Analysis of GNSS clock prediction performance with different interrupt intervals and application to real-time kinematic precise point positioning

Continuous and timely real-time satellite orbit and clock products are mandatory for real-time precise point positioning (RT-PPP). Real-time high-precision satellite orbit and clock products should be predicted within a short time in case of communication delay or connection breakdown in practical applications. For prediction, historical data describing the characteristics of the real-time orbit and clock can be used as the basis for performing the prediction. When historical data are scarce, it is difficult for many existing models to perform precise predictions. In this paper, a linear regression model is used to predict clock products. Seven-day GeoForschungsZentrum (GFZ) final clock products sampled at 30 s are used to analyze the characteristics of GNSS clocks. It is shown that the linear regression model can be used as the prediction model for the satellite clock products. In addition, the accuracy of the clock prediction for different satellites are analyzed using historical data with different periods (such as 2 and 10 epochs). Experimental results show that the accuracy of the clock with the linear regression prediction model using historical data with 10 epochs is 1.0 ns within 900 s. This is higher accuracy than that achieved using historical data of 2 epochs. Finally, the performance analysis for real-time kinematic precise point positioning (PPP) is provided using GFZ final clock prediction results and state space representation (SSR) clock prediction results when communication delay or connection breakdown occur. Experimental results show that the positioning accuracy without prediction is better than that with prediction in general, whether using the final clock product or the SSR clock product. For the final clock product, the positioning accuracy in the north (N), east (E), and up (U) directions is better than 10.0 cm with all visible GNSS satellites with prediction. In comparison, the 3D positioning accuracy of N, E, and U directions with visible GNSS satellites whose prediction accuracy is better than 0.1 ns using historical data of 10 epochs is improved from 15.0 cm to 7.0 cm. For the SSR clock product, the positioning accuracy of N, E, and U directions is better than 12.0 cm with visible GNSS satellites with prediction. In comparison, the 3D positioning accuracy of N, E, and U directions with visible GNSS satellites whose prediction accuracy is better than 0.1 ns using historical data of 10 epochs is improved from 12.0 cm to 9.0 cm.     

TSTO运载器一级返场轨迹优化设计与在线生成

对水平起降两级入轨（TSTO）运载器一子级返场轨迹优化和轨迹在线生成问题进行了研究。首先，给出了较独特的一子级再入轨迹设计策略：先给定侧向剖面，再分段优化求解三维轨迹。针对返场过程的大幅转向需求，设计了形式简单的倾侧角-航向角偏差剖面，并定义了具有不同任务的航向转弯段和航向微调段；针对一子级宽速域气动变化显著特点，为避免轨迹跳跃，定义了增高减速段和下降滑翔段，并采用分段优化策略求解三维轨迹。其次，针对分离扰动造成的一子级初始状态偏差，扩展了自适应高维伪谱插值（AMPI）算法的参数空间，并将其应用于返场轨迹在线生成问题。仿真结果表明，设计的倾侧角剖面能够在倾侧角不翻转的前提下调整飞行航向对准着陆场，设计的分段优化策略能够保证高度曲线平稳无跳跃，采用的自适应高维伪谱插值算法能够在分离扰动影响下快速准确地实现在线轨迹生成。     

Models for estimating daily photosynthetically active radiation in oceanic and mediterranean climates and their improvement by site adaptation techniques

In this work Photosynthetically Active Radiation (PAR) in oceanic and mediterranean climates is modeled. Twenty-two different models have been developed and tested: eleven Multilinear Regression (MR) models and eleven Artificial Neuron Network (ANN) models, using combinations of variables such as Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), Global Extraterrestrial Irradiance (G₀), Temperature (T) and Relative Humidity (RH). Data provided by Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring (CM SAF) are used to develop and train the models, while the models have been validated using field data from four stations located in Spain, covering the different study climates.According to the results, zones with different climate conditions need different models, both for the case of MR and ANN. The results show the need of including the GHI in all models in order to obtain accurate estimates; in fact, the presence of more variables only improves slightly the results in mediterranean climate, while in oceanic climate no improvement is observed.On the other hand, comparing MR and ANN models, ANN models did not show better results than those of MR models in no one of the cases studied. Regarding the climate, both types of models are clearly better for the mediterranean case than for the oceanic one. In order to improve the performance of the model for oceanic climate a correction based on the site adaptation technique was carried out. The good results obtained by this technique fully justify its use.The best proposed models provide better performance than other models which are restricted to certain locations. Besides, the clustering technique based on the PAR variable, used in this work, allows obtaining useful models for a whole region. Finally, another advantage of this methodology is that there is no need of ground measurements for its development, except for the site adaptation technique.     

固液混合火箭发动机固体燃料的燃速计算

分析了固液混合火箭发动机的燃烧特点、燃烧中气相过程和固体燃料内部的传热过程,利用由传热理论得出的固体燃料燃速公式和阿累尼乌斯(Arrhenius)燃速公式耦合计算,得到了燃速与氧化剂流率、轴向距离、装药初温和时间的变化规律.计算结果表明固体燃料燃速主要受氧化剂流率和轴向距离的影响,随氧化剂流率的增加而增加,随轴向距离的增加而减小.固体燃料燃速温度敏感性小,在设计发动机时可以不考虑装药初温的影响.利用热力计算得到了绝热燃烧温度与氧化剂流率和药柱长度的变化规律,绝热燃烧温度随氧化剂流率的增加存在一最大值.计算结果与相关文献的报道比较吻合,为进一步研究固液混合火箭发动机的燃烧及流动问题打好了基础.     

Multivariate bootstrapped relative positioning of spacecraft using GPS L1/Galileo E1 signals

GNSS-based precise relative positioning between spacecraft normally requires dual frequency observations, whereas attitude determination of the spacecraft, mainly due to the stronger model given by the a priori knowledge of the length and geometry of the baselines, can be performed precisely using only single frequency observations. When the Galileo signals will come available, the number of observations at the L1 frequency will increase as we will have a GPS and Galileo multi-constellation. Moreover the L1 observations of the Galileo system and modernized GPS are more precise than legacy GPS and this, combined with the increased number of observations, will result in a stronger model for single frequency relative positioning. In this contribution we will develop an even stronger model by combining the attitude determination problem with relative positioning. The attitude determination problem will be solved by the recently developed Multivariate Constrained (MC-) LAMBDA method. We will do this for each spacecraft and use the outcome for an ambiguity constrained solution on the baseline between the spacecraft. In this way the solution for the unconstrained baseline is bootstrapped from the MC-LAMBDA solutions of each spacecraft in what is called: multivariate bootstrapped relative positioning. The developed approach will be compared in simulations with relative positioning using a single antenna at each spacecraft (standard LAMBDA) and a vectorial bootstrapping approach. In the simulations we will analyze single epoch, single frequency success rates as the most challenging application. The difference in performance for the approaches for single epoch solutions, is a good indication of the strength of the underlying models. As the multivariate bootstrapping approach has a stronger model by applying information on the geometry of the constrained baselines, for applications with large observation noise and limited number of observations this will result in a better performance compared to the vectorial bootstrapping approach. Compared with standard LAMBDA, it can reach a 59% higher success rate for ambiguity resolution. The higher success rate on the unconstrained baseline between the platforms comes without extra computational load as the constrained baseline(s) problem has to be solved for attitude determination and this information can be applied for relative positioning.     

基于方差的相关输入变量重要性测度分析新方法

为了清晰地掌握相关输入变量情况下响应量方差的来源,非常有必要将基于方差的重要性测度( VBIM)分离为相关部分和独立部分.为此,在二阶非线性回归的基础上,提出了一种适用于非线性响应量的相关变量重要性分析的新方法.一个输入变量对响应量方差的相关贡献由该变量与每一个剩余变量两两相关的贡献分量组成,所以又进一步提出了一种概念...     

多元混合数据回归分析方法

针对加速寿命试验中经常遇到完全数据、定数截尾数据和定时截尾数据混合的情况,提出一种多元混合数据回归分析方法,建立了多元混合回归模型,给出回归系数和标准差的最佳无偏估计,以及百分位值的点估计和置信限估计.该方法不但适用于正态分布,而且还适用于Weibull分布、极值分布等其他各种位置-尺度分布,从而将传统只适用于完全数据...     

H_2O_2/HTPB缩比固液火箭发动机药柱燃速试验研究

对采用90%H2O2/HTPB基推进剂组合的缩比固液火箭发动机开展了药柱燃速试验研究,得到了不同点火方式和不同氧化剂流率下的药柱燃速。试验结果表明,在相同的氧化剂流率下,催化点火方式比点火药点火方式药柱燃速要高,燃烧室压力更为平稳,同时建压时间要长。根据点火药点火方式下不同氧化剂流率的药柱燃速拟合得到了燃速公式,并运用燃速公式对300 mm全尺寸发动机进行了装药设计及内弹道性能计算,得到的理论性能曲线与试验结果吻合很好,验证了本文采用的燃速研究方法及结果。     

机器人铣削加工动态变形误差预测与在线感知

航天舱段零件的机器人铣削加工中,强激励铣削力作用下的动态加工变形是影响加工精度的重要因素,复杂工况下动态误差的离线理论预测难以准确反映实际变形误差。为此,考虑加工过程中复杂工况下不确定性因素对动态变形误差的影响,本文提出了融合在线测量位姿、力数据的动态误差预测方法。首先,建立动态变形误差理论预测模型,引入加工误差预测偏差项;其次,结合有限实验数据对预测偏差的影响因素进行主成分分析(PCA),提取信息贡献率大的主成分作为特征向量,利用支持向量机(SVM)建立预测偏差关于特征向量的动态误差预测回归模型;最后,构建基于机器人关节位置和切削力测量数据的加工动态误差预测模型,实现动态误差在线感知,为加工精度控制提供数据基础。     

回归模型在房地产市场方面的应用

本文通过建立的回归模型，对商品住宅的销售量进行了预测。