装备保障链敏捷性评价的指标体系及方法

装备保障链敏捷性评价是装备保障链敏捷化的先行条件。提出了装备保障链敏捷性的概念,建立了装备保障链整体和单元敏捷性的评价指标体系,并综合运用群体层次分析法和模糊综合评价方法对装备保障链敏捷性进行评价。研究结果为我军构建敏捷的装备保障链提供了理论与方法支持。     

科技综合实力评估指标与数学模型

运用灰色系统原理和德尔菲法，建立了省级区域科技综合实力评估指标体系。在灰色定权聚类模型的基础上，提出了一种基于三角白化权函数的评估模型。     

商用微电子技术在卫星辐射环境中的应用

汇总了商用器件的辐射效应,讨论了这些器件的辐射敏感度,讨论了对其危害的评估方法和必要时的回避技术,以帮助设计师和项目管理人员在空间辐射环境中用好这些商用器件。     

太阳黑子数及Ap指数周期变化特征的小波分析

应用Morlet小波变换方法从多个变化尺度上对1932—2000年的太阳黑子数及Ap指数的变化特征进行分析．(1)太阳黑子数存在准11年、准32年的周期变化特征及Ap指数存在准32年、准11年、准6个月、准27天和准13．9天的周期变化特征；(2)太阳黑子数及Ap指数有着相似的准11年周期变化，但Ap指数极值的出现要比太阳黑子数极值出现滞后1—2年；(3)Ap指数准27天的周期变化在太阳黑子活动高、低年不同，在太阳活动低年，Ap指数有着较稳定的准27天周期变化，但在太阳活动高年，27天的周期变化几乎消失，这种周期变化的消失和出现时间可在Morlet小波变换图中体现出来。     

用最小二乘法评定圆柱度误差的理论与算法

建立了用最小二乘法评定圆柱度误差的理论与算法,并对圆柱度误差进行了定量分析和定性分析,给出了误差分离的定量计算公式,将其分离成形状误差、参数误差和方向误差,并指出了每种误差的补偿原则。所推导的数学模型简单、明了,具有推广价值。     

航天型号产品供方管理模式初探

文章对航天型号产品供方管理存在问题进行了分析，提出了航天型号产品供方管理的目标和管理模式的设想，从确定供方选择原则、建立灵活适用的供方绩效评价指标体系、建立供方数据采集和分析模型、识别和优化供方、规范航天型号产品供方评价方法和程序等几个方面进行了浅入分析。     

工艺资源负荷指数的估算方法研究

针对工艺资源的负荷均衡和资源利用情况,研究了工艺资源负荷问题,分析了工艺资源结构,建立了工艺资源信息模型,并给出了基于经验的工艺资源定额估算方法,建立了工艺资源负荷指数模型。算例证实了该模型的有效性。     

Distributed online mission planning for multi-player space pursuit and evasion

There are three important roles in evasion conflict: pursuer, target and defender. Pur-suers’ mission is to access targets;targets’ mission is to escape from pursuers’ capture;defenders’ mission is to intercept pursuers who are potentially dangerous to targets. In this paper, a distributed online mission plan (DOMP) algorithm for pursuers is proposed based on fuzzy evaluation and Nash equilibrium. First, an integrated effectiveness evaluation model is given. Then, the details of collaborative mission planning which includes the co-optimization of task distributing, trajectory and corresponding maneuvering scheme are presented. Finally, the convergence and steadiness of DOMP are discussed with simulation results. Compared with centralized mission planning, DOMP is more robust and can greatly improve the effectiveness of pursuing. It can be applied to dynamic scenario due to its distributed architecture.     

先进客机设计中油耗指标的分解方法

先进客机最重要指标之一是油耗指标。研究一种将油耗指标进一步分解为更为具体的发动机的耗油率指标、客机的升阻比指标和使用空重指标的方法。以典型中程客机为例，应用分段解析方法建立客机飞行剖面的燃油量计算程序。应用计算程序分别分析了发动机的耗油率、客机的升阻比和使用空重的变化对油耗的影响。在此基础上，对发动机的耗油率、客机的升阻比和使用空重的指标进行规划，以满足先进客机油耗指标的要求。研究结果为未来客机确定出合理的升阻比、耗油率和使用空重的指标提供了参考。     

Is the North Atlantic Oscillation modulated by solar and lunar cycles? Some evidences from Hurst autocorrelation analysis

Several studies have suggested that the Sun and Moon cycles affect the Earth climatic dynamics. Nevertheless, there is a long-standing controversy whether solar variability and tides can significantly generate climate change, and how this may occur. Spectral analysis of climatic indices has provided only indirect evidences of the effects of solar–tidal periodicities in the Earth climate. This work addresses the issue by considering the dynamics of the daily North Atlantic Oscillation index over the period from 1950 to 2009. In contrast to previous studies, this work proposes that external cycles can be detected in the autocorrelation dynamics rather than in the raw North Atlantic Oscillation index series. Here, the R/S-scaling analysis is used to quantify, via the so-called Hurst exponent, the presence of autocorrelations along the studied years. Fourier analysis scan of the autocorrelation series thus show two prominent spectral components near (±3%) the lunar tidal 4.425 and the solar 11 years cycles. Intermediate spectral components near 6.4, 7.75 and 8.9 years are proposed to be, at least partially, a result of energy capture from internal mechanisms into cycles resulting from the nonlinear resonance of the fundamental solar–tidal cycles. The dominant effect of the solar variability is clarified by showing that in about 70% of the studied period the sunspot number and the Hurst exponent phases are synchronized, indicating that a higher solar activity enhances the North Atlantic Oscillation index predictability.