Remaining useful life prognostics for aeroengine based on superstatistics and information fusion

Remaining useful life（RUL） prognostics is a fundamental premise to perform conditionbased maintenance（CBM） for a system subject to performance degradation. Over the past decades,research has been conducted in RUL prognostics for aeroengine. However, most of the prognostics technologies and methods simply base on single parameter, making it hard to demonstrate the specific characteristics of its degradation. To solve such problems, this paper proposes a novel approach to predict RUL by means of superstatistics and information fusion. The performance degradation evolution of the engine is modeled by fusing multiple monitoring parameters, which manifest non-stationary characteristics while degrading. With the obtained degradation curve,prognostics model can be established by state-space method, and then RUL can be estimated when the time-varying parameters of the model are predicted and updated through Kalman filtering algorithm. By this method, the non-stationary degradation of each parameter is represented, and multiple monitoring parameters are incorporated, both contributing to the final prognostics. A case study shows that this approach enables satisfactory prediction evolution and achieves a markedly better prognosis of RUL.     

一种基于卡尔曼滤波的定位解算性能评估新方法

对基于卡尔曼滤波的定位解算性能进行评估是提高卫星导航系统性能的有效途径。而传统的评估方法受人为主观性因素影响较大,提出了一种对数最小二乘模糊层次分析(FAHP)方法和模糊综合评价(FCE)方法相结合的性能评估方法。推导了模糊权重向量的唯一性确定条件,并将对数最小二乘FAHP方法确定的模糊权重向量去模糊化,使得权重向量可直接利用FCE方法进行加权综合,形成优势互补。以基于卡尔曼滤波的定位解算性能评估为实例,通过比较分析表明,所提出的对数最小二乘FAHP-FCE评估方法计算得到的权重向量优于基于程度分析的FAHP方法和基于先验规则挖掘的FAHP方法,使其更适合于对基于卡尔曼滤波的定位解算算法进行性能评估。     

航天器卷筒式伸杆机构的发展与展望

从概念、构成特点、应用范围与使用方式等方面阐述了卷筒式伸杆机构。从卷筒式伸杆机构成形原理探索、数值模拟、成形工艺、产品测试等方面综述了卷筒式伸杆机构的研究进展；介绍了卷筒式伸杆机构在航天器上的应用状况；指出了航天器卷筒式伸杆机构小型化、轻量化、大收纳比和高精度的发展趋势；提出了航天器卷筒式伸杆机构结构材料、成形工艺和性能评价方面亟需攻克的关键技术,旨在为航天器卷筒式伸杆机构创新发展提供参考。     

考虑UAV性能约束的变速度自主避障算法研究

动态不确定环境下,为有效地提升UAV执行任务的安全性和可靠性,在UAV自主避障过程中考虑了自身的性能约束条件.在速度障碍圆弧法的基础上,考虑UAV的法向和纵向加速度约束范围,研究了速度障碍圆弧随速度矢量变化的规律,提出了一种考虑UAV性能约束的变速度自主避障算法.该算法在考虑自身性能约束条件下,为实现UAV对威胁障碍的避碰提供了更大的避碰裕度.最后,对考虑UAV性能约束的变速度自主避障算法进行了验证,仿真结果证明了算法的有效性和可行性.     

On the evidential reasoning rule for dependent evidence combination

Evidential Reasoning (ER) rule, which can combine multiple pieces of independent evidence conjunctively, is widely applied in multiple attribute decision analysis. However, the assumption of independence among evidence is often not satisfied, resulting in ER rule inapplicable. In this paper, an Evidential Reasoning rule for Dependent Evidence combination (ERr-DE) is developed. Firstly, the aggregation sequence of multiple pieces of evidence is determined according to evidence reliability. On this basis, a calculation method of evidence Relative Total Dependence Coefficient (RTDC) is proposed using the distance correlation method. Secondly, as a discounting factor, RTDC is introduced into the ER rule framework, and the ERr-DE model is formulated. The aggregation process of two pieces of dependent evidence by ERr-DE is investigated, which is then generalized to aggregate multiple pieces of non-independent evidence. Thirdly, sensitivity analysis is carried out to investigate the relationship between the model output and the RTDC. The properties of sensitivity coefficient are explored and mathematically proofed. The conjunctive probabilistic reasoning process of ERr-DE and the properties of sensitivity coefficient are verified by two numerical examples respectively. Finally, the practical application of the ERr-DE is validated by a case study on the performance assessment of satellite turntable system.     

Digital twin model of gas turbine and its application in warning of performance fault

The digital twin-driven performance model provides an attractive option for the warn gas-path faults of the gas turbines. However, three technical difficulties need to be solved: (1) low modeling precision caused by individual differences between gas turbines, (2) poor solution efficiency due to excessive iterations, and (3) the false alarm and missing alarm brought by the traditional fixed threshold method. This paper proposes a digital twin model-based early warning method for gas-path faults that breaks through the above obstacles from three aspects. Firstly, a novel performance modeling strategy is proposed to make the simulation effect close to the actual gas turbine by fusing the mechanism model and measurement data. Secondly, the idea of controlling the relative accuracy of model parameters is developed. The introduction of an error module to the existing model can greatly shorten the modeling cycle. The third solution focuses on the early warning based on the digital twin model, which self-learns the alarm threshold of the warning feature of gas-path parameters using the kernel density estimation. The proposed method is utilized to analyze actual measured data of LM2500 +, and the results verify that the new-built digital model has higher accuracy and better efficiency. The comparisons show that the proposed method shows evident superiority in early warning of performance faults for gas turbines over other methods.     

Performance improvement of licklider transmission protocol in complex deep space networks based on parameter optimization

A reasonable parameter configuration helps improve the data transmission performance of the Licklider Transmission Protocol (LTP). Previous research has focused mainly on parameter optimization for LTP in simplified scenarios with one to two hops or multihop scenarios with a custody mechanism of the Bundle Protocol (BP). However, the research results are not applicable to communications in Complex Deep Space Networks (CDSNs) without the custody mechanism of BP that are more suitable for deep space communications with LTP. In this paper, we propose a model of file delivery time for LTP in CDSNs. Based on the model, we propose a Parameter Optimization Design Algorithm for LTP (LTP-PODA) of configuring reasonable parameters for LTP. The results show that the accuracy of the proposed model is at least 6.47% higher than that of the previously established models based on simple scenarios, and the proposed model is more suitable for CDSNs. Moreover, the LTP parameters are optimized by the LTP-PODA algorithm to obtain an optimization plan. Configuring the optimization plan for LTP improves the protocol transmission performance by at least 18.77% compared with configuring the other parameter configuration plans.     

耐高温复合材料在火星探测器着陆器减速伞筒盖结构上的应用

针对火星探测器着陆巡视器减速伞筒盖结构在轨运行耐温度交变、辐照等空间环境和再入过程耐温度冲击性能需求,重点开展了筒盖复合材料耐温匹配性、力学性能、耐空间环境性能以及制件成型工艺研究。结果表明,选用J-168-1胶黏剂、J-245胶黏剂及T300/QY8911复合材料制备的试件通过各项性能试验考核,均能满足筒盖结构的设计指标要求。筒盖产品力学性能稳定,成型工艺可行性良好,最高瞬时使用温度可达200℃,经历空间环境模拟后力学性能保持率均在80%以上,耐高温、耐空间环境性良好。产品已成功装星发射,并在着陆巡视器落火阶段成功弹出分离,圆满完成使命。     

FY-2C星地面应用分系统指令与数据获取站

介绍了风云二号(FY-2)C星地面应用分系统数据与指令接收站(CDAS)的主要技术指标、工作流程,以及与C星的星地接口与地面应用分系统其他部分的接口.说明了CDAS的天伺馈、信道、图像获取(IAS)、三点测距(TRRR)、数据收集(DCP)、遥测遥控(TT&C)、卫星模拟器、标校、时间统-、低速信息传输(LRIT)信息编码与发送等子系统的组成与功能.阐述了C星CDAS的设计原则,以及用群调技术实现DCP的数据解调、用扩频伪码进行TRRR定位、图像处理、TT&C增加图形化界面控制、正交相移键控(QPSK)解调器抗长连"1"功能等关键技术.在轨测试和试运行期间,C星的CDAS不仅解决暴露的问题,而且进行适应性调整.验收前测试结果表明,其功能及技术指标满足业务运行要求,设备工作正常、性能稳定.     

液晶光学相控阵的高功率波束指向特性研究

针对液晶光学相控阵LCOPA（Liquid Crystal Optical Phased Array）在高功率激光入射场景下的波束指向特性，构建了LCOPA的热力学模型，利用Ericksen Leslie动力学理论和液晶材料的温度特性，对不同入射激光功率和不同液晶材料条件下LCOPA的近场相位分布、远场偏转效率和偏转响应过程进行数值仿真分析。结果表明，当入射激光功率从50 W 增加到 110 W时，近场相位分布趋于恶化，远场偏转效率从96.8%下降到41.3%；5PCH、UCF-35、MLC-624-000三种液晶材料的温度敏感性逐渐减弱，远场偏转效率分别为41.3%、92.3%、98.8%；同时，入射激光功率的增加会缩短相控阵器件的下降时间，而对其上升时间和切换时间无明显影响。