弹道跟踪系统的数据融合

本文应用近代时序分析方法、样条函数和非线性回归分析理论，研究了弹道参数、系统误差及测量随机误差统计特性参数的联合估计问题，给出了各类参数的高精度估计。理论分析和仿真计算表明：本文所建的模型准确，参数估计方法精度高，应用本文方法能明显提高弹道跟踪数据质量。     

基于ARIMA模型的拉萨降水量时间序列分析与预测

应用差分自回归滑动平均模型（ARIMA）模型对西藏拉萨地区1969年至2009年的年降水量资料进行建模分析。建立的模型通过了参数的显著性检验和模型的显著性检验。模型的实证分析表明在短期内模型具有较高的预测精度,ARIMA模型可以较好的应用于降水量的预测,对相关部门采取措施应对自然灾害提供了理论支持。     

Median filtering algorithms for multichannel detectors

Particle detectors of worldwide networks are continuously measuring various secondary particle fluxes incident on Earth surface. At the Aragats Space Environmental Center (ASEC), the data of 12 cosmic ray particle detectors with a total of ∼280 measuring channels (count rates of electrons, muons and neutrons channels) are sent each minute via wireless bridges to a MySQL database. These time series are used for the different tasks of off-line physical analysis and for online forewarning services. Usually long time series contain several types of errors (gaps due to failures of high or low voltage power supply, spurious spikes due to radio interferences, abrupt changes of mean values of several channels or/and slowly trends in mean values due to aging of electronics components, etc.). To avoid erroneous physical inference and false alarms of alerting systems we introduce offline and online filters to “purify” multiple time-series. In the presented paper we classify possible mistakes in time series and introduce median filtering algorithms for online and off-line “purification” of multiple time-series.     

基于LBM-LES方法的多段翼型流场数值模拟

运用Lattice Boltzmann(LB)方法与Large Eddy Simulation(LES)结合的方法数值模拟研究了二维翼型绕流流场,其中,粒子速度模型采用D2Q9模型,松弛时间中对应的湍流粘性系数由Smagorinsky模型计算,网格生成方法采用无网格技术。对NACA0012翼型进行数值模拟,验证其有效性;为进一步研究其模拟复杂物体绕流的能力,以三段翼型30P30N为研究对象进行数值研究,计算出了给定攻角条件下的气动特性,并与实验值进行比较。计算结果表明,LBM-LES方法的计算结果能够与实验值一致,是一种可行、有效且较新的数值模拟方法。     

翼型舵面偏转非定常流动数值模拟

针对NACA0012翼型舵面偏转问题,数值模拟了不同参数对翼型气动特性的影响。基于非结构动网格技术,采用ALE有限体积描述下的二维可压缩非定常N-S方程,计算通量采用Vanleer格式、时空二阶格式,利用Venkatakrishnan限制器抑制数值振荡。非定常计算结果表明,NACA0012翼型绕1/4弦点作周期性俯仰振动的升力系数和俯仰力矩系数结果与实验数据吻合良好,验证了数值方法的准确性;在翼型舵面表面有分离区产生,升力系数和俯仰力矩系数形成滞回环,在亚声速情况下,滞回环幅值较小,进入超声速阶段以后,幅值增大,随着翼型间缝隙宽度逐渐增加,翼型升力系数和俯仰力矩系数与无缝翼型相比逐渐降低。     

感应电能传输系统损耗分析

感应电能传输(CIPT)技术,是一种新型的电能传输方式,能实现无电气连接的电能传送.松耦合变压器的引入,使得耦合系数较常规变压器低,对系统损耗准确建模成为CIPT技术的关键问题.本文通过对CIPT各个元器件的功率损耗分析,研究各个功率模块损耗之间的耦合关系.以损耗关于原边线圈电流的泰勒展开式为基础,建立CIPT系统功率损耗模型及效率模型.为验证理论分析的正确性,设计制作了一个CIPT样机,通过对不同工况进行比较实验,证明了所建磁路模型、效率模型的正确性.提出的损耗分析方法能够用来指导CIPT系统的分析与设计.     

舰载机增升装置对薄翼型升力系数的影响研究

描述了增升装置在提高舰载机薄翼型升力系数方面的作用,观察到大偏角前缘襟翼小迎角时对翼型升力曲线的影响,并通过与试验现象对比,初步探讨了非线性作用形成的可能机理。利用数值模拟方法,通过有限元计算软件对相同流场中多种增升装置的升力系数进行了模拟与比较,从而达到合理设计舰载战机翼型的目的。CFD计算结果表明,所设计的二维多段翼型有良好的气动特性,升力系数得到提高,具有较好的增升效果。     

Noise analysis of continuous GPS coordinate time series for CMONOC

The Crustal Movement Observation Network of China (CMONOC) is one of the major scientific infrastructures, mainly using Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements, to monitor crustal deformation in the Chinese mainland. In this paper, decade-long coordinate time series of 26 continuous GPS sites of CMONOC are analyzed for their noise content using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). We study the noise properties of continuous GPS time series of CMONOC for the unfiltered, filtered solutions and also the common mode signals in terms of power law plus white noise model. In the spatial filtering, we remove for every time series a common mode error that was estimated from a modified stacking of position residuals from other sites within ∼1000 km of the selected site. We find that the common mode signal in our network has a combination of spatially correlated flicker noise and a common white noise with large spatial extent. We demonstrate that for the unfiltered solutions of CMONOC continuous GPS sites the main colored noise is a flicker process, with a mean spectral index of ∼1. For the filtered solutions, the main colored noise is a general power law process, indicating that a major number of the filtered regional solutions have a combination of noise sources or local effects. The velocity uncertainties from CMONOC continuous GPS coordinate time series may be underestimated by factors of 8–16 if a pure white noise model is assumed. In addition, using a white plus flicker noise model, the median values of velocity errors for the unfiltered solutions are 0.16 (north), 0.17 (east) and 0.58 (vertical) mm/yr, and the median values for the filtered solutions are 0.09 (north), 0.10 (east) and 0.40 (vertical) mm/yr.     

DPOD2005: An extension of ITRF2005 for Precise Orbit Determination

For Precise Orbit Determination of altimetry missions, we have computed a data set of DORIS station coordinates defined for specific time intervals called DPOD2005. This terrestrial reference set is an extension of ITRF2005. However, it includes all new DORIS stations and is more reliable, as we disregard stations with large velocity formal errors as they could contaminate POD computations in the near future. About 1/4 of the station coordinates need to be defined as they do not appear in the original ITRF2005 realization. These results were verified with available DORIS and GPS results, as the integrity of DPOD2005 is almost as critical as its accuracy. Besides station coordinates and velocities, we also provide additional information such as periods for which DORIS data should be disregarded for specific DORIS stations, and epochs of coordinate and velocity discontinuities (related to either geophysical events, equipment problem or human intervention). The DPOD model was tested for orbit determination for TOPEX/Poseidon (T/P), Jason-1 and Jason-2. Test results show DPOD2005 offers improvement over the original ITRF2005, improvement that rapidly and significantly increases after 2005. Improvement is also significant for the early T/P cycles indicating improved station velocities in the DPOD2005 model and a more complete station set. Following 2005 the radial accuracy and centering of the ITRF2005-original orbits rapidly degrades due to station loss.     

级数证明问题的几种处理方法

通过有关级数证明的几个例题，提出了思考和分析问题几种常用的方法。特别是对一般项为抽象形式的级数证明，更要思路开阔，根据所给的条件确定解决问题的不同方法。在级数的一般项中含有参数时，要对参数取值的不同情况进行讨论，才能得到完整的结果。最后介绍了一致收敛性质在证明问题中的应用，尤其当级数的一般项由定积分表示时，一致收敛级数的逐项微分、逐项积分的性质经常会用到。