民用旅客机撤离过程动态引导方法研究

紧急情况下民用旅客机乘客的撤离疏散过程存在无法充分利用所有可用出口的问题,为了减少旅客机紧急情况下乘员的总撤离时间,基于元胞自动机理论,考虑出口可用性动态变化对撤离过程的影响,提出一种旅客机应急撤离过程动态估算方法,制定五类共计20条撤离规则,建立旅客机应急撤离引导模型。以某149座旅客机为例,使用引导模型进行仿真分析,并与未经引导的撤离过程进行对比。结果表明:引导模型可充分利用所有可用出口,可使总撤离时间减少6%以上,最优性能统计值减少30%以上。     

航空磁探中水下目标三维积分方程磁场建模

为获取航空磁探中水下铁磁性目标的空间磁场分布,通过三维积分方程法的基本原理推导出空间磁场的解析式,根据矢量恒等式和高斯散度定理简化空间磁场计算式,建立水下铁磁性目标空间磁场预测模型。通过铁磁性长方体对模型进行理论验证,使用铯光泵磁力仪测量铁磁性长旋转椭球体的高空磁场;然后,基于预测模型推算铁磁性长旋转椭球体的磁场,根据实际测量的磁场数据和预测值进行比较。结果表明,预测模型的推算精度较高,平均绝对误差为0.320 5 nT,平均相对误差为12.368%。     

缺口件振动疲劳寿命预测的频域法和时域法的比较与分析

以缺口件为研究对象,在窄带信号下分别采用频域法和时域法预测缺口件的振动疲劳寿命。频域法选用Rayleigh模型和Dirlik模型作为应力变程概率密度p(S)模型,采用Miner累积损伤准则计算振动疲劳寿命。时域法通过傅里叶逆变换将结构危险点处的应力响应功率谱密度函数转为应力-时间历程样本,采用雨流循环计数结合Miner累积损伤准则,得到一个疲劳寿命样本,计算多个样本取均值作为振动疲劳寿命。计算结果和试验结果表明:时域法的精度较高,但工作量较大;选用 Rayieigh 模型和 Dirlik 模型的频域法预测寿命精度接近,比时域法的精度略差,但工作量较小。     

用遥测数据识别飞行外声场

给出了一种用遥测数据通过混响室噪声试验识别飞行外声场的方法,并提供了一个实例。该方法以遥测加速度功率谱为控制谱,以遥测点为响应测量点,通过噪声试验调节外声场声谱,使测量点的响应与控制谱一致,识别出飞行外声场。共识别了起飞段和跨音速段两种外声场。实例给出了某火箭某次遥测数据及识别外声场,并将识别外声场与该火箭另次飞行的实测外声场进行了比较。比较表明,识别外声场与实测外声场总声压级最大相差5.2dB,谱型振动能量分布存在较大差别。作为有限条件下(仅有遥测数据)获取外声场的一种方法,并以此外声场作为输入载荷对试件进行故障分析和振动环境获取,从飞行结果看,该方法是可行有效的。     

数据链作战使用性能试验方法研究

分析了数据链在现代战争中的重要作用,提出了表征数据链作战使用性能的指标体系、试验数据链作战使用性能的试验方法以及试验数据录取方法,并给出了相应的试验数据处理方法。     

流量预测下智能寻优门限值的AOS帧生成算法

针对AOS空间通信系统的自适应帧生成算法帧生成时间门限值需要人工设置问题,提出一种流量预测下智能寻优门限值的AOS帧生成算法.该算法使用小波神经网络对ON/OFF模型产生的自相似流量进行预测,根据预测流量计算复用效率和平均包时延,使用人工鱼群算法对建立的综合评价函数进行智能寻优,从而得到帧生成算法的最佳门限值.该算法可...     

功能分析与失效物理结合的可靠性预计方法

 可靠性预计是产品设计、研发过程中的重要工作,全面准确的可靠性预计可以评价产品的可靠性水平,也可以为设计提供信息,指导设计。全面分析总结当前电子设备可靠性预计相关技术方法,以当前基于失效物理(POF)技术的系统可靠性预计方法中,并未考虑产品功能组成关系的缺陷为突破点,建立了一种以失效物理分析为基础,综合考虑电路功能组成关系的电子设备可靠性预计方法。该方法从电路功能出发,通过灵敏度仿真和主成分分析两种方法,确定对电路性能起主要影响的关键单元,再通过失效物理分析或统计规律明确单元的失效概率分布,通过混合分布获得系统的分布,得到系统可靠性指标。最后以某航空机电产品的电源电路为案例,对本预计方法进行验证。     

Development cost prediction of general aviation aircraft projects with parametric modeling

The study of the development cost of general aviation aircraft is limited by small samples with many cost-driven factors. This paper investigates a parametric modeling method for prediction of the development cost of general aviation aircraft. The proposed technique depends on some principal components, acquired by utilizing P value analysis and gray correlation analysis. According to these principal components, the corresponding linear regression and BP neural network models are established respectively. The feasibility and accuracy of the P value analysis are verified by comparing results of model fitting and prediction. A sensitivity analysis related to model precision and suitability is discussed in detail. Results obtained in this study show that the proposed method not only has a certain degree of versatility, but also provides a preliminary prediction of the development cost of general aviation aircraft.     

Analysis of GNSS clock prediction performance with different interrupt intervals and application to real-time kinematic precise point positioning

Continuous and timely real-time satellite orbit and clock products are mandatory for real-time precise point positioning (RT-PPP). Real-time high-precision satellite orbit and clock products should be predicted within a short time in case of communication delay or connection breakdown in practical applications. For prediction, historical data describing the characteristics of the real-time orbit and clock can be used as the basis for performing the prediction. When historical data are scarce, it is difficult for many existing models to perform precise predictions. In this paper, a linear regression model is used to predict clock products. Seven-day GeoForschungsZentrum (GFZ) final clock products sampled at 30 s are used to analyze the characteristics of GNSS clocks. It is shown that the linear regression model can be used as the prediction model for the satellite clock products. In addition, the accuracy of the clock prediction for different satellites are analyzed using historical data with different periods (such as 2 and 10 epochs). Experimental results show that the accuracy of the clock with the linear regression prediction model using historical data with 10 epochs is 1.0 ns within 900 s. This is higher accuracy than that achieved using historical data of 2 epochs. Finally, the performance analysis for real-time kinematic precise point positioning (PPP) is provided using GFZ final clock prediction results and state space representation (SSR) clock prediction results when communication delay or connection breakdown occur. Experimental results show that the positioning accuracy without prediction is better than that with prediction in general, whether using the final clock product or the SSR clock product. For the final clock product, the positioning accuracy in the north (N), east (E), and up (U) directions is better than 10.0 cm with all visible GNSS satellites with prediction. In comparison, the 3D positioning accuracy of N, E, and U directions with visible GNSS satellites whose prediction accuracy is better than 0.1 ns using historical data of 10 epochs is improved from 15.0 cm to 7.0 cm. For the SSR clock product, the positioning accuracy of N, E, and U directions is better than 12.0 cm with visible GNSS satellites with prediction. In comparison, the 3D positioning accuracy of N, E, and U directions with visible GNSS satellites whose prediction accuracy is better than 0.1 ns using historical data of 10 epochs is improved from 12.0 cm to 9.0 cm.     

Equatorial secondary cosmic ray observatory to study space weather and terrestrial events

Recently, equatorial secondary cosmic ray observatory has been established at Equatorial Geophysical Research Laboratory (EGRL), Tirunelveli, (Geographic Coordinates: 8.71°N, 77.76°E), to study secondary cosmic rays (SCR) produced due to the interaction of primary cosmic rays with the Earth’s atmosphere. EGRL is a regional center of Indian Institute of Geomagnetism (IIG), located near the equator in the Southern part of India. Two NaI(Tl) scintillation detectors are installed inside the temperature controlled environment. One detector is cylindrical in shape of size 7.62?cm?×?7.62?cm and another one is rectangular cuboid of 10.16?cm?×?10.16?cm?×?40.64?cm size. Besides NaI(Tl) detectors, various other research facilities such as the Geomagnetic observatory, Medium Frequency Radar System, Digital Ionosonde, All-sky airglow imager, Atmospheric electricity laboratory to measure the near-Earth atmospheric electric fields are also available at EGRL. With the accessibility of multi- instrument facilities, the objective is set to understand the relationship between SCR and various atmospheric and ionospheric processes, during space weather and terrestrial events.For gamma-ray spectroscopy, it is important to test the performance of the NaI(Tl) scintillation detectors and to calibrate the gamma-ray spectrum in terms of energy. The present article describes the details of the experimental setup installed near the equator to study cosmic rays, along with the performance testing and calibration of the detectors under various conditions. A systematic shift in the gain is observed with varying temperature of the detector system. It is found that the detector’s response to the variations in the temperature is not just linear or non-linear type, but it depends on the history of the variation, indicating temperature hysteresis effects on NaI detector and PMT system. This signifies the importance of isothermal environment while studying SCR flux using NaI(Tl) detectors, especially for the experiments conducted during daytime such as solar eclipses etc.