Performance evaluation of complex systems using evidential reasoning approach with uncertain parameters

The composition of the modern aerospace system becomes more and more complex. The performance degradation of any device in the system may cause it difficult for the whole system to keep normal working states. Therefore, it is essential to evaluate the performance of complex aerospace systems. In this paper, the performance evaluation of complex aerospace systems is regarded as a Multi-Attribute Decision Analysis (MADA) problem. Based on the structure and working principle of the system, a new Evidential Reasoning (ER) based approach with uncertain parameters is proposed to construct a nonlinear optimization model to evaluate the system performance. In the model, the interval form is used to express the uncertainty, such as error in testing data and inaccuracy in expert knowledge. In order to analyze the subsystems that have a great impact on the performance of the system, the sensitivity analysis of the evaluation result is carried out, and the corresponding maintenance strategy is proposed. For a type of Inertial Measurement Unit (IMU) used in a rocket, the proposed method is employed to evaluate its performance. Then, the parameter sensitivity of the evaluation result is analyzed, and the main factors affecting the performance of IMU are obtained. Finally, the comparative study shows the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

微分对策制导规律与改进的比例导引制导规律性能比较

本文根据现代战争敌我双方对抗格局 ,提出了防空导弹拦截高速大机动目标 ,采用微分对策强迫奇异摄动方法零阶组合反馈解析解制导规律。这种制导规律只需要导弹和目标的位置、状态变量和法向过载的测量量 ,易于弹上实时实现。为了证明该制导规律的良好性能 ,文中给出了另一种改进的比例导引制导规律 ,并以某防空导弹为研究背景 ,对两种制导规律的性能进行了比较。结果表明微分对策制导规律的弹道参数特性比改进的比例导引制导规律好得多     

卫星电源系统的母线性能分析

建立以母线为核心的分流器,蓄电池充电调节器（ＢＣＲ）,蓄电池放电调节器（ＢＤＲ）和太阳阵的交流小信号模型;导出母线动态阻抗、稳定性、瞬态响应和纹波的分析法,并利用该方法举例分析了革一电源系统的性能。此外,还利用Ｐｏｗｅｒ Ｓｉｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎ（ＰＳＩＭ）电源系统仿真软件对该电源系统进行了仿真,验证了理论分析方法的正确性。     

小功率电弧等离子体发动机试验及性能研究

电推进技术已应用于航天的多个领域,电弧等离子体发动机（Arcjet)因其高比冲、高推力／功率比以及大的推进剂选择范围等特点成为当前国际上电火箭研究和应用的热点。文章总结小功率Arcjet实验及性能研究,介绍了实验研究系统的主要组成,给出初步的发动机工作性能参数及实验结果分析。     

纳米粒子对星用胶粘剂空间环境性能影响的试验研究

对中国卫星上大量应用的几种胶粘剂进行了地球同步轨道环境模拟试验,同时试验了添加纳米SiO2粉体后的影响。研究表明,纳米材料的加入对胶粘剂空间排气性降低、抑制电子辐照、冷热交变循环损伤等有明显作用。研究结果为中国长寿命卫星胶接结构、材料的寿命可靠性提供了相关依据,展现了纳米材料空间应用的前景。     

Determination of a suitable set of loss models for centrifugal compressor performance prediction

Performance prediction in preliminary design stages of several turbomachinery components is a critical task in order to bring the design processes of these devices to a successful conclusion.In this paper,a review and analysis of the major loss mechanisms and loss models,used to determine the efficiency of a single stage centrifugal compressor,and a subsequent examination to determine an appropriate loss correlation set for estimating the isentropic efficiency in preliminary design stages of centrifugal compressors,were developed.Several semi-empirical correlations,commonly used to predict the efficiency of centrifugal compressors,were implemented in FORTRAN code and then were compared with experimental results in order to establish a loss correlation set to determine,with good approximation,the isentropic efficiency of single stage compressor.The aim of this study is to provide a suitable loss correlation set for determining the isentropic efficiency of a single stage centrifugal compressor,because,with a large amount of loss mechanisms and correlations available in the literature,it is difficult to ascertain how many and which correlations to employ for the correct prediction of the efficiency in the preliminary stage design of a centrifugal compressor.As a result of this study,a set of correlations composed by nine loss mechanisms for single stage centrifugal compressors,conformed by a rotor and a diffuser,are specified.     

Performance analysis of variable speed tail rotors with Gurney flaps

Gurney Flaps (GFs) are used for improving the performance of variable speed tail rotors. A validated analytical helicopter model able to predict the main and tail rotor power is utilized. The fixed height GF has substantially small influence on the tail rotor power in hover and low to medium speed forward flight, and can obtain significant power reduction in high speed flight. This ability can be enhanced by decreasing the tail rotor speed. With the deployment of GF, the collective pitch of the tail rotor decreases, and the maximum tail rotor thrust increases. The GF can compensate the reduction of the maximum thrust by the decrease in the tail rotor speed. The GF with a height of 5% of the chord length can almost remedy 50% of the thrust reduction introduced by decreasing 10% of the tail rotor speed. With the increase of GF height, the maximum thrust generated by the tail rotor increases. The GF with larger height can cause the increase in the tail rotor power in hover and low to medium speed flight. The retractable GF can obtain more power savings than the fixed height GF. However, the benefit is substantially small even in high speed flight. Considering the side effects introduced by the active GF, the fixed height GF may be more preferable. The mechanism for the retractable GF to generate more tail rotor thrust is to increase the lift in advancing side due to the higher dynamic pressure.     

航天科研单位绩效考核体系探讨

文章对航天科研单位的绩效考核体系的现状进行深入地分析，总结出绩效考核落后的几点原因，并在此基础上提出改进措施。     

检定模拟示波器测量不确定度评定

对模拟示波器的主要性能参数（垂直偏转系数、扫描时间系数、脉冲瞬态响应）的不确定度评定做了详细介绍。     

基金投资组合业绩评价的实证分析

本文采用应用较为广泛、成熟的基金收益率、特雷诺指数、詹森指数、夏普指数对具有代表意义的十只基金进行了实证分析。考虑到全面和准确性，本文也采用了市场组合和国泰君安组合两个基准进行了基金的评价，并对计算结果做出了分析。