Assessment of the close approach frequency and collision probability for satellites in different configurations of large constellations

The Earth orbital environment is drastically changing due to an intensification of the space activities. In particular, several projects of large constellations, proposed for the next years for communications purpose like global internet access, Internet of Things, or for Earth observations, will lead to the deployment of several thousands of new satellites at an unprecedented rate. It is a crucial challenge for space traffic management, which will deal with a great number of satellite conjunctions, potentially causing a collision with damaging consequences for the constellation itself and the space environment sustainability.In this paper, we investigate the close approach frequency and the cumulative collision probability for each referenced constellation. For this purpose, we compute the orbital evolution of satellites in different constellations during the lifecycle, from the deployment to the decommissioning, and we apply the CUBE algorithm and the Foster method to assess the collision probability with the background space debris population assuming a constant uncertainty in position. We show the variation of risk defined by the close approach frequency and the cumulative collision probability as a function of the proposed configuration. In particular, satellites of the Iridium and Kuiper constellation, but also satellite of the Telesat constellation on polar orbits are the most exposed at a collision. Moreover, the decommissioning phase contribute for a major part to the final cumulative collision probability.     

Multi-faults diagnosis of rolling bearings via adaptive customization of flexible analytical wavelet bases

Multi-faults detection is a challenge for rolling bearings due to the mode mixture and coupling of multiple fault features, as well as its easy burying in the complex, non-stationary structural vibrations and strong background noises. In this paper, a method based on the flexible analytical wavelet transform (FAWT) possessing fractional scaling and translation factors is proposed to identify multiple faults occurred in different components of rolling bearings. During the route of the proposed method, the proper FAWT bases are constructed via genetic optimization algorithm (GA) based on maximizing the spectral correlated kurtosis (SCK) which is firstly presented and proved to be efficient and effective in indicating interested fault mode. Via using the customized FAWT bases for each interested fault mode, the original vibration measurements are decomposed into fine frequency subbands, and the sensitive subband which enhances the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) is selected to exhibit the fault signature on its envelope spectrum. The proposed method is tested via simulated signals, and applied to analyze the experimental vibration measurements from the running roller bearings subjected to outrace, inner-race and roller defects. The analysis results validate the effectiveness of the proposed method in identifying multi-faults occurred in different components of rolling bearings.     

Fault mode probability factor based fault-tolerant control for dissimilar redundant actuation system

This paper presents a Fault Mode Probability Factor (FMPF) based Fault-Tolerant Control (FTC) strategy for multiple faults of Dissimilar Redundant Actuation System (DRAS) composed of Hydraulic Actuator (HA) and Electro-Hydrostatic Actuator (EHA). The long-term service and severe working conditions can result in multiple gradual faults which can ultimately degrade the system performance, resulting in the system model drift into the fault state characterized with parameter uncertainty. The paper proposes to address this problem by using the historical statistics of the multiple gradual faults and the proposed FMPF to amend the system model with parameter uncertainty. To balance the system model precision and computation time, a Moving Window (MW) method is used to determine the applied historical statistics. The FMPF based FTC strategy is developed for the amended system model where the system estimation and Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR) are updated at the end of system sampling period. The simulations of DRAS system subjected to multiple faults have been performed and the results indicate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.     

HML系统在商店偏好决策模型中的应用研究

对混合式机器学习系统（HML）进行了全面系统的介绍，并将其运用于服装消费商店偏好决策行为的研究中。采用上海统计局家庭调查网络，对300户家庭进行抽样分析后发现，服装消费商店偏好的主要影响因素是地区、季节、丈夫和妻子的学历、职业以及子女性别。在此基础上，将HML分析所得的结论与传统的研究方法和结果进行了系统比较：从方法上来看，因为属性变量包含间断变量和连续变量两种，因此传统统计分析要运用两种不同的检测方法对影响因素的相关性作出判断，结果需要经过统计学分析，才能得到结论；而HML分析结果比较直观和简单，便于理解。     

美国MTS公司应用软件在测试上的应用

介绍了用美国ＭＴＳ公司的平面应变断裂韬度测试软件，对ＴＣ４合金进行ＫＩＣ测试的过程及结果。     

基于磁场映像的印制电路板故障诊断方法研究

简要分析了印制电路板的电磁场，提出了用电磁感应法测量磁场的电咱故障诊断新方法，并给出了测试系统组成方案。最后通过验证实验证明了该方法是确实可行的。     

纵向短周期模态试飞方法和选择

对几种纵向短周期模态试飞方法及其适用性进行了初步分析。结合实际飞行经验,提出了初步判断飞机短周期特性及选择试飞方法。     

基于模糊粗糙集的飞机远程故障诊断模型研究

粗糙集和模糊集结合在飞机故障诊断领域有巨大的发展潜力。针对当前飞机故障诊断中所存在的问题,借助C/S模式,将粗糙集和模糊集结合,提出一种新型的飞机远程故障诊断模型,并且开发出远程诊断系统框架。系统的可行性和有效性得到了飞机故障诊断实例的证实。该系统具有客户端响应快、系统效率高、诊断及时的特点,对于当前民用飞机远程故障诊断具有重要应用价值。     

掠海飞行导弹击水概率的仿真研究

本文对掠海导弹的击水概率问题进行了研究,提出了用均匀设计、Monte—Carlo法和逐步回归法建立击水概率预报公式的仿真方法,并结合某型号的反舰导弹进行计算,得到了满意的结果。本文还利用表观频率和表观频谱的概念,建立起飞航导弹的背景干扰——海浪和阵风的数学模型,并用波叠加法进行了数字仿真。     

基于损伤力学的概率疲劳曲线获取方法

文章基于损伤力学方法获得满足疲劳试验的损伤演化方程,推导出一般条件下的理论疲劳曲线以及相对应的理论中值疲劳曲线与理论理想疲劳曲线；然后根据试验数据即可确定理论疲劳曲线中的参量,从而获取疲劳曲线计算公式。通过此计算公式,可以方便地得到一组以初始损伤为参数的疲劳曲线族,继而得到以失效概率为参数的疲劳曲线族,大大降低了所需试验的数量,并为结构抗疲劳设计和寿命估算提供了依据。