用数值方法对设计流量为1.12kg/s,转速为60000r/min的一级轴流和离心叶轮组成的组合压气机的非定常流场进行模拟.结果表明:静叶尾迹抖动除受几何因素影响外,还受上下游转子干涉影响,且上下游转子叶片通过频率的异同将影响静叶尾迹抖动的周期性.当上下游转子叶片同频通过时,改变动叶的时序位置可以调制静叶尾迹抖动幅值的大小.另外,静叶尾迹抖动幅值沿叶高方向并不相同,低叶高处静叶尾迹抖动幅值明显大于中、高叶高处静叶尾迹抖动幅值.      

基于LMD的包络谱特征值在滚动轴承 故障诊断中的应用

滚动轴承故障振动信号往往是多分量的调幅-调频信号,而传统包络分析方法需要根据经验设置滤波器的中心频率与带宽,因而会带来解调误差.基于此,提出了一种基于局域均值分解(local mean decomposition,简称LMD)的包络谱特征值的滚动轴承故障诊断方法.该方法可以将一个多分量的调幅-调频信号分解成若干瞬时频率具有物理意义的PF (product function,简称PF )分量之和,由于每一个PF分量是分量包络信号和纯调频信号的积,因此可以直接对包络信号进行频谱分析得到包络谱.然后定义信号在包络谱中不同故障特征频率处的幅值比为包络谱特征值,并以此作为特征向量输入到支持向量机分类器中,用以区分滚动轴承的工作状态和故障类型.对滚动轴承正常状态、内圈故障和外圈故障振动信号的分析结果表明了该方法的有效性.